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Home arrow newsitems arrow Virus: on Last Working Day before DeConfinement, Rising EU Infections Cross France's Red Line !

Virus: on Last Working Day before DeConfinement, Rising EU Infections Cross France's Red Line !

Written by ACM
Thursday, 07 May 2020

 virus_eu_infections_augment_during_4_days_before_11_may_deconfinement_france_ecdc__eurofora_screenshot_400


*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/(+Version Francaise Infra)- On the Controversial Issue of the Timing for Starting DeConfinement, (from May 11 in France : See http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/hastydeconfinementrisk.html, etc), Public Authorities have Repeatedly stressed that it will Not go on if Virus' Infections affected More than 3.000 People a Day.

But, the Latest Data just Revealed that France, in fact, already Faces about ... 4.200 New Infections on May 7, i.e. at the Last Working Day Before the DeConfinement is Scheduled to KickStart, Next Monday, May 11 !...

Moreover, this is Not an Isolated Event : Facts, indeed, show that, During several Recent Days, the Numbers of Infected People in France have, Suddenly, started to Increase Constantly Upwards, forming a Growing Series, which reveals the existence, Nowdays, of a Fast TREND :

- F.ex. on 5 May = 534 New Infections. But on 6 May, it's almost the Double : 1.050 New Infections... And on May 7, it "Explodes" Up to almost 4.200 New Infections, (i.e. about X 4 Times More) !!!!

who_stats_on_europe_virus_may_5_6_ad_7_2020_euofora_patchwork_400 

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+ And this Recent Phenomenon is Not Limited just to France, but seems to Affect Even ...All Europe, mutatis mutandis, since relevant Official Statistics on Infections during these Last Days, clearly Show also a Larger Upward Trend, Europe-Wide (See Attached Graphics from ECDC, WHO, etc)...    

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++ Such Facts appear particularly Grave in the case of France, since that key EU Country, Unfortunately, shares, Nowadays, a World-wide Record on the Highest ..."Death Rate" among People Infected by the Virus, together with its Neighbouring Belgium : 15 % and 16 % respectively !  

This is Clearly the Worst "Death Rate" in the World among Infected People, since it's Obviously much More than USA's 6,3%, and even China's 5,5%...            

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                

+++ In Addition, in France, curiously, there are even Less Patients who "Recovered" (Only 55.000), than at ...Iran : 82.800, in Italy : 96.000, Germany : 142.000, Spain : 164.000, or USA: 217.OOO, (etc).

=>  Therefore, France still has, Currently, also the Highest Number of "Active Infections" among All EU Countries, (i.e. about 93.800, instead of Italy: 89.600, Spain : 66.600, or Germany : 20.300, etc), but also Compared to Brazil : 71.300, Turkey : 47.100, or Iran : 14.000, etc.

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>>> In such Circumstances, inevitably, it looks Too Dangerous to Start a Massive DeConfinement Nowadays in France (and many Other European Countries),

particularly When we see that it's almost during these Same Days, that ...China is just Starting, Carefully, its own DeConfinement, (including, progressively, on Schools, spread accross May), with Only ...3 or 5 New Infections per Day, and ZERO (0) Deaths due to the Virus Currently (Since the Middle of April) !

As for the Fact that China's current Situation, vis a vis that Deadly Virus, (which seems to have been, basically, Defeated there Recently), still, Nowadays, remains so Different, that it has almost ...Nothing to do with the, quite Opposite context Currently prevailing in EU Countries, where, on the Contrary, the Numbers of Infections and Deaths still Remain, Comparatively, Too High, it's blatantly Obvious if one just takes a look at WHO's or Statista's (etc) latest Graphics, which Clearly Picture a Huge Gap...

virus_infections_per_day_in_the_world_china__euope_statista__eurofora_400

 who_virus_infection_per_day_worldwide_china__europe_may_2020__who__eurofora_400

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=> So, it's Not Suprising that, Already, inter alia, f. ex., Near Strasbourg, at Neighbouring Germany's Rheinland-Pfalz Region/Länder, ...2 Schools had to be Urgently Re-Closed anew, these Days, Because it was found that they had been Infected by the Virus, almost Immediately After Starting a "DeConfinement" Local Plan !

