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Haupt arrow newsitems arrow OECD Head Angel Guria to EuroFora on Cannes' G20 Summit Agenda +need to combine Growth+Consolidation

OECD Head Angel Guria to EuroFora on Cannes' G20 Summit Agenda +need to combine Growth+Consolidation

Geschrieben von ACM
Mittwoch, 05 Oktober 2011
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*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- OECD's Secretary General, the experienced Angel Guria, who has just started his 2nd mandate after his recent re-election until 2016, speaking to "EuroFora" after the Annual Debate in CoE's Assembly on Global Economy, pointed at the right "Combination" of Growth Stimulation and  Debt's reduction, in order to boost mainly Employment, while looking at the Agenda of the forthcoming G20 Heads of State/Governments' Summit at Cannes, under French Presidency, scheduled for early November 2011, at a crucial moment for EU's and World's ways out of the Global Crisis.

 

-"Of course, there is always a Hope :  If we tried to do it with what (Time) is left, No ?", joked Guria with a sharp but justified smile, proposing to "EuroFora" a fast-track Press encounter, in the few Minutes available after a full CoE Assembly Plenary Debate on OECD and many intensive International meetings with 7 Delegations from all over the World (See infra), just before catching an Airplane...

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- "They (G20 Summit at Cannes) have a very Large and Good Agenda", OECD's Head warned from the outset.


- "But the most important thing, obviously will be how to face the present situation in the Markets".


+ "And", in particular, "this very difficult Combination between the (Economic Growth) Recovery and the (Sovereign Debts') Fiscal Consolidation.. It's all going so thin", he added carefuly. Meaning apparently that delicate "Balancing" between two apparently opposed policies, that he had earlier evoked in the Oral version of his Speech in CoE's Parliamentary Assembly, we observed.

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- "That Balance is now becoming not only Desirable, I think it's becoming (even) Indispensable", OECD's Secretary General stressed, in reply to"EuroFora"s observation.


- "Because, this is a New Discipline that the Markets are providing : Now the Markets are saying that : now you have to do Both", and "at the same time : that's the Difficulty !"


- F.ex., "let's say, they say : "Go for Growth", and then, they kill you, because , they say, "you need Adjustment", etc. "And then, you only go for Fiscal Consolidation", and "they tell you : - "You know, we are going to Downgrade you, because you don't have enough Growth in the" economy...


- In these conditions, "the best example" might be that of the latest "Obama's proposal : the 3% of GDP, 450 Billions $, in a very Tight Budget", he speculated.  Questioned by "EuroFora" if he was sure that this could be also good for many other Countries around the World, and not only for the specific situation of the US, Angel Guria replied that, at least; it seems to be "a Good Way to make a Credible Medium/Long term Scenario", as he carefully said... - "And then, you can have a Short term, Job ..horizontal Package"..he added among others, (interrupted by practical needs to catch fast an Airplane).


EU has repeatedly made it clear that the current originality of its own, European Strategy in the way out of the Global Crisis, is to focus on Investment to Research and Innovation, while also putting Budgets on a steady Fiscal Consolidation course, (including by officially adopting the "Gloden Rule", with Time Deadlined cmmitments on Debt reduction, while, at the same time, resolutely advancing forward in "Inregration", (See "EuroFora"s relevant publications, including from the recent EU Parliament's Plenary session in Strasbourg : 9/2011, and from the Franco-German Summits in Freiburg/Gemany on 12/2010 and Paris, 8/2011)      

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 - Concerning the forthcoming G20, November 2011 Summit at Cannes, (chaired by France), "the most important thing is that the Agenda will be about Volatility of Raw Materials' Prices, f.ex. in Food, Oil, etc., OECD's Head observed, confirming the Innovation introduced at the First G20 Financial 2011 Summit in Paris, as former French Minister and new IMF's Director Christine Lagarde had stressed in reply to an "EuroFora"s Question, (See previous NewsReports from the Paris event).


    + But Cannes' G20 Summit Agenda is due to include also "about the Currency situation and Capital Flows, and then it's going to be, by necessity, about Fossil Fuel", as well as "a question on Employment", which is "very important" : "It's going to be like the <<Elephant under the Table>>", Guria guessed...  


