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Home arrow newsitems arrow ECB President Draghi to EuroFora : BRICS' developments raise Interesting Questions for €uroZone

ECB President Draghi to EuroFora : BRICS' developments raise Interesting Questions for €uroZone

Written by ACM
Monday, 14 July 2014

 mario_draghi_400

*Strasbourg/EU Parliament/Angelo Marcopolo/- New developments on the BRICS' countries (Russia, China, India, South Africa, Brazil) raise Interesting and Topical Questions for €uroZone, replied in substance ECB's President Mario Draghi, to a relevant Query by "EuroFora",

just before a landmark INTW by Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Press Agency "Itar-Tass",apparently, fully confirms that, (See Infra). .


Significantly, Draghi said that to "EuroFora" at the eve of an exceptionaly Important Heads of State/Governments' Summit of the BRICS due to Start Tomorrow in Fotraleza, (at Brazil's Norhern Coasts to the Atlantic Ocean), almost at the same time as, in parallel, another exceptional EU Member Countries' Heads of State/Governments' Summit is scheduled for the Day After : Wednesday, July 17, in Bussels.

ep_eco_committee_with_draghi_400


Meanwhile, ECB's President had already started to participate in New EU Parliament's (as it has recently emerged from the May 2014 EU Elections), 1st full working Plenary Session, this Week in Strasbourg, (14-17 July 2014), where he has just made a Speech and Debated with MEPs at its Economic and Monerary Committee this Monday Evening, in the General Framework of a recently established, quasi-regular "Monetary Dialogue" between the EU Parliament and ECB.


 At first, Mario Draghi smiled kindly and greeted "EuroFora", that he already knew both from his earlier visits to EU Parliament in Strasbourg, but mainly from several ECB's Press Invitations for "EuroFora" to visit the European Bank's Headquarters at nearby Frankfurt, (Comp. f. ex. : ...., etc),  as well as from certain of our working trips to Brussels' EU Summits, (where ECB's President started to be systematically invited to EU's Heads of State/Governments' meetings focused on Economy since December 2011, while, in addition, the €uroArea Treaty, proposed by the Franco-German "motor" on August 16, 2011, in Paris (See relevant "EuroFora"s NewsReport from Elysée Palace, then), decided by the December 2011 and the January 2012 EU Summits in Brussels; and signed by EU Heads of State/Government on March 2012, explicitly provides for a regular presence of ECB's President in all special €uroArea Member States' Summits).

brics


- "What do you think, Mr. President, about the recent developments on the BRICS countries ? Do you believe that they can affect, in one way or another, the €uroZone,  and/or that there might be at least some useful concrete points for Cooperation with them ?", "EuroFora" asked, on this occasion, Draghi, after reminding him the Fact that Russian, Chinese, Brasilian, South African and Indian Heads of State were holding a Summit "Tomorrow".


- ECB's President clearly indicated to "EuroFora" that, indeed, he was well Aware of that imminent BRICS' Summit, and he "knew" about its main points.

 

ecb_president_arriving_towards_agg_400


 + Moreover, Mario Draghi, reacting Positively to "EuroFora"s Query on the BRICS, clearly stressed that, in his opinion, effectively, - "This is a very Good Question, indeed !" for Topical €uroZone issues, as he explicitly acknowledged.


- Therefore, he expressed the view that "I should have been asked such a Question earlier Tonight", i.e. during his above-mentioned Debate with MEPs at EU Parliament's Economic and Monetary Committee on various Topical developments, and Regretted the Fact that, unfortunately, at least for the time being, Noone among the MEPs who were present this Evening in Strasbourg, didn't raise that yet...


++ This fact practicaly Hinders me to give a Full and substantial Reply Now to such an Interesting Question, since I have to leave the Parliament the Fastest possible, for other meetings, Draghi apparently regretted, speaking to "EuroFora" during this same Evening that New EU Commission's President-designate, former long-time Prime Minister of Luxembourg, and €uroGroup's Chairman, Jean-Claude Juncker, was reportedly gathering around him, elsewhere in Strasbourg, several Top EU Personalities, in order to prepare a Crucial Debate and Vote, Tomorrow at EU Parliament's Plenary, on his Election as New EU Commission's President for the Next 5 Years of the period 2014-2019, as well as to hold Consultations for the entire Next EU Commission's composition and individual Members' choices...


