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Home arrow newsitems arrow Slovenian People Voted for Center-Right Majority (Headed by f. twice Prime Minister+EU Chair Jansa)

Slovenian People Voted for Center-Right Majority (Headed by f. twice Prime Minister+EU Chair Jansa)

Written by ACM
Sunday, 03 June 2018
slovenia_2018_election_results_coalitions_potential__estimation_eurofora_400


*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- An Absolute Majority, (of about 48 MPs out of a Total of 90), in Slovenia's Parliament can be, normaly, reached by the Center-Right, Headed by the Experienced former Twice Prime Minister Janez Jansa, (and former EU President in office: See Infra), whose "SDS" Party came Clearly 1st in Today's National Elections for the Period of 2018-2023.


The move is closely Watched both by European and Global Players, as it seems also Related to Wider, New Political Trends, during the run up to the Forthcoming, Crucial EU Parliament's Elections, scheduled in Less than a Year's Time, on May 2019, and to Different Strategy Options, currently "Hotly" Debated throughout Many EU Member Countries, (See Infra).


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    >>> Indeed, according to the Full Results, Jansa's Center-Right Party "SDS", which came 1st currently by the Biggest Number of MPs (25+), may Lead an Absolute Majority Coalition that could be Formed f.ex. with the "ChristianDemocrats/New Slovenia" ("NSI") Party which has now 7 MPs, and the so-called "Rightists" (in fact Atypical Right) of the "SNS" Party (which just re-Entered Parliament after years of absence) with 4 MPs, Extended to an a priori Logical Deal with the Centrists of the "SMC" Party (10 MPs). I.e. resulting into a Group of 46 MPs, out of the 90 that has in Total the Slovenian Parliament.


+ Moreover, given also the Links between the Slovenian Right with the Hungarian Right of Victor Orban, and the Italian new "Atypical" Coalition between the "5 Stars Movement" and Mateo Savini's "Lega" (mainly at the North, and particularly in the NE Region around Venice's Adriatic Coasts), it seems Probable that Jansa might also receive the Endorsement of the + 2 Italian and Hungarian Minority MPs, thus making his Coalition Grow up to a Stronger 48 (out of 90) MPs Absolute Majority.


++ Last, but not least, Slovenian People's 2018 Real Choice for the Right Side of the Political Spectrum, in Fact, Goes even Further : The Biggest Number of Votes among those Parties which did Not Cross the 4% Threshold required in order to Enter the Parliament went, by far, to the Conservative "Slovenian People's Party" (SLS : which had won MPs in Coalition with the "ChristianDemocrats" in the Past, f.ex. on 2008), Getting 2,7% with 23.131 Votes, (while, among Various Others, in Comparison,  f.ex. the "Greens" got Only 1% and 9.407 Votes, and the "Left Unity" Only 0,5% and 4,933 Votes, etc)...


Interestingly, the "SLS"' Conservatives, (after Reaching a Pic High in the 1996 Elections with 19 MPs), they have Already succesfully Cooperated with the "Christian Democrats" of "New Slovenia" ("NSI") Party, as Early as since 2000, in the National Parliament Elections, (when they had got 8 MPs), and again in the 2014 European Elections, when they Won, Together, about 17 % of the Votes, (Holding, Since then, 2 MEPs in EU Parliament).


Concerning that  "ChristianDemocrats-New Slovenia" ("NSI") Party, it has just Won +2 MPs more, (Getting 7 MPs in all), as it Regularly does, already during the 3 Latest elections :  2011, 2014 and 2018. It is represented in EU Parliament also by the former Prime Minister of Slovenia (1996-1998) Aloisj Peterle, himself a former Foreign Minister and Prime Minister, recently Top MEP and Head of EU - FYROM Delegation, who has given various Responses to "Eurofora"s Questions on Topical Issues, (including on our Project for EU Citizens Debates with MEPs Before they take Decisions affecting their Lives ad/or Society at large, (See, f.ex., at : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/topmeppeterleoncitizensdebatesbeforeeudecisions.html, etc).


