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Home arrow newsitems arrow UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

Written by ACM
Thursday, 08 June 2017
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*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- 0ne Picture resumes Everything about these Surprising 2017 UK Elections. No Need to read Dozens of Pages, watch at so-called "Experts" in Boring Medias, follow a Long Series of Politicians' bla-bla, etc...Don't search for the Moon at Broad MidDay! Simply look at the Main Fact : What did the British People Vote for ?


One Number says it all :  - Without Farage, this time, the UKIP vanished, it dissolved in the air, and the Big Parties shared its Voters !


Back on 2015, Farage's UKIP had reached about 12 % of the Votes, but Now, on 2017, a "UKIP" withOut Farage, Fell Down to Only about 1,5%, i.e. Nothing...


Corbyn's Labour Party got almost 2/3 of it, and May's Conservatives 1/3, Augmenting Both their Votes now .


Why ? Simply because (as Farage reminds) Corbyn had suddenly made an U-Turn for BREXIT, against Mass Migration, etc., (i.e. practicaly Copied a part of Farage's main Issues), while May continued also on her Careful BREXIT path.


This stems also from the parallel Fact that, at the Same Time, 3 Pro-EU "Remain" and Anti-BREXIT small/medium Parties : the "Greens", Liberals-Dems, and the Scottish Autonomists, (who kept the Same Leaders as before, Contrary to the UKIP), All Faced voters' Losses : Even if the Lib-Dems limited their votes' Losses down to -0,5%, the Scots Lost almost -2%, the "Greens" Losing more : about - 2,5% less than before. I.e., Totaling another Loss of - 5% of Votes in 2017, compared to 2015.


(On the Contrary, the pro-BREXIT -even if "Soft"- DUP Conservative Party at Northern Ireland, won at least +0,3% more Votes : See also Infra).


=> All this Resulted into the UK Conservatives Winning almost + 6% More of Votes, Remaining the First Party of Great Britain, with about 42,5% of Voters, while the Labour (Socialists) won Even More: about + 10%, reaching almost 40% of Voters.

But, probably Because the Main Blame for the Latest 3 Islamist Terrorists' Deadly Attacks, cowardaly Targetting Civilian People, twice in London and once in Manchester, was First addressed against Prime Minister Theresa May's Governing Conservatives, (partly also by the Right Side in the Conservative Party), instead of realizing the Fact that All of these ISIS' Attacks occured in 2 Cities whose Mayors were Labour ("Socialists" : including even Controversial Heads of local Police : Comp.: ...+...), and in which a Growing Islamization had already provoked Exceptionaly Big Muslim Minorities in deepening Cultural "Ghettos", (f.ex. more than 14 % in London and + 16 % in Manchester), Paradoxically, Westminster got - 13 Less Conservative MPs tha before, and + 30 More Labour MPs than back on 2015. (Possibly also due to the Fact that Labour "Socialists" usual Clientelist policies, Focused on certain Local Areas, served to get More New MPs than Conservatives, whose Ideological/Political Influence was more Spread all over the Country, given UK's special "1st Taks All" electoral system).


However, since the Conservatives remain the Biggest Political Party of Great Britain, with 318 MPs, (compared to "only" 262 for Labour), neverheless, Theresa May hopes to Keep the Government going, thanks also to a Support from the DUP : the Democratic Unionist Party of Norhern Island, which Wins +2 MPs More in 2017, (passing from 8 to 10), so that, in Addition, eventualy, also of some "Other", Independent and/or Smaller Parties' MPs, (13 in all), May might Reach the Absolute Majority threshhold of 326 MPs, (i.e. just +10 more, than what she already has got).


And this, even if the Liberal-Dems, (who had already forged a Governing Coalition with the Conservatives, back on 2010), this Time said that they wouldn't like a coalition with Neither among the 2 Biggest Parties now.


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The Reason for which Farage's exceptional Absence from this UKIP Campaign 2017 was the Main Factor which provoked a 2nd Political "Earthquake" Now, after that of the 2016's "BREXIT" Referendum, (which had been also UnExpected by Polls), obviously is also that his usual Strong Ideological, Argumentary and Socio-Political Push lacked, this time, to an Alternative UKIP's InExperienced Leadership, which didn't manage, f.ex., to find anything more Interesting to say in 2017, as its Electoral Campaign Moto, than a mere ...Copy of French "Social-Liberal" Macron's own moto, i the 2nd Round of the Presidential Election : "For France, Together !", transposed as "For Britain, Together !"... Macron's truc, apparently, didn't work at all vis a vis the British People...

I.e., Nothing to do with the Famous, Nigel Farage's Headline Moto for UKIP's Biggest ever Win at the 2009 EU Parliament's Elections, which read : - "No to Turkey's Accession into the EU !", (when the British People boosted UKIP's MEPs from only 2 up to 19, allowing them to form, later-on, even a Brand New Political Group, etc).


