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Home arrow newsitems arrow ECB President Draghi to EuroFora : BRICS' developments raise Interesting Questions for €uroZone

ECB President Draghi to EuroFora : BRICS' developments raise Interesting Questions for €uroZone

Автор ACM
Monday, 14 July 2014

 mario_draghi_400

*Strasbourg/EU Parliament/Angelo Marcopolo/- New developments on the BRICS' countries (Russia, China, India, South Africa, Brazil) raise Interesting and Topical Questions for €uroZone, replied in substance ECB's President Mario Draghi, to a relevant Query by "EuroFora",

just before a landmark INTW by Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Press Agency "Itar-Tass",apparently, fully confirms that, (See Infra). .


Significantly, Draghi said that to "EuroFora" at the eve of an exceptionaly Important Heads of State/Governments' Summit of the BRICS due to Start Tomorrow in Fotraleza, (at Brazil's Norhern Coasts to the Atlantic Ocean), almost at the same time as, in parallel, another exceptional EU Member Countries' Heads of State/Governments' Summit is scheduled for the Day After : Wednesday, July 17, in Bussels.

ep_eco_committee_with_draghi_400


Meanwhile, ECB's President had already started to participate in New EU Parliament's (as it has recently emerged from the May 2014 EU Elections), 1st full working Plenary Session, this Week in Strasbourg, (14-17 July 2014), where he has just made a Speech and Debated with MEPs at its Economic and Monerary Committee this Monday Evening, in the General Framework of a recently established, quasi-regular "Monetary Dialogue" between the EU Parliament and ECB.


 At first, Mario Draghi smiled kindly and greeted "EuroFora", that he already knew both from his earlier visits to EU Parliament in Strasbourg, but mainly from several ECB's Press Invitations for "EuroFora" to visit the European Bank's Headquarters at nearby Frankfurt, (Comp. f. ex. : ...., etc),  as well as from certain of our working trips to Brussels' EU Summits, (where ECB's President started to be systematically invited to EU's Heads of State/Governments' meetings focused on Economy since December 2011, while, in addition, the €uroArea Treaty, proposed by the Franco-German "motor" on August 16, 2011, in Paris (See relevant "EuroFora"s NewsReport from Elysée Palace, then), decided by the December 2011 and the January 2012 EU Summits in Brussels; and signed by EU Heads of State/Government on March 2012, explicitly provides for a regular presence of ECB's President in all special €uroArea Member States' Summits).

brics


- "What do you think, Mr. President, about the recent developments on the BRICS countries ? Do you believe that they can affect, in one way or another, the €uroZone,  and/or that there might be at least some useful concrete points for Cooperation with them ?", "EuroFora" asked, on this occasion, Draghi, after reminding him the Fact that Russian, Chinese, Brasilian, South African and Indian Heads of State were holding a Summit "Tomorrow".


- ECB's President clearly indicated to "EuroFora" that, indeed, he was well Aware of that imminent BRICS' Summit, and he "knew" about its main points.

 

ecb_president_arriving_towards_agg_400


 + Moreover, Mario Draghi, reacting Positively to "EuroFora"s Query on the BRICS, clearly stressed that, in his opinion, effectively, - "This is a very Good Question, indeed !" for Topical €uroZone issues, as he explicitly acknowledged.


- Therefore, he expressed the view that "I should have been asked such a Question earlier Tonight", i.e. during his above-mentioned Debate with MEPs at EU Parliament's Economic and Monetary Committee on various Topical developments, and Regretted the Fact that, unfortunately, at least for the time being, Noone among the MEPs who were present this Evening in Strasbourg, didn't raise that yet...


++ This fact practicaly Hinders me to give a Full and substantial Reply Now to such an Interesting Question, since I have to leave the Parliament the Fastest possible, for other meetings, Draghi apparently regretted, speaking to "EuroFora" during this same Evening that New EU Commission's President-designate, former long-time Prime Minister of Luxembourg, and €uroGroup's Chairman, Jean-Claude Juncker, was reportedly gathering around him, elsewhere in Strasbourg, several Top EU Personalities, in order to prepare a Crucial Debate and Vote, Tomorrow at EU Parliament's Plenary, on his Election as New EU Commission's President for the Next 5 Years of the period 2014-2019, as well as to hold Consultations for the entire Next EU Commission's composition and individual Members' choices...