    In parallel, the G8 will continue to be "focusing on Strategic issues, Middle East and Northern Africa", etc, as during  the latest, landmark G8 Summit of Heads of State and Government, on May 2011 in Deauville, under the chairmanship of French President Sarkozy, (See "EuroFora"s NewsReports from the spot).

    -  Meanwhile,"We are going to have another G20 Finance Ministers' meeting in Paris, on the 14th and 15th of October, after the end of which, "we go to Cannes' (G 20 Heads of State/Government Summit), in 2 Weeks' time", he pointed out.

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    - "Keep an eye on that meeting", because "it's going to be very important", since "it's gonna set the Agenda for Cannes"" G20 Heads of State/Government Summit, OECD's Head advised "EuroFora", confirming also that he is due to participate in both personally.
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+ 7 Delegations from Australia to Japan, Canada and Mexico +..
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    During his Day-long stay in Strasbourg, Angel Guria almost transformed the PanEuropean CoE into a ...Global Forum, with the exceptional participation of "7 Delegations" from various OECD Member States spreading from all over the World, including f.ex. Australia, Canada, Chile (new OECD Member), Israel,  Japan, Korea and Mexico  :


    After actively participating to COE Assembly's Debates on OECD's 2011 Annual Report, these 7 Delegations from International Guests held very Intensive discussions with the Head of the OECD in Strasbourg, one after the other, up to late afternoon, when a busy Guria rapidly snatched his abudant documents, gathered around him his sympathetic team, and run fast towards a special car to catch a TGV or an Airplane, ... while still speaking to "EuroFora" up to the last minute, with an astonishingly Fast, Crystal-clear and Energetic way...
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    + At the aftermath of Cannes,  the next G 20 is due to be held much Sooner than usual, i.e.  shortly after the next G8 in the USA, scheduled around May 2012, due to be closely followed by the G20 in Mexico (f.ex. on June), "because they (Mexicans) have Elections on July, and want to hold the Summit before" that, Guria explained, according to a Timetable which obviously fits also USA's October 2012 Election..  
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    OECD was initially mentioned, as a potential contributor for the implementation of Global Heads of State/Government Summits during the 2007 G7 Summit in Heiligendam, under German chairmanship, (comp. French President Satkozy's reply to "EuroFora" co-founder's question on the spot). Since then, the Paris-based International Economic Cooperation Organization has progressively augmented its practical contribution to the implementation mainly of G20 goals, while also pursuing, in parallel, a long-awaited Enlargment process opening its doors f.ex. to Russia and other Countries, even if in a somewhat slower than normal pace, goven certain older Member Countries' hasitations to Enlarge fasrter, (or even brutal "Vetos", as f.ex. Turkey's refysal of any cooperation between OECD and Cyprus, even in EU-paid programs, for which Ankara is routinely criticized by the EU).


    Thus, Angel Guria's 2 succesive mandates as OECD's Secretary General (2006-2016) practically coincide with the International Economic Organization's growing contribution to the G8 and G20 Summits' implementation, for which he has appointed as diplomatic "Sherpa" his own personal Office Director, Gabriela Ramos.  

 
    The 5Oth Anniversary Summit of the OECD, earlier last May 2011 in Paris, (See "EuroFora"s NewsReport from the event, at the eve of G8 Summit in Deauville), shortly after inaugurating its functional New Buildings, artfully combined with its Historic "Chateau" inside the same beautiful garden, was largely attended by many Ministers and even Prime Ministers (f.ex. of Japan, Greece, etc) from all over the World, and gave an opportunity to reflect and speculate also on OECD's on-going efforts to complete its Enlargement to Russia and other Countries, in order to better tackle the Historic Challenge of progressively becoming a central Institutional Tool for Global G8 and mainly G20 Heads of State/Government's Summits' decisions monitoring, (comp. Supra).     

PanEuropean CoE in Strasbourg (already enlarged to Russia and other Countries since 1996+) traditionally plays the role of OECD's Parliamentary Forum, during Annual sessions exceptionally enlarged to all OECD Member States, (See, f.ex. supra).

 

***

(NDLR : "DraftNews", as already sent earlier to "EuroFora"s Subscribers/Donors. A complete and more accurate, Final Version is due asap).