Even Less with Farage's 2015 UKIP, which strongly Fought both against controversial and Unpopular "Gay Marriage", with Children submitted to Homosexuals' power under Pretext of so-called "Adoption", etc, (Same Positions with those Defended by DUP of Norhern Ireland until Today : Comp. Supra), and against Tony Blair's damned anti-Legacy, whose Heavy Responsibilities (including for Iraq's Foreign Military Invasion/Occupation since Back on 2003, etc), were at least partly Denounced by a Long Official UK Report at the Beginning of Summer 2016, (etc), as well as against the Risks provoked by that 2015-2016 sudden "Tsunami" of Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants coming via Turkish' Smugglers inside Europe through EU and Shengen's Member Greece's Border laxist Leftist Government, followed by Stern Warnings also against Ankara Government's claim for more than 80 Millions of Turks to get a "VISA-FREE" status, allowing them to Enter and Stay inside the EU, whenever they like, during at least 6 Months each Year, (etc)...  


Lacking such Strong Political Arguments, as it was also reflected by its  ...Macron-inspired "Pass-Partout" vague Campaign Moto "for Britain, Together", (Comp. Supra), in Addition to Nigel Farage's personal Rhetoric capacities, (meanwhile focused much more on his New Job as ...Journalist at LBC Radio), following his Exceptional Decision to Resign from UKIP's Leadership just after BREXIT Referendum back on 2016, and Remain at EU Parliament, as President of the EFDD Group of MEPs even now on 2017, (etc), it was Inevitable for nowadays UKIP, (which wasn't, in fact, but only a Ghost of its Earlier shelf), to Fail to attract People, particularly since Both the 2 Biggest Parties of the Country started to claim that they pursued an Agenda Respectful of the 2016 Referendum's Agenda, (Comp. Supra).


A we have clearly Analysed previously (See, f.ex. : ....), "BREXIT"s Unexpected success on 2016, was, in reality, Due also to certain Issues which had Nothing to do with a so-called "Anti-European" stance, but rather with the Fact that People could No more Find Anyone from the Establishment to Defend them efficiently, and Even to some Issues which could, in fact, be considered to be, in Substance, rather the Opposite : i.e. Pro-European positions, that some mainstream Politicians had Betrayed, (f.ex. on European Culture, Population, Christian roots, Fight agains Islamist Terrorism, Peaceful relations with Russia, but also Syria, BioEthical Values, People's Access to Health Care, Protection of External Borders from Mass Immigration as that which was suddenly brought by Turkish Smugglers provoking a lot of Unprecedented Problems and Risks for EU Citizens and even for real refugees, etc).


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All these Facts and Events, Now, by Resulting, at least for the Time being, in a "Hang" Parliament, (i.e. without an a priori Explicit and Full Absolute Majority Government : the DUP supporting the Conservatives according to a Special Arrangement, withOut directly participating in Ministerial posts), inevitably Provoke, as far as the EU is concernced, in relation with the still Pending Issue of UK's "BREXIT", precisely that Problem which had been, already, Denounced as "No 1" Danger, as Early as since the 1st EU Summit in Brussels just after the BREXIT Referendum, back on June 2016, by the Experienced Secretary General of ChristianDemocrat/EPP Party, Spanish MEP Lopez Istures, speaking to "Eurofora" on the spot, (See : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/eppsummitoutcomeafterbrexit.html ) : I.e., More "UnCertainties".


This was also Stressed, Now, by EU's High Representative for External Actions, former Foreign Minister of Italy, Federica Mogerini, who reportedly Denounced the Fact that, even 1 Year after the Referendum, we still doN't know the UK position on Brexit, and it seems Difficult to Predict When we will...


While Even BREXIT's spiritual "Father", former Long-Time UKIP's President, Nigel Farage, reportedly Criticized, (according to Mainstream "ITV" Media), that, just after this Latest UK Election, "quite Frankly, I doN't know what's going to happen here !", (sic).


=> In such a Context, it's understandable, but also quite Unconvincing, that BBC's Main News Story runs Now on British Prime Minister Theresa May's "promise to provide <<Certainty>>", as she reportedly found as more Important to say...

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+ Moreover, mainstream UK Media Started to speak about a so-called "Soft" PREXIT, as a Result of this Election.


And even Farage, reportedly Warned that "we're going to see a significant Backslide on BREXIT".

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Last, but not least, Many might, Legitimately, raise the Question : - "WHY all this, happens NOW ?"


To what, several other Experienced Observers, are enclined to Reply, in substance, by pointing, mainly, at German Chancellor Angie Merkel's widely commented (even at the US White House !) alleged Wording, (reportedly used shortly after the Latest NATO and G7 Summits), that "Europeans have now to take care by themselves, without waiting no more for others to do that for them"...


Something which, particularly if it's related also to Security - Defence Policies, notoriously meets the Diachronic positions of all those who have served as Presidents of France, regardless of political parties or individual persons.


And, when even the most Recent moves by EU Commission's President, experienced former Long-Time Prime Minister of Luxembourg and EuroGroup's Chairman, Jean-Claude Juncker, reportedly Head, precisely towards that same Direction of Boosting EU's own, Autonomous Security-Defense Policy, at the eve of the forthcoming, June 2017 EU Heads of State/Governments' Summit in Brussels, (i.e. something that Neither the UK's establishment itself, as well as some much Wider Global Circles, have NEVER accepted), then, at least a great part of what Surprizing and/or UnExpected things happened in this "Bumpy" UK General Election, may become much more Easy to Guess...

