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Pagina principale arrow newsitems arrow UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

UK Election + BREXIT Chemistry : Get Farage out, and all goes astray ! But Why Now ?

Scritto da ACM
Thursday, 08 June 2017
uk_2017_election_results__eurofora_patchwork_400_01

*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- 0ne Picture resumes Everything about these Surprising 2017 UK Elections. No Need to read Dozens of Pages, watch at so-called "Experts" in Boring Medias, follow a Long Series of Politicians' bla-bla, etc...Don't search for the Moon at Broad MidDay! Simply look at the Main Fact : What did the British People Vote for ?


One Number says it all :  - Without Farage, this time, the UKIP vanished, it dissolved in the air, and the Big Parties shared its Voters !


Back on 2015, Farage's UKIP had reached about 12 % of the Votes, but Now, on 2017, a "UKIP" withOut Farage, Fell Down to Only about 1,5%, i.e. Nothing...


Corbyn's Labour Party got almost 2/3 of it, and May's Conservatives 1/3, Augmenting Both their Votes now .


Why ? Simply because (as Farage reminds) Corbyn had suddenly made an U-Turn for BREXIT, against Mass Migration, etc., (i.e. practicaly Copied a part of Farage's main Issues), while May continued also on her Careful BREXIT path.


This stems also from the parallel Fact that, at the Same Time, 3 Pro-EU "Remain" and Anti-BREXIT small/medium Parties : the "Greens", Liberals-Dems, and the Scottish Autonomists, (who kept the Same Leaders as before, Contrary to the UKIP), All Faced voters' Losses : Even if the Lib-Dems limited their votes' Losses down to -0,5%, the Scots Lost almost -2%, the "Greens" Losing more : about - 2,5% less than before. I.e., Totaling another Loss of - 5% of Votes in 2017, compared to 2015.


(On the Contrary, the pro-BREXIT -even if "Soft"- DUP Conservative Party at Northern Ireland, won at least +0,3% more Votes : See also Infra).


=> All this Resulted into the UK Conservatives Winning almost + 6% More of Votes, Remaining the First Party of Great Britain, with about 42,5% of Voters, while the Labour (Socialists) won Even More: about + 10%, reaching almost 40% of Voters.

But, probably Because the Main Blame for the Latest 3 Islamist Terrorists' Deadly Attacks, cowardaly Targetting Civilian People, twice in London and once in Manchester, was First addressed against Prime Minister Theresa May's Governing Conservatives, (partly also by the Right Side in the Conservative Party), instead of realizing the Fact that All of these ISIS' Attacks occured in 2 Cities whose Mayors were Labour ("Socialists" : including even Controversial Heads of local Police : Comp.: ...+...), and in which a Growing Islamization had already provoked Exceptionaly Big Muslim Minorities in deepening Cultural "Ghettos", (f.ex. more than 14 % in London and + 16 % in Manchester), Paradoxically, Westminster got - 13 Less Conservative MPs tha before, and + 30 More Labour MPs than back on 2015. (Possibly also due to the Fact that Labour "Socialists" usual Clientelist policies, Focused on certain Local Areas, served to get More New MPs than Conservatives, whose Ideological/Political Influence was more Spread all over the Country, given UK's special "1st Taks All" electoral system).


However, since the Conservatives remain the Biggest Political Party of Great Britain, with 318 MPs, (compared to "only" 262 for Labour), neverheless, Theresa May hopes to Keep the Government going, thanks also to a Support from the DUP : the Democratic Unionist Party of Norhern Island, which Wins +2 MPs More in 2017, (passing from 8 to 10), so that, in Addition, eventualy, also of some "Other", Independent and/or Smaller Parties' MPs, (13 in all), May might Reach the Absolute Majority threshhold of 326 MPs, (i.e. just +10 more, than what she already has got).


And this, even if the Liberal-Dems, (who had already forged a Governing Coalition with the Conservatives, back on 2010), this Time said that they wouldn't like a coalition with Neither among the 2 Biggest Parties now.


