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Inicio arrow newsitems arrow Czech Vote: New center-Right Citizens movements Win v. Kafka Castle Traditional Establishment's Left

Czech Vote: New center-Right Citizens movements Win v. Kafka Castle Traditional Establishment's Left

Escrito por ACM
21.10.17
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*From Brussels to Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Stonger and quite Different than usually Expected, interesting New potential Political Patterns appear to Emerge from Today's 2017 Parliamentary Elections in the Czech Republic, that one may Clearly see, as Brightly as through a Bohemian Crystal, an Overall Image ressembling to a kind of Brand New Popular Aspiration for a version of Historic British Publicist Writer, Herbert Spencer's famous Book :  "Man versus the State", to be adequately accomodated perhaps in a Franz Kafka's "the Castle" context, if one might Dream...


+ While Hard Realities also plead for an obvious Swift from the People in favour of what may be named a "New Right", against what some Criticise as an "Establishment"'s so-called "Left", roughly speaking, (See Infra)...


++ The Additional Fact that, by an Extraordinary but Symbolic Coincidence, all this takes place while the Czech Republic currently Holds a big Responsibility as rotating President (from May to November 2017) of the PanEuropean CoE's Organisation for Democracy, Human Rights, and Rule of Law, Headquartered in Strasbourg, naturally gives an even more Spicy flavour to the Dish that Czech People have just Chosen to serve to both their Politicians and all European/Global Observers :


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 - Notoriously, the most commented Surprize of these 2017 Election, was the Stronger than Expected Win of the Frontrunner "Dissatisfied Citizens"' Movement (ANO) of atypical "Czech Donald Trump", Andrei Babis : A self-made Millionaire in Agri + Media Business, who had run from the start mainly on an Anti-Corruption platform, Critical of the Traditional Political Establishment, until he Clashed with its formerly Strongest Representatives : the "Socialists", resulting, finally, in a Sharper than initially prognosed Downfall of the Socialdemocrat party, after it provoked a Row over a Controversial Tax issue, recently.


Babis' "ANO", that he has described as "a Right-Wing party with Social Empathy", Won now the First place, with about 30 % of the Votes, and 78 MPs, (i.e. an Augmentation of +11% More in Votes, and +31 More MEPs), OutNumbering even the 50 MEPs that used to have, Previously, the Socialists, who had Led the Country's Government for Years, until now, (See Infra).


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+ In Addition, 2017 Czech Election saw an Exceptional Multiplication of various "New" Parties : More than 19 (i.e. almost the 2/3 of All Parties) !...


>>> One of them even Succeeded to Climb Up to the 3rd Rank in the Country, Winning 22 MPs, with +11% of Votes :


- The "Freedom and Direct Democracy" (SPD) party, named after Nigel Farage's homonymous Group of MEPs in EU Parliament, but Linked also to Marine Le Pen's Rightists, and Founded by Tomio Okamura (a Czech-Japanese), former ChristianDemocrat/EPP of the Right, Opposed to "Islamization" and Oligarchs' Corruption, as well as supporter of Direct Voting.


+ Another New Party : "Independents and Mayors", (Liberal-Conservatives, who recently got 1 MEP in EU Parliament), Won 6 MPs at the National Czech Assembly, with 5,2% of Votes.

++ But it's a ReNovated "Pirate"' Party, which also Created a Surprize by being Propulsed to an Equivalent 3rd Rank ex-equo,  Winning, alike, 22 MPs with about 11% of the Votes, (Astonishingly, from only 1% or 2%  Before), for the First Time in its short History.


"E-Government" and Citizens' Participation in Public Decision-Making, as well as Government's Transparency and Accountability, Freedom of Information and Speech, often basic Social/Health-Care, etc., notoriously were among any real "Pirate" Party's typical Program points, already in the recent Past.


But its New, "propulsion Engine", seems to be mainly a former Anti-Corruption Whistle-Blower (who had reportedly Sacrificed his Job in order to Reveal the Truth about some Shady Politicians shamefuly Exploiting People's Money and Power), Libor Michalek : An Evangelical Christian and Economist who Recently succeeded the Exploit to Bring Together, what's Best in the "Pirates", with the "Greens", and even the "ChristianDemocrats/EPP", Unifying their support for Direct Democracy, fearless Criticism, and Moral Values, respectively, (as it has been done also for his own Election as Senator, in an Exceptional Agreement between those 3 Political Parties, earlier).


I.e. what seems to Personify, in Brief, the Main Substance of Czech People's Aspirations, all accross the entire Spectrum of Results in these October 2017 Elections (Comp. Supra and Infra)...


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Among the "Old" Parties, significantly, it's Only the Atypical social-Conservative CDS, "Civic Democratic" party, (Initially a Breakaway from the "Civic Forum"), of former President Vaclav Klaus (Right), which is Not Affected by the Fall of Pre-existing parties, and even Ameliorates its Latest score up to 11,3% (i.e. +3,6% More of Votes), Winning 25 MPs (i.e. +9 More).