+ Moreover, at NRW Länder/Region, at least certain Factories were anew Closed and Part of the DeConfinement process was Postponed for Later, (including, f.ex., the Opening of Parcs, Gardens, etc), After a Factory with about 1.500 Workers was found Infected. (Partly UPDATED)

And Chancellor Angie Merkel (earlier placed in "Quarantine" herself, and repeatedly Checked, after meeting an Infected Person), has reportedly Faced several Exceptionaly "Hard" Oppositions, these Days, because of Sharp Differences of Opinions among Various Stakeholders, on What should be done with "DeConfinement" Draft Plans and When, sometimes Lifting her Hands in sign of Anger or Despair...

+ But Contradictions about DeConfinement Policies are, inevitably, "Hotter" in France, at the Eve of the May 11 Rendez-Vous (Comp. Supra) :

- Thus, After the Rejection, by the French Senate, of a Governemental Draft Plan (adopted, however, by the National Assembly, whose view predominates), it's Also Many Education Trade Unions, as well as representatives of Pupils' Families, and even private Businessmen's Groups, Top Scientific Experts, (etc), who Added their various Oppositions, more and more vocally...

>>> This concerns Mainly the Timing for progressively Re-Opening, or Not Yet, Public Education establishments, all the way from Primary Shools and Lyceums, until Universities, etc :

- F.ex., even the Head of France's Anti-Virus Scientific Council (Independent National Think-Tank, set up by President Macron), and Chairman of the National BioEthics Committee, Professor Delfraissy (Comp. his Replies to "Eurofora"s Questions at a CoE's Conference on BioEthics, previously, at http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/coebioethicsdebatechildrenforlesbiansandheritablegenemanip.html, etc), has just Strongly pointed at the Fact that those Top Scientists had Already Rejected, since 20 and 24 April, any Opening of Schools or Universities from May, (as the Present Hasty "DeConfinement" Draft Plan pushes, Starting by Monday, 11 of May, etc), calling, on the Contrary, to Keep them Closed "until September" at least, (as Also decided Italy, Spain, etc, while Germany hesitates).

+ In Addition, "We (France's Highest Independent Scientists' Council) have Discussed and Adopted also Various Other, "More Conclusions and Proposals, which were Not Even Published !", obviously frustrated, Professor Delfraissy now Denounced.

Meanwhile, it's Also an UnPrecedented, but locacious, ..."Ping-Pong" Game, on eventual Legal Responsibilities, including Penal and/or Criminal, which is Currently played in France, around such Topical Issues concerning DeConfinement Controversies :  

- Indeed, after some Groups of Lawyers, etc., have Published various Models for Legal Complaints, "against X", and/or one or anOther Public and/or Private Decision-Makers, particulaly for Penal/Criminal Responsibilities in case of "Non-Assistance to Persons in Danger", and/or for "Causing Serious Damages or Lesions to others by Negligence or Knowingly" (etc), related to Controversies on the Management of that Deadly Virus' crisis, (Already since EU Citizens were, Curiously, Abandoned, withOut Any Timely Protection, f.ex. to the Spreading of Infections from nearby NW Italy's initial "Hotspot" in Europe : See ... +..., etc), Nowadays, the French Senate adopted Amendments to the DeConfinement Plan, which Exonerated Mayors from any Responsibility, in case of Virus' Infections in Re-Opening Schools, as well as Private Businessmen for similar incidents eventually at Industries or Services also re-opening, in Parallel. But, all this was Voted Down, soon afterwards, by a Majority in the National Assembly...

=> Will, then, the French Government and/or President Macron, at last, Cut Short to all these "Hot" Controversies, and Simply Apply their own Warnings, (f.ex. that there will be No Hasty, Early DeConfinement, in case of important Risks, and particularly if the Infections per Day reach 3.000 Victims : Comp. Supra), by Postponing the most Controversial parts of that 11 May Draft DeConfinement Plan, and, particularly, on Public Education, (which Affects Many Pupils, their Families, Staff, Restaurants/Canteens, Public Transports, etc.) ?