- However, Draghi appeared, as usual, fond of pertinent Comparisons between €uroZone's 18 Member Countries, and various Other Actors at the International level. (As, f.ex., on the Relation that he found, in his view, between those Countries who have a High Unemployment of Young People, and those where Youngsters "Lack the Skills demanded by the Labor Market", as he said earlier Tonight, pointing mainly at OCDE's findings).

20140714_210353_400


+ Even more Interesting Comparisons could certainly be made by Mario Draghi also concerning the Topical Observations that he made ToNight at EU Parliament, about the Positive and the "Negative" aspects of a "Too Long" prolongement of a Total Lack of Inflation, f.ex. reportedly now at €uroZone, in relation with the lack of sufficient Growth, and the respective Situation which exists now, in this regard, inside the BRICSn (f.ex. China, but also Russia, etc).


Moreover, "EuroFora"s Topical Question on the BRICS' developments in relation to "€uroZone" seems to really present a notable interest for President Draghi personaly, given also the notorious Fact that he is a Top Economist who emerged from the "Goldman Sachs" Financial services' Multinational Giant, who is,  by an astonishing Coincidence, the ... Creator of the very Word "BRICS", and a main initial Theorist of the Economic Power that the BRICS' Countries, and particularly China, among them, is reportedly due to acquire at the Horizon of 2050, compared to the USA, EU and Japan, etc, as a Famous "Goldman Sachs"' premonitory Graph has already Warned, based on the estimated GDP Growth of each :  

10_largesr_economis_of_the_world_at_a_2050_horizon_goldman_sachs_graph_400 

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Launched as early as already since 2001, the Goldman Sachs' experts' acronym "BRIC" (which became "BRICS" after the recent Addition also of South Africa, who hosted the previous, 2013 BRICS' Summit), was initially supposed to symbolize a Swift of "Global Economic Power", from the "G7" mainly Western-style, established "Bigger" Countries of the World, towards some Other, Emerging Giants from the formerly "Developing" World.


Meanwhile, indeed, the BRICS had had their 1st Summit held in Russia, at Yekaterinburg, back on 2009, and are Now due to start their 6th Summit of Heads of State for 2014, tomorrow in Brazil, at the Atlantic Ocean ressort of Fortaleza, where Russian President Putin will meet with Chinese President Xi, Brasilian President Rousseff, together with their Indian and South African counterparts; PM. Modi and President Zuma.


In fact, the Fast-Growing Economic and Financial Mass, as well as wide Trade areas, found at the BRICS Countries, had already incited, f.ex. the former French President Nicolas Sarkozy, when he had chaired the G8 and the G20, back on 2011, (Comp. "EuroFora"s NewsReports from the May 2011 G8 Summit at Deauville, and the November 2011 G20 Summit atstartCannes : . .....), to make a serious  Attempt to Convince China a.o. to Start Negociating a kind of Collective Contribution to a New kind of Regulation of the World's Monetary Order.


Already, BRICS' stance in real practice should normaly have been behind the fact that the €uro had reportedly succeeded to circulate and be used at approximatively the Half of the World's riches, almost at 50% - 50% with USA's Dollar, as ECB services declared recently at nearby Frankfurt.

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>>> All out of a sudden, just a few Hours after "EuroFora" evoke with ECB's President such Topical issues of relations between €uroZone and the BRICS, given several converging recent developments, it was anounced that Russian President Vladimir Putin, have an exceptionaly important Exclusive INTW to the Itar-Tass Press Agency, where he declares his Political Will to Boost the BRICS' "Role" in the World and "Raise" it  at a "New Level" :

vputin_400


- In particular, the overall Idea is explicitly placed under the Banner of a strive towards "a Multi-Polar World", as Putin stresses from the outset, using a Terminology which would certainly please also his Chinese counterpart, the President Xi Jiping, and others among the BRICS Leaders....


- "The modern world is indeed multipolar, ....this is objective reality. Any attempts to create a model of international relations where all decisions are made within a single ‘pole’ are ineffective, malfunction regularly, and are ultimately set to fail", warns , indeed the Russian President, at the eve of the 2014 BRICS Summit (Comp. Supra).


- Fortaleza's Summit being "Sustainable Solutions" for an "Inclusive Growth", the 5 Heads of State are due to "consider the most Urgent Issues in Global Politics and the Economy, as well as the BRICS' Development"; Putin added Tonight.