But withOut Any relation to its Former 30 - 35% Vote scores, compared to which, it's now Only a Shadow of what it used to be, (while, nevertheless, it holds the Rank of 2nd Party in the country).


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All the Other Traditional Parties Fall Down sharply :  


The Worst Losses affect the Left, wih the "Socialists" (- 35 MPs Less, Reduced to 7% of Votes Only !), closely Followed by the "Communists" ( - 18 MPs Less, Reduced to 7,8% of Votes), up to the Centrists/Liberals of "TOP 09" ( - 19 MPs Less, Reduced to 5,8% of Votes).


Only the Center-Right of ChristianDemocrats/EPP Limits the Loss to Just -  4 MPs Less, with a Stagnation of Votes: -0,98%
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=> One among Various possible Combinations for a New Government Coalition in the 200 MPs Strong Parliament in Prague, most probably Led by the "Dissatisfied Citizens"' Movement (ANO) of former Minister Babis, (Comp. Supra), might Include, f.ex., the 100 MPs of the ANO (78) and of "Freedom and Direct Democracy" (22), Together, perhaps, with the 6 MPs of the "Independents and Mayors", and/or the "Pirate" party's 22 MPs, if the Czech People's most "ReNewal" overall Vote (Comp. Supra) would be given Priority.


AnOther, more "Stability"-oriented Variation, could Obviously be for the Top Winner Babis' "Dissatisfied Citizens" ANO's 78 MPs to be Simply associated with the 25 MPs of the "social-Conservatives" of the atypical "Civic Democratic Party", i.e. Totalling, all Together, an Absolute Majority of 103 MPs, possibly Strengthened Further also by the Addition of the ChristianDemocrats/EPP's 10 MPs, (i.e. = Majority of 113 MPs, in the 200-strong Parliament), and/or the "Independents and Mayors"' 6 MPs, (i.e. = Majority of 119 MPs).


However, in the Second case, such a Variation risks to leave at the Opposition :


- Not Only the heavily Defeated center-Left, of the Socialists, Communists, and Liberals (TOP 09), who Total Now only 37 MPs, (i.e. 15 + 15 + 7, respectively);


+ But Also a brand New, Potentialy politically Explosive Mixture of 44 MPs from "Freedom and Direct Democracy", and "Pirate" parties (with 22 + 22 MPs each), may be Sooner or Later joined even by Other like-minded Newcomers, (as, f.ex. the "Independents"), or ReNovated forces (not to exclude f.ex. those "ChrisianDemocrats/EPP" who recently Voted, Together with the "Greens", for a ..."Pirate" party candidate : Comp. Supra)...


And the non-negligeable Fact that, in Addition, various among those Exceptionally Numerous, 17 "New" Parties (currently Totalling More than 6,3%, including the "Greens"), which did Not Yet cross, one by one, the required 5% Threshhold in order to Enter Now in the Parliament, have adopted such Explicit Names as, f.ex., "Free Citizens", "Civic Rights", "Civic Alliance", "Citizen 2011", "H.A.V.E.L", etc., as well as "Nation-Patriotic Union", "Bloc against Islamization - Defense of Homeland", "Vote Right", "Nation Together", "National Front", etc., taken Together also with the Relevant Fact that about 40 % of Registered Voters had chosen now to Abstain, seems to Warn that the above-mentioned "Stability" variation might Fail, sooner or later.


Unless due Precaution is taken in order to Integrate in Mainstream Government Coalition politics, also, at least a Significant Part (if not all) of that Brand "New Political Mixture", clearly Resulting from all the above mentioned Facts of that Exceptional 2017 Czech Election, (Comp. Supra), in a Crystal-clear way, remindful of "Bohemian Glass", World-Famous "for its high Quality, Craftsmanship, beauty and often Innovative Designs", (according to Wikipedia)...


At any case, the New Czech Government's Foreign Minister, whoever may be finally chosen, is due to personally Chair the forhcoming PanEuropean CoE's Committee of Ministers' Summit, on November 15, in Strasbourg, on the occasion of the official handover of CoE's rotating Chairmanship to the successor of the Czech Republic : Denmark.

One of the 5 or 6 EU Countries with a Government currently based on a Unity of the Right.

 

coes_officials_attend_a_musical_event_organized_by_the_czech_presidency_of_the_paneuropean_body_in_strasburg_18.10..2017_eurofora_400

(CoE's Officials attend a Musical event organized by the Czech Presidency of the PanEuropean body in Strasbourg, 18.10.2017 - photo by Eurofora)

 

(../..)

 

 

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Swedish Foreign Minister, Carl Bildt, speaking  to "EuroFora", denied rumors on Turkey's attempts to avoid an EU check of its obligations on Cyprus on December 2009 by blackmailing Nicosia to either accept any deal with intransigeant Turkish claims contrary to EU values on the island's political issue, or face threats against the territorial integriy of the EU island, semi-occupied by Ankara's army.