 

>>> Otherwise, the Consequences seem Obvious : Later Today, after a new Presentation of that Controversial official "DeConfinement" Plan (Comp. Supra), a Huge Majority of French People (more than ...72% !) Believed that "a 2nd Wave" of Virus' Spread, and anew a ..."RE-Confinement", in the foreseable Future, were both "very Probable" !  (Partly UPDATED).

 

(../..)

 

("Draft-News")

 

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Virus: au dernier jour ouvrable avant le DeConfinement, la Hausse des Infections Depasse la "Ligne Rouge" de la France !

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*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Sur la question controversée du calendrier de mise en œuvre du Deconfinement (à partir du 11 mai en France : voir http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/hastydeconfinementrisk.html, etc.), les autorités publiques ont souligné à plusieurs reprises qu'il n'y aura pas lieu si les infections par le virus arrivent au seuil de 3 000 personnes par jour.

Mais, les dernières données viennent de révéler que la France, en fait, affronte déjà environ ... 4.200 nouvelles infections le 7 mai, c'est-à-dire le dernier jour ouvrable avant le début du Deconfinement, lundi prochain, le 11 mai !

De plus, il ne s'agit pas d'un événement isolé : Les faits, montrent, en effet,  que, pendant plusieurs jours dernièrement, le nombre de personnes infectées en France a, soudainement, commencé à augmenter constamment, formant une série croissante, qui révèle l'existence, aujourd'hui, d'une Tendance à augmentation rapide :

- F.ex. le 5 mai = 534 nouvelles infections. Mais le 6 mai, c'est presque le Double : 1.050 Nouvelles Infections... Et le 7 mai, ça "explose" jusqu'à près de 4.200 Nouvelles Infections, (soit environ X 4 fois plus) !!!!

+ Et ce phénomène récent n'est pas limité à la France, mais semble toucher même ... toute l'Europe, mutatis mutandis, puisque les statistiques officielles sur les infections de ces derniers jours montrent clairement une tendance à la hausse encore plus importante, à l'échelle européenne (voir les graphiques ci-joints de l'ECDC, de l'OMS, etc)...   

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++ Ces faits semblent particulièrement graves dans le cas de la France, puisque ce pays clé de l'UE partage malheureusement, aujourd'hui, un Record Mondial du "taux de Mortalité" le plus élevé parmi les personnes Infectées par le virus, avec la Belgique voisine : 15 % et 16 % respectivement ! 

C'est clairement le pire "taux de mortalité" au monde parmi les personnes infectées, puisqu'il est évidemment bien supérieur aux 6,3 % des États-Unis, et même aux 5,5 % de la Chine...   

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           +++ De plus, en France, curieusement, il y a encore moins de patients qui ont "récupéré" (seulement 55.000), qu'en Italie : 96.000, en Allemagne : 142.000, en Espagne : 164.000, ou aux USA : 217.OOO, (etc).

=> C'est pourquoi, la France a, encore, le plus Grand Nombre d' "Infections Actives" parmi tous les pays-membres de l'UE, actuellement, (cad. environ 93.800, au lieu de l'Italie  : 89.600, l'Espagne : 66.600, ou l'Allemagne : 20.300, etc), mais ausi en comparaison avec le Brazil : 71.300, la Turquie : 47.100, ou l'Iran : 14.000, etc.

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>>> Dans telles circonstances, il semble inévitablement trop dangereux d'entamer un Déconfinement  massif de nos jours en France (et dans nombreux autres pays européens),

surtout quand on voit que c'est presque en ces mêmes jours, que ...la Chine vient de commencer, prudemment, son propre déconfinement, (y compris, progressivement, sur les écoles, qui s'étend sur tout le mois de mai), avec seulement ...3 ou 5 nouvelles infections par jour, et ZERO (0) décès dus au virus actuellement (depuis la mi-avril) !

