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Home arrow newsitems arrow Czech Vote: New center-Right Citizens movements Win v. Kafka Castle Traditional Establishment's Left

Czech Vote: New center-Right Citizens movements Win v. Kafka Castle Traditional Establishment's Left

Автор ACM
Суббота, 21 Октябрь 2017
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*From Brussels to Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Stonger and quite Different than usually Expected, interesting New potential Political Patterns appear to Emerge from Today's 2017 Parliamentary Elections in the Czech Republic, that one may Clearly see, as Brightly as through a Bohemian Crystal, an Overall Image ressembling to a kind of Brand New Popular Aspiration for a version of Historic British Publicist Writer, Herbert Spencer's famous Book :  "Man versus the State", to be adequately accomodated perhaps in a Franz Kafka's "the Castle" context, if one might Dream...


+ While Hard Realities also plead for an obvious Swift from the People in favour of what may be named a "New Right", against what some Criticise as an "Establishment"'s so-called "Left", roughly speaking, (See Infra)...


++ The Additional Fact that, by an Extraordinary but Symbolic Coincidence, all this takes place while the Czech Republic currently Holds a big Responsibility as rotating President (from May to November 2017) of the PanEuropean CoE's Organisation for Democracy, Human Rights, and Rule of Law, Headquartered in Strasbourg, naturally gives an even more Spicy flavour to the Dish that Czech People have just Chosen to serve to both their Politicians and all European/Global Observers :


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 - Notoriously, the most commented Surprize of these 2017 Election, was the Stronger than Expected Win of the Frontrunner "Dissatisfied Citizens"' Movement (ANO) of atypical "Czech Donald Trump", Andrei Babis : A self-made Millionaire in Agri + Media Business, who had run from the start mainly on an Anti-Corruption platform, Critical of the Traditional Political Establishment, until he Clashed with its formerly Strongest Representatives : the "Socialists", resulting, finally, in a Sharper than initially prognosed Downfall of the Socialdemocrat party, after it provoked a Row over a Controversial Tax issue, recently.


Babis' "ANO", that he has described as "a Right-Wing party with Social Empathy", Won now the First place, with about 30 % of the Votes, and 78 MPs, (i.e. an Augmentation of +11% More in Votes, and +31 More MEPs), OutNumbering even the 50 MEPs that used to have, Previously, the Socialists, who had Led the Country's Government for Years, until now, (See Infra).


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+ In Addition, 2017 Czech Election saw an Exceptional Multiplication of various "New" Parties : More than 19 (i.e. almost the 2/3 of All Parties) !...


>>> One of them even Succeeded to Climb Up to the 3rd Rank in the Country, Winning 22 MPs, with +11% of Votes :


- The "Freedom and Direct Democracy" (SPD) party, named after Nigel Farage's homonymous Group of MEPs in EU Parliament, but Linked also to Marine Le Pen's Rightists, and Founded by Tomio Okamura (a Czech-Japanese), former ChristianDemocrat/EPP of the Right, Opposed to "Islamization" and Oligarchs' Corruption, as well as supporter of Direct Voting.


+ Another New Party : "Independents and Mayors", (Liberal-Conservatives, who recently got 1 MEP in EU Parliament), Won 6 MPs at the National Czech Assembly, with 5,2% of Votes.

++ But it's a ReNovated "Pirate"' Party, which also Created a Surprize by being Propulsed to an Equivalent 3rd Rank ex-equo,  Winning, alike, 22 MPs with about 11% of the Votes, (Astonishingly, from only 1% or 2%  Before), for the First Time in its short History.


"E-Government" and Citizens' Participation in Public Decision-Making, as well as Government's Transparency and Accountability, Freedom of Information and Speech, often basic Social/Health-Care, etc., notoriously were among any real "Pirate" Party's typical Program points, already in the recent Past.


But its New, "propulsion Engine", seems to be mainly a former Anti-Corruption Whistle-Blower (who had reportedly Sacrificed his Job in order to Reveal the Truth about some Shady Politicians shamefuly Exploiting People's Money and Power), Libor Michalek : An Evangelical Christian and Economist who Recently succeeded the Exploit to Bring Together, what's Best in the "Pirates", with the "Greens", and even the "ChristianDemocrats/EPP", Unifying their support for Direct Democracy, fearless Criticism, and Moral Values, respectively, (as it has been done also for his own Election as Senator, in an Exceptional Agreement between those 3 Political Parties, earlier).


I.e. what seems to Personify, in Brief, the Main Substance of Czech People's Aspirations, all accross the entire Spectrum of Results in these October 2017 Elections (Comp. Supra and Infra)...