+ In addition to a series of important GeoPolitical Issues such as, f.ex., "Cooperation inside the UNO", opposal to "Individual States' attempts to Impose .. a policy of Displacing "unwanted" regimes and .. "Unilateral" Solutions to Crisis", the "creation of a Mechanism of Regular High‑level consultations between (BRICS') Foreign Ministries on ...Regional Conflicts", etc., as well as "Cooperation in setting Rules .. in the Global Information space", and "Equal Rights for all Countries to Participate in Internet's management", "Analyse the situation in the World's HotSpots" and consider "Measures" to "prevent the Harassment of Countries who don't agree with some Foreign Policy Decisions made by the USA", and are threatened by "Unilateral Sanctions", instead of "promoting a Civilized Dialogue on all points at issue, based on Mutual Respect", (etc), as the Russian President highlighted, the BRICS intend, Today, also to Boost their "Economic Ties", advancing well beyond a growing "mutual Trade" between them, (which already became "over 300 Billions $ in 2013"), in a Huge "Market of almost 3 Billions Consumers", between Countries with "unique Natural Resources, and a substantial technological, financial and industrial potential", in order to "Draft", "at this moment", "on Russia's Initiative", a real "BRICS' Economic Cooperation Strategy" :


 - This includes Measures to face BRICS' "Needs" for a "serious Infrastructure Modernization", mainly thanks to the establishment of a "Development Bank" to support "Cooperation" and "Major Projects", as well as the "creation of a BRICS' Pool of Foreign Currency Reserves", as Putin revealed, which would certainly be of great Interest also to "€uroZone" Countries.


+ But, "First of all", there is BRICS' "Common Intention to Reform the International Monetary and Financial System", (including the IMF), which, "In its present form, is Unjust", by "taking a more active part in the IMF and the World Bank's Decision-Making system" : Since Bretton Woods (1945), the International Monetary System ...depends a lot on the US Dollar, or, to be precise, on the monetary and financial policy of the US Authorities", something tha "the BRICS Countries want to Change", (precisely as also EU Countries had explicitly tried to Start doing f.ex. since the 2011 French G8 - G20 Chairmanship, by former President Nicolas Sarkozy, in close cooperation with German Chancellor Angie Merkel).

amerkel__vputin

=> All this should contribute to enhance also the role of "International Law" and of the "UNO", at the World stage, where the present BRICS' Countries intend to eventually accept some "Strategic Partnerships" also with certain other willing Countries, (as f.ex. Argentina, etc), but without yet opening any process of Full Enlargement beyond the current  "Big 5", unless, perhaps, a  "Gradual Expansion" "in the Future",  Vladimir Putin concluded Today.

 

Meanwhile, as BRICS Countries stand now, they already "account for 21 % of global economic output, and have contributed more than 50% of World economic Growth in the past Decade" (2004-2014), according to the Chinese Press Agency "Xinhua".

brics_5_400 

(../..)


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(NDLR : "DraftNews", as already send to "EuroFora"s Subscribers/Donors, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, might be Published asap).

***

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Recent developments proved that Europe can suceed to overcome challenges by aiming at great objectives, and this is needed also in 2009, said EU chairman, French President Nicolas Sarkozy.

    - "It's in the name of Great Ideas, Projects, Ambition and Ideals, that EU can overcome" challenges, stressed Sarkozy at EU Parliament in Strasbourg, in conclusion of a dense 7 months EU Chairmanship. "It's even easier for Europe to have Great projects, able to overcome national egoism, instead of limiting itself only to small projects" (unable to do alike), he observed.     

- "Europe must remain Ambitious and understand that the World needs her to take Decisions". "The World needs a Strong Europe", which "thinks on its own, has convictions, its own responses, its imagination" : "A Europe which does not limit itself into following" others, (as it did in the Past, when it followed USA, f.ex. on Bosnia). On the contrary, "Europe should undertake its own responsibilities", he said, after a series of succes in stopping the War between Russia and Georgia, and organizing the 1st EuroZone's Summit in Paris, which incited the Washington DC G-20 Summit to extend similar decisions World-wide.  


    - "When you sweep it all under the carpet, prepare yourself for hard tomorrows", he warned. "What hinders decisions is the lack of Courage and Will, the fading away of Ideals", he stressed before EU Parliament's 2008 debate on Human Rights and Sakharov prize on Freedom of thought attributed by MEPs to Chinese cyber-dissident Hu Jia, followed by an EU - Turkey meeting on Friday.