***

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    The incoming Swedish EU Presidency (July-December 2009) may still remain in favour of Turkey's controversial EU bid, despite June 2009 EU Elections' results, but it has "very strong demands on Turkey"'s obligation to respect EU Rules, said the Head of Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, Cecilia Julin, to "EuroFora", reacting to critical Press reports.

    - "I know (that) the link is often made also to Sweden's position on Turkey"'s controversial EU bid. Indeed, "we (Swedish EU Presidency) are very much engaged in the future membership of Turkey, but not without fullfiling all the Criteria".

    - "It's very clear that we (Swedish EU Presidecny) have very Strong Demands on Turkey, in a sort of concept for Future membership of the Union, ...which will be a Long Process...", she stressed.

    This means, in particular, "the Copenhagen Criteria (on Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law), and also the adaptation to the Acquis of the European Union".

     - "If you listen to what Mr. Bildt (the Swedish Foreign Minister) says on Turkey at different occasions, it's very clear : We want Turkey to become part of the Union, in the Future. But we want it to fullfil all the Criteria : The Acquis of the European Union. That's very clear", she concluded.

    The Senior Official of the Swedish Foreign Ministry was reacting to critical Press Reports, from Brussels' Journalists invited by EU Commission's secretariat to Stockholm, who claimed that Bildt was abusing of a ..."Whip" (sic !) against Cyprus, by "threatening" the presence of UNO's Peace-keeping force at the "Green line" which separates the island's Government-controlled areas from the territories occupied by Ankara's army, if Nicosia didn't accept any political solution, regardless of Turkey's demands, before the end of 2009.

        Governing AKEL Party's new Secretary General, Andros Kyprianou, reacted by declaring that no-one can threat the People of Cyprus : -"We shall decide for our Future, and nobody else",  he reportedly said, asking to "keep calm". "In order to find a Solution soon, certain basic Principles must be respected", he stressed, calling those who feel an urgency to use their influence on Turkey. Other Political Parties were more critical.

    This was a reference to recently reported statements by Turkish Minister Bagis, Prime Minister Tayip Erdogan and Turkey's National Security Council (a Military-Political body), accused to push towards a partitionist "2 States" solution, contrary to UNO SC Resolutions for Cyprus' reunification.

    December 2009 is a crucial moment for EU's appraisal of Turkey's controversial EU bid, because EU Council has decided to review then Ankara's compliance with the European position on the recognition of Cyprus' Government, which was clearly set out by an EU reply of 21 September 2005 to Turkish Prime Minister Tayip Erdogan's claims, refusing to recognize even the existence of EU Member Cyprus, in controversial statements he made to London (former EU chair) on July 29, 2005.

    EU Parliament's latest Resolution on Turkey, adopted on March 2009 in Strasbourg, warned Ankara that "the non-fulfillment of Turkey's commitments... by December 2009, may further seriously affect the process of Negotiations" with the EU.

    In practice, the issue boils down to Ankara's "embargo" against Ships and Airplanes using Cyprus' seaports or airports at the strategic EU island, which traditionaly hosts one of the World's biggest Shipping flags. EU has already "freezed" 6 relevant Chapters in EU - Turkey Negotiations since December 2006, after Ankara refused to fullfil a commitment it had undertaken when EU had decided to open controversial "accession" negotiations with Turkey, back on December 2005.

    - "As far as EU - Turkey relations are concerned, it's clear that Turkey needs to fullfil its obligation of full, non-discriminatory implementation of the additional Protocol (to "EC-Turkey Association Agreement"),  This is an important issue....and should be addresseed as soon as possible as it clearly affects the pace of the accession negotiations.Issues covered by the Declaration of September 2005 will continue to be followed up, and progress is urgently awaited", warned earlier in Strasbourg the out-going Czech EU Presidency (former vice-Prime Minister Alexander Vodra).

    But the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, Cecilia Julin, dismissed "interpretations" by "some" that Foreign Minister Carl Bildt was reportedly "threatening" Cyprus with consequences on the UNFICYP, if it doesn't accept any solution until December 2009, while Turkey is reportedly delaying in an attempt to impose a partitionist "2 States" solution.