Quant au fait que la situation actuelle de la Chine, face à ce virus mortel (qui semble avoir été, en gros, vaincu récemment), reste encore, de nos jours, si différente, qu'elle a presque ... Rien à voir avec le contexte très opposé qui prévaut actuellement dans les pays de l'UE, où, au contraire, le nombre d'infections et des décès reste comparativement trop élevé, c' est carrement évident si l'on regarde les derniers graphiques de l'OMS ou de Statista (etc), qui montrent clairement un énorme fossé...

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=> Il n'est, donc, pas surprenant que, déjà, entre autres, près de Strasbourg, dans la région/Länder de Rhenanie-Palatinat voisine, ...2 écoles aient dû être refermées d'urgence, ces jours-ci, parce qu'on a découvert qu'elles avaient été infectées par le virus, presque immédiatement après avoir commencé un plan local de "déconfinement" !

Et la Chancelière Angie Merkel (précédemment placée en "quarantaine" elle-même, et contrôlée à plusieurs reprises, après avoir rencontré une personne infectée), aurait fait face à plusieurs oppositions exceptionnellement "dures", ces jours-ci, en raison de divergences d'opinions marquées entre les diverses parties prenantes, sur ce qu'il convient de faire avec les projets de plans de "déconfinement", et quand, parfois en levant les mains en signe de colère ou de désespoir...

+ Mais les contradictions sur les politiques de déconfinement sont, inévitablement, plus "chaudes" en France, à la veille du Rendez-Vous du 11 mai (Comp. Supra) :

- Ainsi, après le rejet, par le Sénat français, d'un projet de plan gouvernemental (adopté, cependant, par l'Assemblée nationale, dont l'avis prédomine), ce sont aussi de nombreux syndicats de l'éducation, ainsi que des représentants des familles d'élèves, et même des groupes privés d'hommes d'affaires, des experts scientifiques de haut niveau, (etc), qui ont ajouté leurs diverses oppositions, plus de plus en plus fortes...

>>> Cela concerne principalement le calendrier de réouverture progressive, ou pas encore, des établissements d'enseignement public, depuis les écoles primaires et les lycées, jusqu'aux universités, etc :

- P.ex, même le chef du Conseil National Scientifique Français contre le virus (groupe de réflexion national indépendant, créé par le président Macron), et Président du Comité national de bioéthique, le professeur Delfraissy (voir ses réponses aux questions d'"Eurofora" lors d'une conférence au Conseil de l'Europe sur la bioéthique, précédemment, à ... ), vient de souligner avec force le fait que ces scientifiques de haut niveau avaient déjà rejeté, depuis les 20 et 24 avril, toute ouverture d'école ou d'université à partir du mois de mai (comme le prévoit l'actuel projet de "déconfinement" précipité, à partir du lundi 11 mai, etc.), demandant, au contraire, de les maintenir fermées "jusqu'en septembre" au moins (comme l'ont également décidé l'Italie, l'Espagne, etc, tandis que l'Allemagne hesite).

+ En outre, "Nous (le plus haut conseil scientifique indépendant de France) avons discuté et adopté également diverses autres conclusions et propositions, qui n'ont même pas été publiées !", a dénoncé, manifestement frustré, le professeur Delfraissy.

En attendant, c'est aussi un jeu de "ping-pong" sans précédent, mais éloquant, sur d'éventuelles responsabilités juridiques, y compris pénales et/ou criminelles, qui se joue actuellement en France, autour de questions d'actualité concernant les controverses sur le Déconfinement : 

- En effet, après quelques groupes d'avocats, etc, ont publié divers modèles de plaintes légales, "contre X", et/ou contre un ou plusieurs autres décideurs publics et/ou privés, notamment pour responsabilités pénales/criminelles en cas de "non-assistance à personne en danger", et/ou pour "causer des dommages ou des lésions graves à autrui par négligence ou sciemment" (etc.), liés aux controverses sur la gestion de la crise de ce virus mortel (déjà depuis que les citoyens européens ont été, curieusement, abandonnés, sans aucune protection à temps utile,  par exemple, à la propagation d'infections à partir du "point chaud" initial de l'Italie du Nord-Ouest en Europe : voir ...),  Aujourd'hui, le Sénat français a adopté des amendements au Plan de confinement, qui exonèrent les maires de toute responsabilité en cas d'infection par le virus aux écoles en cours de réouverture, ainsi que les hommes d'affaires privés pour incidents similaires aux industries ou services en cours de réouverture, en parallèle. Mais, tout cela a été rejeté, peu après, par une majorité à l'Assemblée nationale...