    - "I don't abandon my convictions" and "I will take initiatives" on EU level also in 2009, Sarkozy announced later. "France will not stop having convictions and taking initiatives" on Europe. + "It's an Error to wish to pass over the Heads of those who are elected in their Countries" : "It's an integrism I always fought against"', he warned.
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French EU Presidency faced 4 unexpected Crisis :

- An institutional crisis, with the Irish "No" to EU Lisbon Treaty, just before it started. A geopolitical crisis, wth the threat of War between Russia and Georgia risking to throw Europe back to Cold-war divisions, on August. A World-wide Financial and Economic crisis, arriving at a bad moment before crucial 2009 EU elections. And even a Strasbourg's mini-crisis, with EU Parliament's roof curiously falling down, from unknown reasons, in a brand new building on August, provoking an unprecedented transfert of the 2 September Plenary Sessions...

But it wasn't enough to stop Sarkozy ! On the contrary, it stimulated him...
---------------------------------------

- "The better way to deal with the recent problems of EU institutions (as the "3 NO" by France, the Netherlands and Ireland) is to take them as a "Test" in order to find solutions closer to Citizens' concerns", said later in Strasbourg Sarkozy's new choice as Ministe for EU affairs, Bruno Le Maire.

- On the Institutional front, Sarkozy gave Time to the Irish to think about it, and stroke on December a deal including a New Referendum after the June 2009 EU Elections, in exchange of a promise to keep the rule of "one EU Commissioner for each EU Member Country", and some opt-outs on Defence and Fiscal EU policies, Abortion, etc. If the Irish get a "Yes" Majority, then the institutional package could be completed in 2010 or 2011 on the occasion of Croatia's probable EU accession.

He was accused in Strasbourg to upgrade EU Council and downgrade EU Commision, but he replied that "strong Political initiatives by EU Council reinforce also the more technical role of EU Commission, under the political-technical leadership of its President", all 3 "working together with EU Parliament".


- But, meanwhile, Sarkozy energetically spearheaded an Historic 1st Summit of EuroZone's 15 Heads of State and Government at EU's core, exceptionally enlarged to a partial participation of British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, on October 12 in Paris' Elysee palace, which started to tackle succesfully the growing world Financial crisis.

    It also paved the way for its endorsement by a subsequent Brussels' 27 EU Member States' gathering, before it all come to Washington's G-20 Summit. And "Europe was united, it asked for the 1st G-20 Summit, and it will also organise the next G-20 Summit on April in London", he observed.   

 But a Conference with EU, Russia, African and other Developing Countries, hosted in Strasbourg shortly after Washington G-20 Summit by the French EU Presidency, took a Resolution asking to enlarge participation to Global Economic Governance. Many found, indeed, illogic and unacceptable that f.ex. states as Turkey were given a seat at G-20 level, while all African Countries, and even the African Union itself, representing the greatest Continent on Earth, were excluded...


    Meanwhile, even USA''s "Paulson No 3" Plan, was, in fact, inspired by Europe's No 1 Plan", Sarkozy observed, largelly applauded by MEPs.

    And "Europe showed Solidarity" by mobilizing some 22 Billion credit for Hungary, 1,7 billion for Ukraine, as we do nowadays for Baltic States, etc., he added.

    The move on Economy was extended on December by an EU stimulus' plan totalling some 200 billion Euros, including 5 Billions released by EU Commission for big Projects, as well as various parallel National plans for Economic revival, (fex. 26 billions in France alone). They might appear limited, compared to USA President-elect Obama's reported plan to boost the American economy with 800 billion $, but at least succeded to overcome Europe's divisions for the first time on Economic governance, opening new horizons.

- The French President stressed even harder the unique role of an active EU Council's chairmanship, when he moved swiftly and efficiently, at the beginning of August, to succesfully stop War between Russia and Georgia, at the last minute, which threatened to bring Europe back to Cold War division.

"We (EU) also wanted to avoid a situation like in Bosnia, in the Past, when EU was absent, so that our American friends took their responsibilitues, and EU only followed", despite the fact that the conflict took place in Europe. Now, it was the EU who took its responsibilities".

A roadmap towards a new PanEuropean Security policy, before which all unilateral moves to place new Missiles (from USA or Russia) would be freezed, was proposed by Sarkozy after a meeting with Russian president Medvedev, at the eve of Washington DC's G-20 Summit.