    On the contrary, Julin, stressed that "Sweden has strong demands on Turkey'"s respect of "Copenhagen Criteria and EU Acquis".

    Meanwhile, Sweden  is "concerned" about the risk of "Stalemate" in Cyprus' Talks, but is well aware that "the main responsibilities lie with the two leaders and the UNO", Europe playing only a role of "facilitator".

    After carefully verifying, the Head of Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service, stressed to "EuroFora" that Bildt's reference to UNFICYP "was not linked to a Threat", and dismissed those who "interpreted" it so.

    On the contrary, the Swedish EU Presidency acknowledged the fact that Peace Talks are mainly for the UN and the leaders of the Cypriot communities, EU's role being limited into that of a "facilitator".

    As for Turkey's reported attempts to impose a "2 States' solution", the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service sharply replied by stressing that Turkey must respect the "EU Acquis" rules.

    In particular :

    - "Basically he (Bildt) underlined that it's the leaders of the two communities in Cyprus and the UN that have the main responsibilities for solving the problem", started to say the Swedish Senior Official to "EuroFora", referring to the above-mentioned "briefing".

    - "But the EU had a role in sort of pointing out the benefits and facilitating a little bit the outcome for the settlement of the whole Cyprus' issue", she added.

    - "And he did state the Fact, that the rest of the World (i.e. USA, etc) will, of course, look at the differend issues which are at the table, and the future of the UN Peace keeping force is part of what is at the table", she admitted.

    - "I understand that some have interpreted that as a Threat, by the Swedish Minister" "But", in reality, "it's a statement of a Fact, that, when we'll look at the differend issues, one of the issues on which we shall have to take a stand on, is the future of the UN Peace keeping force in Cyprus".

    Indeed, one of the questions usually raised for a Solution of Cyprus' issue is what International and/or European or other Guarantees, by a Peace-keeping force, might be needed afterwards, eventually for a transitory period.

    Questioned anew by "EuroFora" whether (according to critical Press Reports) this could be taken as a veiled warning that, if Cyprus didn't accept any Turkish demand for any solution whatever, it might be left alone to face Ankara's Military Invasion/Occupation, she denied :

    - "He (Bildt) didn't say it in that way"... "It was not linked to a threat, or anything like that", the Head of the Swedish Foreign Ministry's Press Service stressed.

    On the contrary, "he (Bildt) underlined that the main responsibility lies with the parties concerned on the island". "The EU can try to facilitate and show the benefits of reaching a settlement. But also, when the EU and the rest of the World (i.e. USA) will have to look at it, they will look at all the Facts on the table, and the presence of the UN Peace-keeping force is one".

    And "he (Bildt) didn't speak about that at all", she replied to "EuroFora" question on Turkey's reported attemps to impose, in one way of another, a partitionist "2 States solution".

    Asked whether Bildt's aim was to incite both parties to move forward efficiently, she agreed :

    - In fact, "the EU is really very concerned with the Stalemate in the situation. Yes !", the Head of Sweden's Foreign Ministry's Press Service anounced. That's why Bildt "was hoping for the two parties (i.e. for Turkey's also) to engage and break, a little-bit, the present stalemate, come to a solution of the issue" of Cyprus.

    But, replying  to a "EuroFora"s question on the risk, denounced by several politicians in case of strict Time Deadlines, for Turkey to provoke a stalemate and wait for the time to come to impose a partitionist "2 States' solution", she reacted by pointing at Turkey's obligation to respect "EU Acquis" :

    - "Turkey must fullfil the EU Acquis : That's clear !", the Swedish Senior Official stressed.

    More details are expected when Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt will debate his Programme with new MEPs at EU Parliament's plenary mid-July in Strasbourg, that he has visited already in 2008.

    Foreign Minister Carl Bildt became familiar with Strasbourg's CoE last year, when Sweden chaired the PanEuropean organization of Human Rights. As EU chairman-in-office, he will also chair the 27-member States strong EU Group inside the 47-member States strong CoE.

    Minister for EU affairs, Cecilia Malmstrom is well known at EU Parliament, where she has been an active MEP of the Liberal Group for many years, following also Press Freedom issues.

    Both have already made various statements at "EuroFora", on differend topical matters.

    ***

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