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Among the "Old" Parties, significantly, it's Only the Atypical social-Conservative CDS, "Civic Democratic" party, (Initially a Breakaway from the "Civic Forum"), of former President Vaclav Klaus (Right), which is Not Affected by the Fall of Pre-existing parties, and even Ameliorates its Latest score up to 11,3% (i.e. +3,6% More of Votes), Winning 25 MPs (i.e. +9 More).


But withOut Any relation to its Former 30 - 35% Vote scores, compared to which, it's now Only a Shadow of what it used to be, (while, nevertheless, it holds the Rank of 2nd Party in the country).


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All the Other Traditional Parties Fall Down sharply :  


The Worst Losses affect the Left, wih the "Socialists" (- 35 MPs Less, Reduced to 7% of Votes Only !), closely Followed by the "Communists" ( - 18 MPs Less, Reduced to 7,8% of Votes), up to the Centrists/Liberals of "TOP 09" ( - 19 MPs Less, Reduced to 5,8% of Votes).


Only the Center-Right of ChristianDemocrats/EPP Limits the Loss to Just -  4 MPs Less, with a Stagnation of Votes: -0,98%
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=> One among Various possible Combinations for a New Government Coalition in the 200 MPs Strong Parliament in Prague, most probably Led by the "Dissatisfied Citizens"' Movement (ANO) of former Minister Babis, (Comp. Supra), might Include, f.ex., the 100 MPs of the ANO (78) and of "Freedom and Direct Democracy" (22), Together, perhaps, with the 6 MPs of the "Independents and Mayors", and/or the "Pirate" party's 22 MPs, if the Czech People's most "ReNewal" overall Vote (Comp. Supra) would be given Priority.


AnOther, more "Stability"-oriented Variation, could Obviously be for the Top Winner Babis' "Dissatisfied Citizens" ANO's 78 MPs to be Simply associated with the 25 MPs of the "social-Conservatives" of the atypical "Civic Democratic Party", i.e. Totalling, all Together, an Absolute Majority of 103 MPs, possibly Strengthened Further also by the Addition of the ChristianDemocrats/EPP's 10 MPs, (i.e. = Majority of 113 MPs, in the 200-strong Parliament), and/or the "Independents and Mayors"' 6 MPs, (i.e. = Majority of 119 MPs).


However, in the Second case, such a Variation risks to leave at the Opposition :


- Not Only the heavily Defeated center-Left, of the Socialists, Communists, and Liberals (TOP 09), who Total Now only 37 MPs, (i.e. 15 + 15 + 7, respectively);


+ But Also a brand New, Potentialy politically Explosive Mixture of 44 MPs from "Freedom and Direct Democracy", and "Pirate" parties (with 22 + 22 MPs each), may be Sooner or Later joined even by Other like-minded Newcomers, (as, f.ex. the "Independents"), or ReNovated forces (not to exclude f.ex. those "ChrisianDemocrats/EPP" who recently Voted, Together with the "Greens", for a ..."Pirate" party candidate : Comp. Supra)...


And the non-negligeable Fact that, in Addition, various among those Exceptionally Numerous, 17 "New" Parties (currently Totalling More than 6,3%, including the "Greens"), which did Not Yet cross, one by one, the required 5% Threshhold in order to Enter Now in the Parliament, have adopted such Explicit Names as, f.ex., "Free Citizens", "Civic Rights", "Civic Alliance", "Citizen 2011", "H.A.V.E.L", etc., as well as "Nation-Patriotic Union", "Bloc against Islamization - Defense of Homeland", "Vote Right", "Nation Together", "National Front", etc., taken Together also with the Relevant Fact that about 40 % of Registered Voters had chosen now to Abstain, seems to Warn that the above-mentioned "Stability" variation might Fail, sooner or later.


Unless due Precaution is taken in order to Integrate in Mainstream Government Coalition politics, also, at least a Significant Part (if not all) of that Brand "New Political Mixture", clearly Resulting from all the above mentioned Facts of that Exceptional 2017 Czech Election, (Comp. Supra), in a Crystal-clear way, remindful of "Bohemian Glass", World-Famous "for its high Quality, Craftsmanship, beauty and often Innovative Designs", (according to Wikipedia)...


At any case, the New Czech Government's Foreign Minister, whoever may be finally chosen, is due to personally Chair the forhcoming PanEuropean CoE's Committee of Ministers' Summit, on November 15, in Strasbourg, on the occasion of the official handover of CoE's rotating Chairmanship to the successor of the Czech Republic : Denmark.

One of the 5 or 6 EU Countries with a Government currently based on a Unity of the Right.