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 * However, it's also true that an Exceptionaly Big Number of Various, even "Original", Political Parties took part in this 2018 Elections :  26 in all (10 with MPs and 16 WithOut), among which, were Included Also 10 "New" Parties, (9 withOut MPs, and 1 with MPs).


Among them, those Small Parties which were Excluded from Parlementarian Representation (16), just Because they didn't cross the Threshhold with a required Minimum of 4%), got, in Total, some 12,69% of the Votes !


 I.e. even More than the SECOND BIG Party in Slovenia, (12,66% : "LMS"), a New one, which bears the Name of a former Comedian, recently Mayor of a Village and shortly Failed Candidate for the Presidency, reportedly in favor of Private Pensions, Abortion, Homosexuality and Legalizing Cannabis, etc, Marjan Sarec, for whom Left-leaning "NYT" Establishment's Newspaper sees "Prime Ministerial" Ambitions...


Sarec is on record for having Excluded any Coalition with "Populists" (as those of the former Twice Prime Minister and current Winner of the 2018 Election, Jansa), and even for Calling to Aggravate even Further the above-mentioned, Record-High Exclusion of Small Parties from the Parliament (about 12,7% of People's Votes), by Imposing an Even Higher Threshhold Level, Before they might be Allowed to have any MP.


But the Non-Represented Small Parties, which, taken together with the Invalid/Blanc Votes, Gathered Now More than 116.000 + Registered Voters, (i.e. Higher even than the 2nd Big Party, LPSarec's Votes : some 111.000), Include not only 9 New Parties, Totaling almost 13% of the Casted Votes, but also Many "Atypical" Parties, such as, f.ex., "for a Healthy" or "Fair Society", "Good Country", anOther "Journalist ...Pozar",  "Save ...from Elite and Tycoons", "Pirate Party", etc. : I.e. a Lot of Converging Facts which Clearly Indicate a Currently Growing Popular Trend for Citizens to Search for Something New, Original and which would be Really Able to Protect and Promote the People's Main Interests Nowadays.


A Recent Phenomenon, which was also Oberved, until now, Not Only in Slovenia, but Also Elsewhere in Europe, f.ex., among Others, also in Greece (between 2011 - 2017+), in the Czech Republic, (particularly in the Latest Elections there : See ...), etc.


=> Therefore, Frontrunner Janez Jansa, Leader of the currently 1st Bigger Party "SDS", from the Center-Right, should be Well Advised, (even, and particularly, in case of eventual New Elections, if a Stable Majority might, perhaps, be Not Found this time), to Search Well for any Real Possibility for Coalition with Like-Minded People, Now and in the foreseeable Future, even if, a priori, they might, eventually, Appear to be of this or that kind of "Atypical" trend, in surface : In Fact, what Counts Most is the Substance of the Main Issues, (as, inter alia, f.ex., the recent Italian New Government Coalition between the Atypical "5 Stars Movement" and "Lega", Based on an Agreed Joint Program Focused on Key Issues, also shows, in one way or another).


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Jansa is well Known personaly to "Eurofora", already since his role on Past rotating EU Presidency as Early as already since 2008, (particularly via EU Parliament in Strasbourg), but also during his frequent Participations to the ChristianDemocrats/EPP Party's Summits until recently in Brussels, (See, inter alia, also, f.ex. : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/eustrategyongreeceshengenmediterranean.html, etc).
He was notoriously Supported, this time, also by the popular, 3-times in a row re-Elected Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban (in his 4rth Term since 2000), particularly on the Topical European Issue of recent Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants since 2015/2016 mainly through Turkey, etc, and other Topical matters.


And, by a in interesting Topical Coincidence, this June 2018 Slovenian Election's Results came just a Few Days After "Eurofora" had, precisely, Raised the Question of Victor Orban's Popular Choices in certain Key Policies Nowadays, in view of the Fothcoming, crusial EU Parliament's Elections of May 2019, to the Experienced President of the ChristianDemocrat/EPP Party (HeadQuartered in Brussels), former Long-Time Strasbourg's Top MEP, Joseph Daul, on May 29, (See: ...).


But the overall Electoral Victory of the Slovenian Center-Right will certainly be Welcomed, inter alia, also by USA President Don Trump's Wife Melania, who personaly stems from Slovenia...