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The Reason for which Farage's exceptional Absence from this UKIP Campaign 2017 was the Main Factor which provoked a 2nd Political "Earthquake" Now, after that of the 2016's "BREXIT" Referendum, (which had been also UnExpected by Polls), obviously is also that his usual Strong Ideological, Argumentary and Socio-Political Push lacked, this time, to an Alternative UKIP's InExperienced Leadership, which didn't manage, f.ex., to find anything more Interesting to say in 2017, as its Electoral Campaign Moto, than a mere ...Copy of French "Social-Liberal" Macron's own moto, i the 2nd Round of the Presidential Election : "For France, Together !", transposed as "For Britain, Together !"... Macron's truc, apparently, didn't work at all vis a vis the British People...

I.e., Nothing to do with the Famous, Nigel Farage's Headline Moto for UKIP's Biggest ever Win at the 2009 EU Parliament's Elections, which read : - "No to Turkey's Accession into the EU !", (when the British People boosted UKIP's MEPs from only 2 up to 19, allowing them to form, later-on, even a Brand New Political Group, etc).


Even Less with Farage's 2015 UKIP, which strongly Fought both against controversial and Unpopular "Gay Marriage", with Children submitted to Homosexuals' power under Pretext of so-called "Adoption", etc, (Same Positions with those Defended by DUP of Norhern Ireland until Today : Comp. Supra), and against Tony Blair's damned anti-Legacy, whose Heavy Responsibilities (including for Iraq's Foreign Military Invasion/Occupation since Back on 2003, etc), were at least partly Denounced by a Long Official UK Report at the Beginning of Summer 2016, (etc), as well as against the Risks provoked by that 2015-2016 sudden "Tsunami" of Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants coming via Turkish' Smugglers inside Europe through EU and Shengen's Member Greece's Border laxist Leftist Government, followed by Stern Warnings also against Ankara Government's claim for more than 80 Millions of Turks to get a "VISA-FREE" status, allowing them to Enter and Stay inside the EU, whenever they like, during at least 6 Months each Year, (etc)...  


Lacking such Strong Political Arguments, as it was also reflected by its  ...Macron-inspired "Pass-Partout" vague Campaign Moto "for Britain, Together", (Comp. Supra), in Addition to Nigel Farage's personal Rhetoric capacities, (meanwhile focused much more on his New Job as ...Journalist at LBC Radio), following his Exceptional Decision to Resign from UKIP's Leadership just after BREXIT Referendum back on 2016, and Remain at EU Parliament, as President of the EFDD Group of MEPs even now on 2017, (etc), it was Inevitable for nowadays UKIP, (which wasn't, in fact, but only a Ghost of its Earlier shelf), to Fail to attract People, particularly since Both the 2 Biggest Parties of the Country started to claim that they pursued an Agenda Respectful of the 2016 Referendum's Agenda, (Comp. Supra).


A we have clearly Analysed previously (See, f.ex. : ....), "BREXIT"s Unexpected success on 2016, was, in reality, Due also to certain Issues which had Nothing to do with a so-called "Anti-European" stance, but rather with the Fact that People could No more Find Anyone from the Establishment to Defend them efficiently, and Even to some Issues which could, in fact, be considered to be, in Substance, rather the Opposite : i.e. Pro-European positions, that some mainstream Politicians had Betrayed, (f.ex. on European Culture, Population, Christian roots, Fight agains Islamist Terrorism, Peaceful relations with Russia, but also Syria, BioEthical Values, People's Access to Health Care, Protection of External Borders from Mass Immigration as that which was suddenly brought by Turkish Smugglers provoking a lot of Unprecedented Problems and Risks for EU Citizens and even for real refugees, etc).


