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Inicio arrow newsitems arrow UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

Escrito por ACM
08.06.17
uk_2017_election_results__eurofora_patchwork_400_01

*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- 0ne Picture resumes Everything about these Surprising 2017 UK Elections. No Need to read Dozens of Pages, watch at so-called "Experts" in Boring Medias, follow a Long Series of Politicians' bla-bla, etc...Don't search for the Moon at Broad MidDay! Simply look at the Main Fact : What did the British People Vote for ?


One Number says it all :  - Without Farage, this time, the UKIP vanished, it dissolved in the air, and the Big Parties shared its Voters !


Back on 2015, Farage's UKIP had reached about 12 % of the Votes, but Now, on 2017, a "UKIP" withOut Farage, Fell Down to Only about 1,5%, i.e. Nothing...


Corbyn's Labour Party got almost 2/3 of it, and May's Conservatives 1/3, Augmenting Both their Votes now .


Why ? Simply because (as Farage reminds) Corbyn had suddenly made an U-Turn for BREXIT, against Mass Migration, etc., (i.e. practicaly Copied a part of Farage's main Issues), while May continued also on her Careful BREXIT path.


This stems also from the parallel Fact that, at the Same Time, 3 Pro-EU "Remain" and Anti-BREXIT small/medium Parties : the "Greens", Liberals-Dems, and the Scottish Autonomists, (who kept the Same Leaders as before, Contrary to the UKIP), All Faced voters' Losses : Even if the Lib-Dems limited their votes' Losses down to -0,5%, the Scots Lost almost -2%, the "Greens" Losing more : about - 2,5% less than before. I.e., Totaling another Loss of - 5% of Votes in 2017, compared to 2015.


(On the Contrary, the pro-BREXIT -even if "Soft"- DUP Conservative Party at Northern Ireland, won at least +0,3% more Votes : See also Infra).


=> All this Resulted into the UK Conservatives Winning almost + 6% More of Votes, Remaining the First Party of Great Britain, with about 42,5% of Voters, while the Labour (Socialists) won Even More: about + 10%, reaching almost 40% of Voters.

But, probably Because the Main Blame for the Latest 3 Islamist Terrorists' Deadly Attacks, cowardaly Targetting Civilian People, twice in London and once in Manchester, was First addressed against Prime Minister Theresa May's Governing Conservatives, (partly also by the Right Side in the Conservative Party), instead of realizing the Fact that All of these ISIS' Attacks occured in 2 Cities whose Mayors were Labour ("Socialists" : including even Controversial Heads of local Police : Comp.: ...+...), and in which a Growing Islamization had already provoked Exceptionaly Big Muslim Minorities in deepening Cultural "Ghettos", (f.ex. more than 14 % in London and + 16 % in Manchester), Paradoxically, Westminster got - 13 Less Conservative MPs tha before, and + 30 More Labour MPs than back on 2015. (Possibly also due to the Fact that Labour "Socialists" usual Clientelist policies, Focused on certain Local Areas, served to get More New MPs than Conservatives, whose Ideological/Political Influence was more Spread all over the Country, given UK's special "1st Taks All" electoral system).


However, since the Conservatives remain the Biggest Political Party of Great Britain, with 318 MPs, (compared to "only" 262 for Labour), neverheless, Theresa May hopes to Keep the Government going, thanks also to a Support from the DUP : the Democratic Unionist Party of Norhern Island, which Wins +2 MPs More in 2017, (passing from 8 to 10), so that, in Addition, eventualy, also of some "Other", Independent and/or Smaller Parties' MPs, (13 in all), May might Reach the Absolute Majority threshhold of 326 MPs, (i.e. just +10 more, than what she already has got).


And this, even if the Liberal-Dems, (who had already forged a Governing Coalition with the Conservatives, back on 2010), this Time said that they wouldn't like a coalition with Neither among the 2 Biggest Parties now.


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The Reason for which Farage's exceptional Absence from this UKIP Campaign 2017 was the Main Factor which provoked a 2nd Political "Earthquake" Now, after that of the 2016's "BREXIT" Referendum, (which had been also UnExpected by Polls), obviously is also that his usual Strong Ideological, Argumentary and Socio-Political Push lacked, this time, to an Alternative UKIP's InExperienced Leadership, which didn't manage, f.ex., to find anything more Interesting to say in 2017, as its Electoral Campaign Moto, than a mere ...Copy of French "Social-Liberal" Macron's own moto, i the 2nd Round of the Presidential Election : "For France, Together !", transposed as "For Britain, Together !"... Macron's truc, apparently, didn't work at all vis a vis the British People...