Ukraine's "European" character was stressed at a Sarkozy - Jushenko Summit, September in Paris, while EU adopted on December an "Eastern policy", in which, "I'm convinced that our (EU's) future is to find with our Neighbours the conditions for Economic Development. Peace and Security, by explaining them that.. they must respect (Human Rights') Values, and adopt behaviors different from the Past", explained Sarkozy in Strasbourg.

Meanwhile, the "Union for the Mediterranean" was created, since July's Summit if 45 Heads of State and Government in Paris, as "an organisation for a permanent Dialogue, that we need", mainly in order to tackle the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, by bringing together, for the 1st time, Israelis and Arabs, where "Europe must be present, in order to avoid a frontal clash".

- "If Europe doesn't take its part for Peace in the Middle-East, nobody else will do that in our place", Sarkozy stressed.
-----------------------
    Meanwhile, other EU Agreements were brokered during the French EU Presidency on Immigration, (fex. common Asylum rules, etc), and Climat- Energy :

    - On Climat-Energy, the 2007 German EU Presidency had fixed a triple 20% aim for 2020 (20% renewable Energies, 20% reduction of CO2 emmission, 20% energy efficience/economies), and the 2008 French EU Presidecny realized that, making the necessary compromises in order to modernize EU's industry, but without throwing some former Central-Eastern European Countries into abrupt Economic break down risking "social explosion".

    - Defence-Security EU policy was mainly postponed for April 2009, since both German chancellor Merkel and French president Sarkozy want to strike a deal with the new American president Obama in Strasbourg's NATO Summit.

    However, with all these 4 unexpected Crisis diverting attention to other urgencies, People wil wonder now, what happened to the famous deal proposed by freshly-elected French President Sarkozy on Turkey's controversial EU bid, back on August 2007, to continue EU - Turkey negotiations, but on the double condition that core chapters, intrinsequally linked with EU Membership, will be excluded, and that a collective Reflexion and Debate on Europe's future would start before the end of 2008.

    It was meant to reply to the crucial question : What kind of Europe do we want in 10 or 20 Years from now : A large Market, or a Political Europe, with a popular identity ? In Sarkozy's thinking, presented in his 2 landmark speeches on Europe in Strasbourg, shortly before and after the 2007 Elections, (on February and July 2007), Turkey's controversial EU bid would be incompatible with the second choice.

    It's true that EU Commision's Chairman, Jose Barroso, (who had notoriously declared, as former Portuguese Prime Minister, that he found "nonsense" the idea that Europe might become equal to the US), had repeatedly tried to avoid that Sarkozy's criticism on Turkey might start winning a larger audience in Europe, preferring a discrete "wismens' committee" work. And that most of the personalities later chosen in order to participate in a Committee on Europe's Future, are too much linked with Socialist parties and/or American policies, to be really critical of USA's notorious wish to impose Turkey to the EU, as Sarkozy had noted himself since March 2007..

     - "It's on EU Council's presidency to take political initiatives. EU Commission has other competences", stressed Sarkozy. The "European Ideal" is to "build Europe with the States, not against them". "Ask Europeans to chose between their countries and Europe won't work. You don't choose between your two parents : We must add them together".

    "France and Germany have an Historic Duty to work together, precisely because of what happened to the Past. We have to work hand by hand. We cannot be separated.It goes beyond me and Mrs Merkel today, Mr Schroeder and Mr. Chirac yesterday. It's not a choice, it's a duty to Europe and to the World".  "We need Germany, as Germany needs Europe". Compromise is inevitable, here as everywhere, and each one made some steps towards eachother's positions.

    But "it's true that Mrs Merkel didn't chose her Socialist partners, while I chose mine", Sarkozy said, in an indirect hint that the Socialist Minister of Finance in Germany might be a cause of minor past disagreements in Economy, which were overcome in recent negotiations.

    "We (France and Germany) have particular duties in Europe", but "in a Europe of 27 Member States, it's not enough for France and Germany to agree between them.

    "I always thought that Great Britain has a special role to play in Europe. ... Now, everybody "saw what it cost payed the UK for having been too exclusively open towards the US (and) Financial services. Europe needs the UK, but also the UK needs Europe" :- "We were able to face the hardest moment of the Financial crisis because the UK clearly chose Europe", stressed Sarkozy, reminding Gordon Brown's exceptional participation to the Historic 1st Heads of State/Government Summit of EuroZone, October 12 in Paris (See EuroFora's Reportage from Elysee Palace then).

     - "Some look at Europe with old glasses aged 30 years ago. While we must look at her in relation to what it will be in 30 years" in the Future, Sarkozy concluded.

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