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All these Facts and Events, Now, by Resulting, at least for the Time being, in a "Hang" Parliament, (i.e. without an a priori Explicit and Full Absolute Majority Government : the DUP supporting the Conservatives according to a Special Arrangement, withOut directly participating in Ministerial posts), inevitably Provoke, as far as the EU is concernced, in relation with the still Pending Issue of UK's "BREXIT", precisely that Problem which had been, already, Denounced as "No 1" Danger, as Early as since the 1st EU Summit in Brussels just after the BREXIT Referendum, back on June 2016, by the Experienced Secretary General of ChristianDemocrat/EPP Party, Spanish MEP Lopez Istures, speaking to "Eurofora" on the spot, (See : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/eppsummitoutcomeafterbrexit.html ) : I.e., More "UnCertainties".


This was also Stressed, Now, by EU's High Representative for External Actions, former Foreign Minister of Italy, Federica Mogerini, who reportedly Denounced the Fact that, even 1 Year after the Referendum, we still doN't know the UK position on Brexit, and it seems Difficult to Predict When we will...


While Even BREXIT's spiritual "Father", former Long-Time UKIP's President, Nigel Farage, reportedly Criticized, (according to Mainstream "ITV" Media), that, just after this Latest UK Election, "quite Frankly, I doN't know what's going to happen here !", (sic).


=> In such a Context, it's understandable, but also quite Unconvincing, that BBC's Main News Story runs Now on British Prime Minister Theresa May's "promise to provide <<Certainty>>", as she reportedly found as more Important to say...

--------------------------------------------------------------------


+ Moreover, mainstream UK Media Started to speak about a so-called "Soft" PREXIT, as a Result of this Election.


And even Farage, reportedly Warned that "we're going to see a significant Backslide on BREXIT".

--------------------------------------------------------------------

Last, but not least, Many might, Legitimately, raise the Question : - "WHY all this, happens NOW ?"


To what, several other Experienced Observers, are enclined to Reply, in substance, by pointing, mainly, at German Chancellor Angie Merkel's widely commented (even at the US White House !) alleged Wording, (reportedly used shortly after the Latest NATO and G7 Summits), that "Europeans have now to take care by themselves, without waiting no more for others to do that for them"...


Something which, particularly if it's related also to Security - Defence Policies, notoriously meets the Diachronic positions of all those who have served as Presidents of France, regardless of political parties or individual persons.


And, when even the most Recent moves by EU Commission's President, experienced former Long-Time Prime Minister of Luxembourg and EuroGroup's Chairman, Jean-Claude Juncker, reportedly Head, precisely towards that same Direction of Boosting EU's own, Autonomous Security-Defense Policy, at the eve of the forthcoming, June 2017 EU Heads of State/Governments' Summit in Brussels, (i.e. something that Neither the UK's establishment itself, as well as some much Wider Global Circles, have NEVER accepted), then, at least a great part of what Surprizing and/or UnExpected things happened in this "Bumpy" UK General Election, may become much more Easy to Guess...

 

 + Particularly since, in Addition, (as "Eurofora" has some recent Factual reasons to suppose), it's not at all excluded that even Turkey might be, in Secret, (i.e. without admitting that yet in Public), currently Watching what could happen with UK's Brexit, in order to, eventualy, revendicate a Similar solution also for itself, in the foreseable Future...

 

 

(../..)


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***


(NDLR : Partly UPDATED)

+

("DraftNews", as already send to "Eurofora" Subsrcribers/Donords, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, might be Published asap).


***


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    EU Rapporteur on Enlargment Strategy, maistream German MEP Elmar Brok, speaking to "EuroFora", welcomed the proposal made earlier this week by French President Nicolas Sarkozy for the EU to"start Now Talks with Turkey to create a common Economic and Security area", instead of full Accession, at a period when Ankara looks more and more unfit and/or unwilling to respect EU conditions.

    - "For Europe to have strong Political will, it must stop dilutiing itself in an endless Enlargement. It must have borders...Diversities enrich, on the condition that they don't undermine European Cohesion, and don't weaken EU Unity", Sarkozy stressed.
    
    - "Countries like Turkey share a part of common destiny with Europe, with which they have a vocation to build a Privileged Relation, to be closely associated, but not to become Member of the EU"  : "Noone respects his friends by telling them lies. Noone respects his friends by making them promises that will be never kept", he added.