I.e., Nothing to do with the Famous, Nigel Farage's Headline Moto for UKIP's Biggest ever Win at the 2009 EU Parliament's Elections, which read : - "No to Turkey's Accession into the EU !", (when the British People boosted UKIP's MEPs from only 2 up to 19, allowing them to form, later-on, even a Brand New Political Group, etc).


Even Less with Farage's 2015 UKIP, which strongly Fought both against controversial and Unpopular "Gay Marriage", with Children submitted to Homosexuals' power under Pretext of so-called "Adoption", etc, (Same Positions with those Defended by DUP of Norhern Ireland until Today : Comp. Supra), and against Tony Blair's damned anti-Legacy, whose Heavy Responsibilities (including for Iraq's Foreign Military Invasion/Occupation since Back on 2003, etc), were at least partly Denounced by a Long Official UK Report at the Beginning of Summer 2016, (etc), as well as against the Risks provoked by that 2015-2016 sudden "Tsunami" of Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants coming via Turkish' Smugglers inside Europe through EU and Shengen's Member Greece's Border laxist Leftist Government, followed by Stern Warnings also against Ankara Government's claim for more than 80 Millions of Turks to get a "VISA-FREE" status, allowing them to Enter and Stay inside the EU, whenever they like, during at least 6 Months each Year, (etc)...  


Lacking such Strong Political Arguments, as it was also reflected by its  ...Macron-inspired "Pass-Partout" vague Campaign Moto "for Britain, Together", (Comp. Supra), in Addition to Nigel Farage's personal Rhetoric capacities, (meanwhile focused much more on his New Job as ...Journalist at LBC Radio), following his Exceptional Decision to Resign from UKIP's Leadership just after BREXIT Referendum back on 2016, and Remain at EU Parliament, as President of the EFDD Group of MEPs even now on 2017, (etc), it was Inevitable for nowadays UKIP, (which wasn't, in fact, but only a Ghost of its Earlier shelf), to Fail to attract People, particularly since Both the 2 Biggest Parties of the Country started to claim that they pursued an Agenda Respectful of the 2016 Referendum's Agenda, (Comp. Supra).


A we have clearly Analysed previously (See, f.ex. : ....), "BREXIT"s Unexpected success on 2016, was, in reality, Due also to certain Issues which had Nothing to do with a so-called "Anti-European" stance, but rather with the Fact that People could No more Find Anyone from the Establishment to Defend them efficiently, and Even to some Issues which could, in fact, be considered to be, in Substance, rather the Opposite : i.e. Pro-European positions, that some mainstream Politicians had Betrayed, (f.ex. on European Culture, Population, Christian roots, Fight agains Islamist Terrorism, Peaceful relations with Russia, but also Syria, BioEthical Values, People's Access to Health Care, Protection of External Borders from Mass Immigration as that which was suddenly brought by Turkish Smugglers provoking a lot of Unprecedented Problems and Risks for EU Citizens and even for real refugees, etc).


------------------------------------------------


All these Facts and Events, Now, by Resulting, at least for the Time being, in a "Hang" Parliament, (i.e. without an a priori Explicit and Full Absolute Majority Government : the DUP supporting the Conservatives according to a Special Arrangement, withOut directly participating in Ministerial posts), inevitably Provoke, as far as the EU is concernced, in relation with the still Pending Issue of UK's "BREXIT", precisely that Problem which had been, already, Denounced as "No 1" Danger, as Early as since the 1st EU Summit in Brussels just after the BREXIT Referendum, back on June 2016, by the Experienced Secretary General of ChristianDemocrat/EPP Party, Spanish MEP Lopez Istures, speaking to "Eurofora" on the spot, (See : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/eppsummitoutcomeafterbrexit.html ) : I.e., More "UnCertainties".


This was also Stressed, Now, by EU's High Representative for External Actions, former Foreign Minister of Italy, Federica Mogerini, who reportedly Denounced the Fact that, even 1 Year after the Referendum, we still doN't know the UK position on Brexit, and it seems Difficult to Predict When we will...


While Even BREXIT's spiritual "Father", former Long-Time UKIP's President, Nigel Farage, reportedly Criticized, (according to Mainstream "ITV" Media), that, just after this Latest UK Election, "quite Frankly, I doN't know what's going to happen here !", (sic).