=> Le gouvernement français et/ou le Président Macron, vont-ils, enfin, mettre un terme à toutes ces controverses "brulantes", et appliquer simplement leurs propres avertissements, (p.ex., qu'il n'y aura pas des mesures de Déconfinement hâtives et précoces, en cas de risques majeurs, en particulier si le nombre d'infections par jour atteint 3 000 victimes : V. Supra), en reportant les parties les plus controversées du projet de plan de Déconfinement du 11 mai, en particulier, en ce qui concerne l'éducation publique, (qui affecte nombreux élèves, leurs familles, le personnel, les restaurants/cantines, les transports publics, etc.) ?

>>> Autrement, les Consequences semblent evidentes : Plus tard ce soir, après une présentation nouvelle de ce Plan de "DeConfinement" controversé; (Comp. Supra), une Grande Majorité du peuple francais (plus de ...72% !) croyait qu' "une 2nde Vague" d'extension du Virus, et un ..."RE-Confinement", à l avenir prévisible, étaient "très Probables" ! (mise à jour partielle).

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Sarkozy and Merkel : June 2009 solution to May 2005 "NO" ?

 - Will French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel live up from June 2009 to their obvious Historic European mission to revitalize, and re-launch the "European Dream", after the series of 3 "NO" since May 2005 in France, the Netherlands and Ireland, by renewing, and changing the EU with fresh stimulus, big horizons, and values attractive for EU Citizens ?

Whatever views anyone might have, it's a Fact that, recently, EU's political spectrum didn't produce other more charismatic and popular EU leaders than Merkel and Sarkozy, starting from September 2005 and May 2007, respectively.

This trend was confirmed, in one way or another, both during the German EU presidency in 2007 (shared by Merkel with the SPD), and mainly during the French EU Presidency in 2008, (with Sarkozy "free" to move).


The positive 2009 EU Polls are a natural consequence :

- Both with 72% Sarkozy and Merkel are considered by EU Citizens to be "the most Influential" leaders in Europe, by far.

- They are the only EU political leaders to attract a Majority of "Positive" views by EU Citizens, (Merkel over 60%, Sarkozy over 50%, particularly in the continent).

- 60% of EU Citizens find the 2008 French EU Presidency "Good", (and the satisfaction grows up to 67,5% in continental Europe).

The Poll was made by "OpinionWay" in big EU countries as Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK, (with the only exception of France), from 26 to 28 May 2009.

sarkozy_merkel_polls_400

But the most important is that both Franco-German leaders seem willing to, at last, really start serious business on EU's indispensable renovation and Renaissance from 2009 : Year of crucial EU and German Elections.

Therefore, this time, the joint European move by Sarkozy and Merkel, which just published a common Franco-German Manifesto, aims to stimulate aspirations and action not only in their respective countries, but also in many other EU "partners", as they say.

Both on EU economy, social values and scientifico-technologic research, as well as on Turkey's controversial EU bid, obviously incompatible with a popular Political Europe, whose Citizens can find a collective Identity and popular Values, they have already started to magnetize various growing voices accross the European landscape :

"Today, more than ever, it' time for action", they stress from the outset.

Facing "an unprecedented Global financial and economic Crisis", "Europeans must get resolutely involved if they want for the World which is being built to meet their Values of Liberty, Solidarity and Justice".

"That's what we want" and "propose to our Partners" :

* "A strong Europe, able to protect us" :

- "We refuse a Bureaucratic EU, which mecanically applies burdensome rules and is afraid of change. We want a European Union which listens what Citizens have to say, which innovates, stimulates".

- "We want a strong and united EU in the World, while also respecting its Member States' Diversity", which "brings Courageous Replies to the Questions of our Times, ensuring our Prosperity :  

This implies to "favor Research and Innovation", "Economic Coordination", to "develop real Policies on Immigrationn, Energy, Defence, and modernise  common policies, particularly Agriculture".