    That's why "we'd better start, from now, negotiating with Turkey to create a common Economic and Security area", Sarkozy proposed.

Significantly, the French President was repeatedly and largely applauded by EU citizens, 3 times, when he made the Turkey point, (strategically placed between Europe's "Political Will" and its cultural heritage, historically open to mutually enriching dialogue with all the World, but never diluted).

    - "We could propose such a great ambition also to Russia, which must not be percieved as an Adversary of Europe, but as a Partner. Thus, we'd create a wide area, of more than 800 Million inhabitants, sharing the same Security, the same Prosperity", he concluded.

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    Sarkozy's move was anounced at the eve of a Franco-German Top meeting with Chancellor Angie Merkel in Berlin on Sunday, to jointly launch the EU Elections campain, after an EU Summit at nearby Prague, to launch a new kind of relations, called "Eastern Partnership", with neighboring countries such as Urkaine, Belarus, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaidjan, etc, (to which Russia, reportedly, is not - and does not want to be - included).

    As for Ukraine, which has already expressed her wish to join the EU in future, "Kiev will have a special place, and a very important role to play", replied earlier this week in Strasbourg, to an "EuroFora" question EU Chairman in office , Czech vice-Prime Minister Alexander Vodra.

    - "This direction is more Realistic for Turkey than Accession negotiations", reacted immediately EU Parliament's Rapporteur for Enlargment Strategy, mainstream German MEP Elmar Brok, commenting Sarkozy's idea for "EuroFora"

     Particularly "as far as it concerns the respect of EU Rules by both sides", he added, hinting at Turkey's now obvious inability and/or unwillingness to abide with EU Acquis, EU Commitments (fex. on Cyprus, etc), and European Democracy/Human Rights rules. (Comp. infra).

    Brok added that, in his view, a similar proposal might be made also to Ukraine and other neighbouring Countries, regardless if they have, or not, a "European vocation". This would not necessarily mean that there couldn't be any accession prospects at all." for all the countries that might be included in this area, according to Brok.  But it's preferable, particularly for Turkey, "because it's a more Realistic approach than full Membership".

    On this point, Sarkozy's proposal, (which he'll share with German Chancellor Merkel), seems more crystal-clear.

daul_in_press_file_400

    - "Turkey does not fullfil EU Criteria, and will never fullfil EU Criteria" on Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law. "Some have been lying to Ankara, but we must tell the Truth, and have honest and close relations with her", said meanwhile to "EuroFora" on the same issue also the President of EU Parliament's largest Group of MEPs (ChristianDemocrats/EPP), Joseph Daul.
------------------------------
"Hot" Debate at EU Parliament reveals CHANGE of mood towards "Suspension" of EU - Tukey talks.
------------------------------
    Earlier this week, many MEPs, and even some of those who were previously in favor of Turkey's controversial EU bid, strongly criticized the persistance and even aggravation of serious Human Rights violations in the country, that ECHR continues to "unanimously" condemn ":

      - "After winning a big victory in the latest Local Elections, the pro-Kurdish party DTP almost doubled its Elected Mayors from 52 to 98", but afterwards "more than 400 politicians were thrown to Prison and prosecuted" by the Turkish Authorities, denounced on behalf of the ChristianDemocrat/EPP Group, Belgian MEP Frieda Brepoels.

     At the same time, "more than 1.500 Children are closed in Turkish Prisons", she added. "What will the EU Commission do" against these facts ?

- "Turkey appears to be at greater Distance away from Copenhagen Criteria after 4 Years of accession Negotiations, than when they started !", denounced on behalf of the Liberal Group, German MEP Alexander Lambsdorf.    

"On the central issue of Press Freedom, Critical Journalists face obstacles for their accreditation, others are prosecuted, condemned, fined and/or jailed, Media blocked or closed", he denounced.   

 - "EU Made 2 grave Mistakes with Turkey : To start accession negotiations, and to continue them", despite everything, criticized Dutch MEP Bastian Belder, on behalf of the Ind/Dem group.

(../..)

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