 

 + Particularly since, in Addition, (as "Eurofora" has some recent Factual reasons to suppose), it's not at all excluded that even Turkey might be, in Secret, (i.e. without admitting that yet in Public), currently Watching what could happen with UK's Brexit, in order to, eventualy, revendicate a Similar solution also for itself, in the foreseable Future...

 

 

(../..)


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***


(NDLR : Partly UPDATED)

+

("DraftNews", as already send to "Eurofora" Subsrcribers/Donords, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, might be Published asap).


***


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*Paris/ACM/12 October 2008/-

When Europeans really feel a vital need to urgently launch common replies to challenging World Crisis, as the present Financial turmoil of Global Markets, they forge new decision-making tools and new dynamics :

The 1st in History EuroZone Heads of State and Government Summit, organized in Paris at the invitation of French President, and current EU chair, Nicolas Sarkozy, with the participation of 15 national leaders and EU institutions' chairmen, partly enlarged to British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, after a highly symbolic duo with German Chancelor Angie Merkel, at General De Gaulle's birth-village, 50 Years after he welcomed there former German chancellor Adenauer (1958-2008), may have not one, but two results :

- The first, and more urgent, was to launch an "ambitious", "coherent", and "efficient" common European movement, able to stimulate "solutions" to the World Economic Crisis, as Sarkozy anounced from the outset : State Garantees (to new Bank debts up to 5 years), fresh Capital input (f.ex. by buying shares), support to distressed banks, (while also restructuring them), incite the European Central Bank to facilitate commerial bills europe-wide, etc.

"Acting swiftly", from tomorrow, national measures will quantify all these targets, with coordinated actions from all EuroZone's Governments : France, Germany, Italy and others, decided to anounce, at the same time, such concrete measures, according to agreements that we have already made all together, revealed Sarkozy at the final Press Conference, flanked by EuroZone's chairmen : EuroGroup's Jean-Claude Juncker, and Central European Bank's Jean-Claude Truchet, as well as EU Commission's Jose Baroso, to solemnly stress the will to find common European solutions.

- "United and Determined, all EuroZone's Countries will act to prove that Citizens can Trust" the Economy, Sarkozy concluded. If we attract also all EU's 27 countries, Wednesday in Brussels, then we can coordinate action with our American Friends at a Global level, he anounced.

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- "With this new Toolbox, we do not want to serve Bankers, but to work for Europe and its Citizens' interests", added Juncker.

- "For the moment, we want to act urgently to regulate the Crisis. But the time will come when those responsible for this, will have to account for their actions. Yes to real Capitalism, No to Speculators. Those who abused, will face sanctions, Sarkozy warned.


Need stimulates activities which create new organs, say biologists, and Gordon Brown, compatriot of Spencer, the famous bio-Historian, would certainly not deny that, after his surprise visit to EuroZone's Summit in Paris, which attracted him one hour more than scheduled...

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Decisions include also the creation of a Crisis-management European mechanism, which "requires constant Monitoring", as well as strengthening Economic policy cooperation between EuroZone's countries.

Sarkozy will be judged by History not just by the immediate Economic results, expected at the end of this week's decision-making proces at National and EU level, but also by the more far-reaching consequences at the aftermath of this Historic EuroZone 1st Summit : Will it succeed to become a precursor forging a New era in European institution's revitalization ?

Significantly, the French President sat, during discussions, between German Chancelor Merkel, and British Prime Minister Brown, facing the chairmen of EuroGroup, Juncker, ECB : Truchet, and EU Commission, Baroso, with Prime Ministers of Spain, Zapatero (a hot partisan of EuroZone's Summit) at his right side, and Italy's Berlusconi, at his left, surrounded by Austrian, Belgian, Cyprus', Finland's, Greece's, and Ireland's leaders, as well as Slovakia's, Slovenia's, Portugal's, Netherlands', Malta's and Luxembourg's leaders.

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Meanwhile, those who tabled for a rift between French and German positions were faced with a smiling Merkel at De Gaulle-Adenauer's meeting place, a sunny Saturday morning, and a particularly active-looking Merkel inside the French Presidential Palace at Elysee's gardens on Sunday, (as happy few photographers discovered)..

- "De Gaulle's hilltop, at Colombey-les-2-Eglises, gave an astonishing overview to a huge landscape, entirely surrounded by splendid Nature, as far as eyes could see", said to EuroFora an obviously charmed German Journalist.

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She was describing Saturday's inauguration of a High-Tech Memorial close to the Historic Giant Double Lorraine's Cross, built by famous Novelist Andre Malraux, to perpetuate the Memory of his famous call for "Resistance" to NAZI, and his vision for the creation of New Institutions and Franco-German reconciliation, to foster Europe's role in the World, also for the Future.

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Children playing at Elysee's gardens before the Historic 1st EuroZone's Summit : What Europe's Future will look like ?


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