*  "EU must bring immediate replies to the Global Crisis".

- "Lawless liberalism failed". "The Model we want is that of a Responsible Market Economy, which favors Enterpreneurs and Workers, above Speculators ;  Long-term Investment, over immediate profiits".

- "We appeal upon the EU to take, from June, the first decisions to ensure a real European Regulation of Financial Markets, based on coordination and cooperation". "On speculative funds, on fiscal heavens, CEO's and financial operators' earnings, EU must give the example".

- "We call to change the rules of accounts, which are important for our Economy's revival : The competent normative authorities must take action". "The issue of a sufficient Credit offer is of central importance for our Economy". "We don't accept that, during this Financial Crisis, the European Banks' capacity to lend money might be unjustly reduced by Capital's requirements and accountant's rules

* "During the German and French Presidencies, EU has resoçlutely prepared itself for the fight against Global Warming... EU is the 1st and only area in the World to have adopted a package of ambitious and legally binding rules to comply with International Aims"

- "We have now to convince our Friends and Partners, to get involved, in order to atteint, next December at Copenhagen, a Global Agreement worthy of whay is at stake. Our closer ally, the US, but also other big industrial countries, must commit themselves with the same force as the Europeans".

"Green Growth is a Chance ... and an opportunity to create jobs turned towards the Future. Europe must be a leader".

- But, at the same time, we must ensure that our companies remain competitive in the World. The ambitious European involvements on Climat must not lead into a position where EU industry might become a Victim of Unfair Competition. Climat protection and Competitvity must go together. If our International partners refuse to associate themselves to our efforts, we are determined to take measures to protect European Industry"

* "Europe must be more ambitious for its Industry" : "It must favor the emergence of strong European enterprises at a Global level".

- "As long as an International mechanism" to "monitor Public Aids at WTO level, and hinder 3rd Countries to give abusive subsidies to their enterprises, provoking unfair competition", is "not yet set up, we must consider Transitory European Solutions".

* "The current Public Debt is too heavy... We must head anew towards sound public finance, as soon as we'd have passed the crucial stage in this crisis".
-------------------------------------------------

* Last, but not least :  "Europe must play a top-level role in the World"

- "For that purpose,  it needs efficient Institutions. That's why we need Lisbon Treaty". "The 27 Member States decided, last December (2008) that the Treaty should enter into force before the end of this year (2009)". To obtain that, June EU Council must agree "on the Guarantees for Ireland".

- But, "to be able to act, EU needs Borders. An Enlargment without Limits is not possible", Sarkozy and Merkel stressed in an obvious reference to Turkey, etc.

- "In order to be strong, Europe must assume its Values and its Identity". "Human Rights .. are at the basis of our commitment for a Peaceful Development accross the World".

- "For that purpose, we shall strengthen our common Defence and Security policy".
----------------------

* "We are ready to contribute to activate the EU towards the realisation of these aims, with our EU Partners".

"In order to succeed", Europe  "needs the active involvment of all, starting by Citizens themselves. That's why the June 7 rendez-vous is important", and "we are calling all Europeans to vote".

"We are convinced that, if Europe wants, Europe can", they conclude.
-----------------------

Precisely : - What can better forge "Europe's Will" than a "European Consciousness" emerging from political, democratic struggles to face Global Challenges, and open big New Horizons, including by crystal-clear Public Debates, with active EU Citizens' involvement, before the most important EU Decisions affecting People's lives ?

Precisely what "EuroFora"s project warns since 1997-2007, and unprecedented Majority Abstentions, since 1999-2004, added to 3 "NO" to EU Referenda in 2005 and 2007, proved meanwhile..

Let's hope that the Time wasted by some scandalous anti-European and anti-Democratic obstacles of the Past, will stimulate faster, simplified but substantial and persistent, efficient action.-

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2009 EU Elections were won by Parties against Technocracy and Turkey's controversial EU bid, while the 1999-2004 Majority Abstention trend decelerated. What should be done in 2009-2014 ?

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