=> In such a Context, it's understandable, but also quite Unconvincing, that BBC's Main News Story runs Now on British Prime Minister Theresa May's "promise to provide <<Certainty>>", as she reportedly found as more Important to say...

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+ Moreover, mainstream UK Media Started to speak about a so-called "Soft" PREXIT, as a Result of this Election.


And even Farage, reportedly Warned that "we're going to see a significant Backslide on BREXIT".

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Last, but not least, Many might, Legitimately, raise the Question : - "WHY all this, happens NOW ?"


To what, several other Experienced Observers, are enclined to Reply, in substance, by pointing, mainly, at German Chancellor Angie Merkel's widely commented (even at the US White House !) alleged Wording, (reportedly used shortly after the Latest NATO and G7 Summits), that "Europeans have now to take care by themselves, without waiting no more for others to do that for them"...


Something which, particularly if it's related also to Security - Defence Policies, notoriously meets the Diachronic positions of all those who have served as Presidents of France, regardless of political parties or individual persons.


And, when even the most Recent moves by EU Commission's President, experienced former Long-Time Prime Minister of Luxembourg and EuroGroup's Chairman, Jean-Claude Juncker, reportedly Head, precisely towards that same Direction of Boosting EU's own, Autonomous Security-Defense Policy, at the eve of the forthcoming, June 2017 EU Heads of State/Governments' Summit in Brussels, (i.e. something that Neither the UK's establishment itself, as well as some much Wider Global Circles, have NEVER accepted), then, at least a great part of what Surprizing and/or UnExpected things happened in this "Bumpy" UK General Election, may become much more Easy to Guess...

 

 + Particularly since, in Addition, (as "Eurofora" has some recent Factual reasons to suppose), it's not at all excluded that even Turkey might be, in Secret, (i.e. without admitting that yet in Public), currently Watching what could happen with UK's Brexit, in order to, eventualy, revendicate a Similar solution also for itself, in the foreseable Future...

 

 

(../..)


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***


(NDLR : Partly UPDATED)

+

("DraftNews", as already send to "Eurofora" Subsrcribers/Donords, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, might be Published asap).


***


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Sarkozy and Merkel : June 2009 solution to May 2005 "NO" ?

 - Will French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel live up from June 2009 to their obvious Historic European mission to revitalize, and re-launch the "European Dream", after the series of 3 "NO" since May 2005 in France, the Netherlands and Ireland, by renewing, and changing the EU with fresh stimulus, big horizons, and values attractive for EU Citizens ?

Whatever views anyone might have, it's a Fact that, recently, EU's political spectrum didn't produce other more charismatic and popular EU leaders than Merkel and Sarkozy, starting from September 2005 and May 2007, respectively.

This trend was confirmed, in one way or another, both during the German EU presidency in 2007 (shared by Merkel with the SPD), and mainly during the French EU Presidency in 2008, (with Sarkozy "free" to move).


The positive 2009 EU Polls are a natural consequence :

- Both with 72% Sarkozy and Merkel are considered by EU Citizens to be "the most Influential" leaders in Europe, by far.

- They are the only EU political leaders to attract a Majority of "Positive" views by EU Citizens, (Merkel over 60%, Sarkozy over 50%, particularly in the continent).

- 60% of EU Citizens find the 2008 French EU Presidency "Good", (and the satisfaction grows up to 67,5% in continental Europe).

The Poll was made by "OpinionWay" in big EU countries as Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK, (with the only exception of France), from 26 to 28 May 2009.

sarkozy_merkel_polls_400

But the most important is that both Franco-German leaders seem willing to, at last, really start serious business on EU's indispensable renovation and Renaissance from 2009 : Year of crucial EU and German Elections.

Therefore, this time, the joint European move by Sarkozy and Merkel, which just published a common Franco-German Manifesto, aims to stimulate aspirations and action not only in their respective countries, but also in many other EU "partners", as they say.

Both on EU economy, social values and scientifico-technologic research, as well as on Turkey's controversial EU bid, obviously incompatible with a popular Political Europe, whose Citizens can find a collective Identity and popular Values, they have already started to magnetize various growing voices accross the European landscape :

"Today, more than ever, it' time for action", they stress from the outset.

Facing "an unprecedented Global financial and economic Crisis", "Europeans must get resolutely involved if they want for the World which is being built to meet their Values of Liberty, Solidarity and Justice".