 

coes_officials_attend_a_musical_event_organized_by_the_czech_presidency_of_the_paneuropean_body_in_strasburg_18.10..2017_eurofora_400

(CoE's Officials attend a Musical event organized by the Czech Presidency of the PanEuropean body in Strasbourg, 18.10.2017 - photo by Eurofora)

 

(../..)

 

 

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Sarkozy and Merkel want deals with Obama on European Security at Strasbourg's NATO 2009 Summit

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In parallel but concording moves, EU Chair, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel both invited this week US-President elect, Barack Obama, to discuss important deals breaking new ground on European Security during the NATO's 60 Years Anniversary Summit of Heads of State in Strasbourg, where Obama is expected to make his 1st visit to Europe as a President on April 2009.

Merkel focused mainly on smoother NATO - EU Defence and Security policy cooperation, while Sarkozy spoke about PanEuropean Security, associating both Russia and the USA, proposing to freeze missile and shields' deployement until an agreement is reached.

But both tackled some hard nuts to crack : Turkey's VETO against the participation of EU Member Cyprus to EU-NATO cooperation, and Russia's anouncement on deployment of missiles up to Kaliningrad, at EU's belly, in reply to USA's wish to set up missile shields in EU States such as Poland or Czech Republic, etc.


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- "Certainly...one of the points that we'll dicuss with the New US President", Barak OBAMA, "who will come f'or the 1st time in Europe as president, at the NATO Summit", co-hosted by France and Germany in Strasbourg, ""concerns, above all, the European Security and Defence Policy" (ESDP), and "the relations between NATO and its partners", with whom it should "work together", anounced earlier this week Merkel.

We must find "a reasonable and adequate concept to articulate NATO and European Security and Defense policy", because of a "series of practical issues, sometimes difficult to understand", but that "we must discuss".

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- "An example" of that is "the issue of Cyprus and Turkey", said Merkel, where Ankara raises problems "from Kosovo up to Afghanistan", as also CoE's chair, Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt recently observed in Strasbourg replying to EuroFora's questions.

- "We must do something to smoothen this problem for good, and not only on a case-by-case basis, laboriously negotiated each time". Here, we must find "a reasonable and adequate concept to articulate NATO and European Security and Defense policy", Merkel stressed.

- "With good will from all sides, it could and should be posible. Germany wants also to help on that". Otherwise, "the coming generations will not understand why it took Decades to do so". But, if we "don't even achieve that for Decades, this would be an Historic Failure !", the German Chancellor warned

- "I think that our American partners are increasingly realizing that", Merkel said, pleading for "a stronger European Security and Defence policy, with which, I believe, the Atlantic Security Partnership can also strengthen and solidify".

Meanwhile, USA is also due to take in 2009 a special status inside EU-led EUROCORPS, the European Army HeadQuarters, based in Strasbourg.

Merkel said that after meeting in Berlin with NATO's Secretary General, Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, earlier this week, precisely in order to "prepare NATO's Summit", scheduled for the beginning of April 2009 in Strasbourg.

Scheffe, knows well Strasbourg, since he chaired the CoE, as Holland's Foreign Minister, when he brokered a controversial deal precisely on Turkey and Cyprus about the implementation of ECHR judgements on Greek Cypriot displaced persons' houses and properties in 2003. He returned later at least once, for a WEO meeting at the CoE, where he precisely had highlighted such EU - NATO issues.

EU Commission's 2008 Report on Turkey has just observed that, on European Defense - Security policy, "Turkey continues to object to EU-NATO Cooperation which would involve all EU Member States". "This created Problems for EU-NATO co-operation in the context of Civilian ESDP missions, in particular in Kosovo and Afghanistan".
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 French EU Chair, President Sarkozy and Merkel are visiting Washington on Friday and Saturday for a Global G-20 Summit with current US President George Bush, on the sidelines of which are expected preparatory contacts with US President-elect Obama's entourage, even if himself might stay in Chicago until he takes over on January 21.

Before going to Washington, Sarkozy concluded today an UE - Russia Summit with Dmitry Medvedev, where they "spoke in length on PanEuropean Security" :

- As EU President, I proposed that we meet on mid-2009 in a framework such as OSCE's in order to set the foundations of a Future Pan-European Security, which would associate Russia and USA, and that, meanwhile, nobody speaks about deploying missiles or shields, which complicate the situation".

- NATO's Summit in Strasbourg-Kehl, on April 2009 is a perfect occasion to discuss with our American friends and to prepare a possible OSCE Summit for these issues f.ex. for June or July", Sarkozy concluded.

- We must all abstain from Unilateral measures" dangerous for Europe's security. "Russia only reacted to decisions taken by some other countries. But if they are ready to cooperate, we are ready to discuss. EU could be an intermediary", added Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, before going himself too at the Washington G-20 Economic Summit.

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