 

(../..)

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    The incoming Swedish EU Presidency (July-December 2009) may still remain in favour of Turkey's controversial EU bid, despite June 2009 EU Elections' results, but it has "very strong demands on Turkey"'s obligation to respect EU Rules, said the Head of Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, Cecilia Julin, to "EuroFora", reacting to critical Press reports.

    - "I know (that) the link is often made also to Sweden's position on Turkey"'s controversial EU bid. Indeed, "we (Swedish EU Presidency) are very much engaged in the future membership of Turkey, but not without fullfiling all the Criteria".

    - "It's very clear that we (Swedish EU Presidecny) have very Strong Demands on Turkey, in a sort of concept for Future membership of the Union, ...which will be a Long Process...", she stressed.

    This means, in particular, "the Copenhagen Criteria (on Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law), and also the adaptation to the Acquis of the European Union".

     - "If you listen to what Mr. Bildt (the Swedish Foreign Minister) says on Turkey at different occasions, it's very clear : We want Turkey to become part of the Union, in the Future. But we want it to fullfil all the Criteria : The Acquis of the European Union. That's very clear", she concluded.

    The Senior Official of the Swedish Foreign Ministry was reacting to critical Press Reports, from Brussels' Journalists invited by EU Commission's secretariat to Stockholm, who claimed that Bildt was abusing of a ..."Whip" (sic !) against Cyprus, by "threatening" the presence of UNO's Peace-keeping force at the "Green line" which separates the island's Government-controlled areas from the territories occupied by Ankara's army, if Nicosia didn't accept any political solution, regardless of Turkey's demands, before the end of 2009.

        Governing AKEL Party's new Secretary General, Andros Kyprianou, reacted by declaring that no-one can threat the People of Cyprus : -"We shall decide for our Future, and nobody else",  he reportedly said, asking to "keep calm". "In order to find a Solution soon, certain basic Principles must be respected", he stressed, calling those who feel an urgency to use their influence on Turkey. Other Political Parties were more critical.

    This was a reference to recently reported statements by Turkish Minister Bagis, Prime Minister Tayip Erdogan and Turkey's National Security Council (a Military-Political body), accused to push towards a partitionist "2 States" solution, contrary to UNO SC Resolutions for Cyprus' reunification.

    December 2009 is a crucial moment for EU's appraisal of Turkey's controversial EU bid, because EU Council has decided to review then Ankara's compliance with the European position on the recognition of Cyprus' Government, which was clearly set out by an EU reply of 21 September 2005 to Turkish Prime Minister Tayip Erdogan's claims, refusing to recognize even the existence of EU Member Cyprus, in controversial statements he made to London (former EU chair) on July 29, 2005.

    EU Parliament's latest Resolution on Turkey, adopted on March 2009 in Strasbourg, warned Ankara that "the non-fulfillment of Turkey's commitments... by December 2009, may further seriously affect the process of Negotiations" with the EU.

    In practice, the issue boils down to Ankara's "embargo" against Ships and Airplanes using Cyprus' seaports or airports at the strategic EU island, which traditionaly hosts one of the World's biggest Shipping flags. EU has already "freezed" 6 relevant Chapters in EU - Turkey Negotiations since December 2006, after Ankara refused to fullfil a commitment it had undertaken when EU had decided to open controversial "accession" negotiations with Turkey, back on December 2005.

    - "As far as EU - Turkey relations are concerned, it's clear that Turkey needs to fullfil its obligation of full, non-discriminatory implementation of the additional Protocol (to "EC-Turkey Association Agreement"),  This is an important issue....and should be addresseed as soon as possible as it clearly affects the pace of the accession negotiations.Issues covered by the Declaration of September 2005 will continue to be followed up, and progress is urgently awaited", warned earlier in Strasbourg the out-going Czech EU Presidency (former vice-Prime Minister Alexander Vodra).

    But the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, Cecilia Julin, dismissed "interpretations" by "some" that Foreign Minister Carl Bildt was reportedly "threatening" Cyprus with consequences on the UNFICYP, if it doesn't accept any solution until December 2009, while Turkey is reportedly delaying in an attempt to impose a partitionist "2 States" solution.