"That's what we want" and "propose to our Partners" :

* "A strong Europe, able to protect us" :

- "We refuse a Bureaucratic EU, which mecanically applies burdensome rules and is afraid of change. We want a European Union which listens what Citizens have to say, which innovates, stimulates".

- "We want a strong and united EU in the World, while also respecting its Member States' Diversity", which "brings Courageous Replies to the Questions of our Times, ensuring our Prosperity :  

This implies to "favor Research and Innovation", "Economic Coordination", to "develop real Policies on Immigrationn, Energy, Defence, and modernise  common policies, particularly Agriculture".

*  "EU must bring immediate replies to the Global Crisis".

- "Lawless liberalism failed". "The Model we want is that of a Responsible Market Economy, which favors Enterpreneurs and Workers, above Speculators ;  Long-term Investment, over immediate profiits".

- "We appeal upon the EU to take, from June, the first decisions to ensure a real European Regulation of Financial Markets, based on coordination and cooperation". "On speculative funds, on fiscal heavens, CEO's and financial operators' earnings, EU must give the example".

- "We call to change the rules of accounts, which are important for our Economy's revival : The competent normative authorities must take action". "The issue of a sufficient Credit offer is of central importance for our Economy". "We don't accept that, during this Financial Crisis, the European Banks' capacity to lend money might be unjustly reduced by Capital's requirements and accountant's rules

* "During the German and French Presidencies, EU has resoçlutely prepared itself for the fight against Global Warming... EU is the 1st and only area in the World to have adopted a package of ambitious and legally binding rules to comply with International Aims"

- "We have now to convince our Friends and Partners, to get involved, in order to atteint, next December at Copenhagen, a Global Agreement worthy of whay is at stake. Our closer ally, the US, but also other big industrial countries, must commit themselves with the same force as the Europeans".

"Green Growth is a Chance ... and an opportunity to create jobs turned towards the Future. Europe must be a leader".

- But, at the same time, we must ensure that our companies remain competitive in the World. The ambitious European involvements on Climat must not lead into a position where EU industry might become a Victim of Unfair Competition. Climat protection and Competitvity must go together. If our International partners refuse to associate themselves to our efforts, we are determined to take measures to protect European Industry"

* "Europe must be more ambitious for its Industry" : "It must favor the emergence of strong European enterprises at a Global level".

- "As long as an International mechanism" to "monitor Public Aids at WTO level, and hinder 3rd Countries to give abusive subsidies to their enterprises, provoking unfair competition", is "not yet set up, we must consider Transitory European Solutions".

* "The current Public Debt is too heavy... We must head anew towards sound public finance, as soon as we'd have passed the crucial stage in this crisis".
-------------------------------------------------

* Last, but not least :  "Europe must play a top-level role in the World"

- "For that purpose,  it needs efficient Institutions. That's why we need Lisbon Treaty". "The 27 Member States decided, last December (2008) that the Treaty should enter into force before the end of this year (2009)". To obtain that, June EU Council must agree "on the Guarantees for Ireland".

- But, "to be able to act, EU needs Borders. An Enlargment without Limits is not possible", Sarkozy and Merkel stressed in an obvious reference to Turkey, etc.

- "In order to be strong, Europe must assume its Values and its Identity". "Human Rights .. are at the basis of our commitment for a Peaceful Development accross the World".

- "For that purpose, we shall strengthen our common Defence and Security policy".
----------------------

* "We are ready to contribute to activate the EU towards the realisation of these aims, with our EU Partners".

"In order to succeed", Europe  "needs the active involvment of all, starting by Citizens themselves. That's why the June 7 rendez-vous is important", and "we are calling all Europeans to vote".

"We are convinced that, if Europe wants, Europe can", they conclude.
-----------------------

Precisely : - What can better forge "Europe's Will" than a "European Consciousness" emerging from political, democratic struggles to face Global Challenges, and open big New Horizons, including by crystal-clear Public Debates, with active EU Citizens' involvement, before the most important EU Decisions affecting People's lives ?

Precisely what "EuroFora"s project warns since 1997-2007, and unprecedented Majority Abstentions, since 1999-2004, added to 3 "NO" to EU Referenda in 2005 and 2007, proved meanwhile..

Let's hope that the Time wasted by some scandalous anti-European and anti-Democratic obstacles of the Past, will stimulate faster, simplified but substantial and persistent, efficient action.-

Polls

2009 EU Elections were won by Parties against Technocracy and Turkey's controversial EU bid, while the 1999-2004 Majority Abstention trend decelerated. What should be done in 2009-2014 ?

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