- However, Draghi appeared, as usual, fond of pertinent Comparisons between €uroZone's 18 Member Countries, and various Other Actors at the International level. (As, f.ex., on the Relation that he found, in his view, between those Countries who have a High Unemployment of Young People, and those where Youngsters "Lack the Skills demanded by the Labor Market", as he said earlier Tonight, pointing mainly at OCDE's findings).

20140714_210353_400


+ Even more Interesting Comparisons could certainly be made by Mario Draghi also concerning the Topical Observations that he made ToNight at EU Parliament, about the Positive and the "Negative" aspects of a "Too Long" prolongement of a Total Lack of Inflation, f.ex. reportedly now at €uroZone, in relation with the lack of sufficient Growth, and the respective Situation which exists now, in this regard, inside the BRICSn (f.ex. China, but also Russia, etc).


Moreover, "EuroFora"s Topical Question on the BRICS' developments in relation to "€uroZone" seems to really present a notable interest for President Draghi personaly, given also the notorious Fact that he is a Top Economist who emerged from the "Goldman Sachs" Financial services' Multinational Giant, who is,  by an astonishing Coincidence, the ... Creator of the very Word "BRICS", and a main initial Theorist of the Economic Power that the BRICS' Countries, and particularly China, among them, is reportedly due to acquire at the Horizon of 2050, compared to the USA, EU and Japan, etc, as a Famous "Goldman Sachs"' premonitory Graph has already Warned, based on the estimated GDP Growth of each :  

10_largesr_economis_of_the_world_at_a_2050_horizon_goldman_sachs_graph_400 

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Launched as early as already since 2001, the Goldman Sachs' experts' acronym "BRIC" (which became "BRICS" after the recent Addition also of South Africa, who hosted the previous, 2013 BRICS' Summit), was initially supposed to symbolize a Swift of "Global Economic Power", from the "G7" mainly Western-style, established "Bigger" Countries of the World, towards some Other, Emerging Giants from the formerly "Developing" World.


Meanwhile, indeed, the BRICS had had their 1st Summit held in Russia, at Yekaterinburg, back on 2009, and are Now due to start their 6th Summit of Heads of State for 2014, tomorrow in Brazil, at the Atlantic Ocean ressort of Fortaleza, where Russian President Putin will meet with Chinese President Xi, Brasilian President Rousseff, together with their Indian and South African counterparts; PM. Modi and President Zuma.


In fact, the Fast-Growing Economic and Financial Mass, as well as wide Trade areas, found at the BRICS Countries, had already incited, f.ex. the former French President Nicolas Sarkozy, when he had chaired the G8 and the G20, back on 2011, (Comp. "EuroFora"s NewsReports from the May 2011 G8 Summit at Deauville, and the November 2011 G20 Summit atstartCannes : . .....), to make a serious  Attempt to Convince China a.o. to Start Negociating a kind of Collective Contribution to a New kind of Regulation of the World's Monetary Order.


Already, BRICS' stance in real practice should normaly have been behind the fact that the €uro had reportedly succeeded to circulate and be used at approximatively the Half of the World's riches, almost at 50% - 50% with USA's Dollar, as ECB services declared recently at nearby Frankfurt.

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>>> All out of a sudden, just a few Hours after "EuroFora" evoke with ECB's President such Topical issues of relations between €uroZone and the BRICS, given several converging recent developments, it was anounced that Russian President Vladimir Putin, have an exceptionaly important Exclusive INTW to the Itar-Tass Press Agency, where he declares his Political Will to Boost the BRICS' "Role" in the World and "Raise" it  at a "New Level" :

vputin_400


- In particular, the overall Idea is explicitly placed under the Banner of a strive towards "a Multi-Polar World", as Putin stresses from the outset, using a Terminology which would certainly please also his Chinese counterpart, the President Xi Jiping, and others among the BRICS Leaders....


- "The modern world is indeed multipolar, ....this is objective reality. Any attempts to create a model of international relations where all decisions are made within a single ‘pole’ are ineffective, malfunction regularly, and are ultimately set to fail", warns , indeed the Russian President, at the eve of the 2014 BRICS Summit (Comp. Supra).