    On the contrary, Julin, stressed that "Sweden has strong demands on Turkey'"s respect of "Copenhagen Criteria and EU Acquis".

    Meanwhile, Sweden  is "concerned" about the risk of "Stalemate" in Cyprus' Talks, but is well aware that "the main responsibilities lie with the two leaders and the UNO", Europe playing only a role of "facilitator".

    After carefully verifying, the Head of Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, stressed to "EuroFora" that Bildt's reference to UNFICYP "was not linked to a Threat", and dismissed those who "interpreted" it so.

    On the contrary, the Swedish EU Presidency acknowledged the fact that Peace Talks are mainly for the UN and the leaders of the Cypriot communities, EU's role being limited into that of a "facilitator".

    As for Turkey's reported attempts to impose a "2 States' solution", the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service sharply replied by stressing that Turkey must respect the "EU Acquis" rules.

    In particular :

    - "Basically he (Bildt) underlined that it's the leaders of the two communities in Cyprus and the UN that have the main responsibilities for solving the problem", started to say the Swedish Senior Official to "EuroFora", referring to the above-mentioned "briefing".

    - "But the EU had a role in sort of pointing out the benefits and facilitating a little bit the outcome for the settlement of the whole Cyprus' issue", she added.

    - "And he did state the Fact, that the rest of the World (i.e. USA, etc) will, of course, look at the differend issues which are at the table, and the future of the UN Peace keeping force is part of what is at the table", she admitted.

    - "I understand that some have interpreted that as a Threat, by the Swedish Minister" "But", in reality, "it's a statement of a Fact, that, when we'll look at the differend issues, one of the issues on which we shall have to take a stand on, is the future of the UN Peace keeping force in Cyprus".

    Indeed, one of the questions usually raised for a Solution of Cyprus' issue is what International and/or European or other Guarantees, by a Peace-keeping force, might be needed afterwards, eventually for a transitory period.

    Questioned anew by "EuroFora" whether (according to critical Press Reports) this could be taken as a veiled warning that, if Cyprus didn't accept any Turkish demand for any solution whatever, it might be left alone to face Ankara's Military Invasion/Occupation, she denied :

    - "He (Bildt) didn't say it in that way"... "It was not linked to a threat, or anything like that", the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service stressed.

    On the contrary, "he (Bildt) underlined that the main responsibility lies with the parties concerned on the island". "The EU can try to facilitate and show the benefits of reaching a settlement. But also, when the EU and the rest of the World (i.e. USA) will have to look at it, they will look at all the Facts on the table, and the presence of the UN Peace-keeping force is one".

    And "he (Bildt) didn't speak about that at all", she replied to "EuroFora" question on Turkey's reported attemps to impose, in one way of another, a partitionist "2 States solution".

    Asked whether Bildt's aim was to incite both parties to move forward efficiently, she agreed :

    - In fact, "the EU is really very concerned with the Stalemate in the situation. Yes !", the Head of Sweden's Foreign Ministry's Press Service anounced. That's why Bildt "was hoping for the two parties (i.e. for Turkey's also) to engage and break, a little-bit, the present stalemate, come to a solution of the issue" of Cyprus.

    But, replying  to a "EuroFora"s question on the risk, denounced by several politicians in case of strict Time Deadlines, for Turkey to provoke a stalemate and wait for the time to come to impose a partitionist "2 States' solution", she reacted by pointing at Turkey's obligation to respect "EU Acquis" :

    - "Turkey must fullfil the EU Acquis : That's clear !", the Swedish Senior Official stressed.

    More details are expected when Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt will debate his Programme with new MEPs at EU Parliament's plenary mid-July in Strasbourg, that he has visited already in 2008.

    Foreign Minister Carl Bildt became familiar with Strasbourg's CoE last year, when Sweden chaired the PanEuropean organization of Human Rights. As EU chairman-in-office, he will also chair the 27-member States strong EU Group inside the 47-member States strong CoE.

    Minister for EU affairs, Cecilia Malmstrom is well known at EU Parliament, where she has been an active MEP of the Liberal Group for many years, following also Press Freedom issues.

    Both have already made various statements at "EuroFora", on differend topical matters.

    ***

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