On the contrary, the incoming EU President-in-office, speaking exclusively to "EuroFora", promissed that he will act for EU Council's decisions on December 2009 assessment of Turkey's commitments on Cyprus to be kept.


    Bildt was asked to react to Cyprus' President Christofias' denunciation, earlier this week, that some want to exert "pressure" on Cyprus in order for Turkey to escape from its obligations.

    Avoiding to mention any precise Deadline, Bildt, however, warned about "Consequences" in case of "failure" to reunite Cyprus, but without saying whose responsibility an eventual deadlock might be.  

 Asked by "EuroFora" if there is a risk for "Turkey's commitments to "be forgotten or downgraded", "despite crystal-clear EU Council decisions and EU Parliament's latest Resolution on the assessment to make at the end of this year on Turkey's obligations", according to rumours that, instead of pressing Turkey, on the contrary, there might be "pressure on Cyprus", even "blackmail", as Media reported and President Christofias denounced this week, Bildt denied :

- "No ! ", he clearly replied.


- On the contrary, invited by "EuroFora", to "reassure that the Swedish EU Presidency (7-12/2009) will keep a fair stance, based on principles",  Bildt promised that "we (Swedish EU Presidency) will be very clear on all of the decisions taken by the (EU) Council".

He added, however, that "we have very numerous decisions that have been taken" by EU Council, as if he warned, also, on something else.

- "'I am not aware of any sort of statements coming out today''", Bildt started to say, on our reference to Cyprus' President Christofias" denunciation of Turkish lobby's manoeuvers this week, replying earlier to 'another"EuroFora"'s question during a Press Conference at EU Parliament in Strasbourg.


 - '"I know the issues that you' are concerned with'", he added, remembering  the statements he gave us when Sweden was chairing the PanEuropean CoE on 2008.

- "But, obviously, .. I think that Cyprus' Peace negotiations are extremenly important".

- And "'I think that we are at a unique moment in History, in the sens that both (Cyprus') President Christofias and Mr. Talat (the Turkish Cypriot leader), are personally convinced of the need to overcome the division".

 - "It's 20 Years since the fall of Berlin Wal, but we still have a Capital in Europe (Nicosia) that's divided". ,

- 'I don't that we should loose any time in overcoming that"..

 - ''We should be aware of the fact that success will bring great benefits, but failure, will also have major consequences. There will not be Status Quo' " It's a question of seeking a solution, or entering another situation, which is somewhat difficult to see exactly how that could evolve", he warned.

- "That being said, this is a negotiation for Cyprus itself", Bildt admitted.

 - ''We (EU) can support, the (EU) Commission primarily, be technically helpful, and then, of course, there is a specific role for the UN, when it comes to the Cyprus' situation".  

- "At least so far. It might not be for ever'. Certainly not for ever, but for this period of time", Bildt added, skiping now any reference to concrete threats on UNO's Peace keeping force in face of more than 40.000 Ankara's soldiers, contrary to some Press claims, (See previous NewsReports).


     Replying to another "EuroFora"'s Question,  if anyone might attempt to "impose a Deadline for the conclusion" of Cyprus' Talks on December 2009, Bildt avoided to speak of any precise Time-frame, and indirectly evoked the fact that  35 Years of Turkish Invasion/Occupation obviously durated too long :

'- "If I was from Cyprus, I would say that the Deadline was Yesterday ! '",
Bildt concluded.

Cyprus' Government Spokesman, Stephanou, reportedly pointed out that "a settlement is possible on December if Turkey changes its stance", accepting a solution for the reunification of the island based on UNO resolutiona and EU principles.

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Earlier, EU Chair, Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeld, highlighted an "historic opportunity" to "re-Unite" Cyprus according to EU's "basic Values"' (i.e. Human Rights) and 'Rules'", in a last-minute change of his draft speech to EU Parliament in Strasbourg.

    The initial Draft spoke only about "healing" the island.

    Significantly, Reinfeldt linked Cyprus' reunification with Turkey's obligations to respect EU's "Values" and "follow" EU's "common Rules" :

    - What is "called Membership Negotiations" should lead, "at- the end of the day", into "sharing a set of common Basic Values (i.e. Human Rights, Democracy, etc), and following common Rules", stressed Reinfeld from the outset.
    
    - "This is something that those on the Outside (of the EU), are now  contemplating", up "to Ankara", for "a solution" on "Cyprus", observed the EU Chairman, immediately afterwards..  

    - "Both sides of Cyprus have been granted a historic opportunity to together reach an agreement on a solution to re-Unite the island, that has been divided for far too long", said Reinfeldt, modifying his draft text.


-  "The Swedish Presidency will act ...in accordance with Commitments EU has made, on the basis of Criteria that apply", "as a Honest Broker", he promised.    

- "To those on the inside (of the EU), allowing the membership process to become an opportunity to solve protracted disputes, can be tempting", he added.


    "In such cases, we must find solutions that can benefit both sides, and open up a way forward. Otherwise, it would jeopardize the progress we have made towards EU integration", Reinfeldt said.

***

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