- Fortaleza's Summit being "Sustainable Solutions" for an "Inclusive Growth", the 5 Heads of State are due to "consider the most Urgent Issues in Global Politics and the Economy, as well as the BRICS' Development"; Putin added Tonight.


+ In addition to a series of important GeoPolitical Issues such as, f.ex., "Cooperation inside the UNO", opposal to "Individual States' attempts to Impose .. a policy of Displacing "unwanted" regimes and .. "Unilateral" Solutions to Crisis", the "creation of a Mechanism of Regular High‑level consultations between (BRICS') Foreign Ministries on ...Regional Conflicts", etc., as well as "Cooperation in setting Rules .. in the Global Information space", and "Equal Rights for all Countries to Participate in Internet's management", "Analyse the situation in the World's HotSpots" and consider "Measures" to "prevent the Harassment of Countries who don't agree with some Foreign Policy Decisions made by the USA", and are threatened by "Unilateral Sanctions", instead of "promoting a Civilized Dialogue on all points at issue, based on Mutual Respect", (etc), as the Russian President highlighted, the BRICS intend, Today, also to Boost their "Economic Ties", advancing well beyond a growing "mutual Trade" between them, (which already became "over 300 Billions $ in 2013"), in a Huge "Market of almost 3 Billions Consumers", between Countries with "unique Natural Resources, and a substantial technological, financial and industrial potential", in order to "Draft", "at this moment", "on Russia's Initiative", a real "BRICS' Economic Cooperation Strategy" :


 - This includes Measures to face BRICS' "Needs" for a "serious Infrastructure Modernization", mainly thanks to the establishment of a "Development Bank" to support "Cooperation" and "Major Projects", as well as the "creation of a BRICS' Pool of Foreign Currency Reserves", as Putin revealed, which would certainly be of great Interest also to "€uroZone" Countries.


+ But, "First of all", there is BRICS' "Common Intention to Reform the International Monetary and Financial System", (including the IMF), which, "In its present form, is Unjust", by "taking a more active part in the IMF and the World Bank's Decision-Making system" : Since Bretton Woods (1945), the International Monetary System ...depends a lot on the US Dollar, or, to be precise, on the monetary and financial policy of the US Authorities", something tha "the BRICS Countries want to Change", (precisely as also EU Countries had explicitly tried to Start doing f.ex. since the 2011 French G8 - G20 Chairmanship, by former President Nicolas Sarkozy, in close cooperation with German Chancellor Angie Merkel).

amerkel__vputin

=> All this should contribute to enhance also the role of "International Law" and of the "UNO", at the World stage, where the present BRICS' Countries intend to eventually accept some "Strategic Partnerships" also with certain other willing Countries, (as f.ex. Argentina, etc), but without yet opening any process of Full Enlargement beyond the current  "Big 5", unless, perhaps, a  "Gradual Expansion" "in the Future",  Vladimir Putin concluded Today.

 

Meanwhile, as BRICS Countries stand now, they already "account for 21 % of global economic output, and have contributed more than 50% of World economic Growth in the past Decade" (2004-2014), according to the Chinese Press Agency "Xinhua".

brics_5_400 

(../..)


______________________
 
 
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(NDLR : "DraftNews", as already send to "EuroFora"s Subscribers/Donors, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, might be Published asap).

***

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 sarko_merkel_mieux

The official presentation of a "Program" respecting People's choices voted in the June 7, 2009 EU Elections, to be debated in EU Council and EU Parliament during its 1st Session on July in Strasbourg, is the No 1 Priority, according to Democratic principles, for the Franco-German axis, said the main winners at the ballot box, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel.

They stressed  that the New EU Commission's President must have a "Program" in favor of an EU which "protects" its Citizens, regulates financial markets and aims at a "Political" Europe" : a wording they have used as incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid.

They also declared ready for a "political" endorsment of "Mr. Barroso's candidacy" in June's EU Council, considering that an official decision would have to be made after EU Parliament's debates and votes, possibly from next month (July), with the legally necessary final acceptance shortly after Lisbon Treaty's entry into force, hoped for September or October.


- "A Program, and Mr. Barroso" : This resumes, in substance, the anouncements made by Sarkozy and Merkel, on the question of current EU Commission's President, Barroso's declared wish to succeed to himself for a second mandate, to be extended during the following 5 years.

 In their 1st meeting after EU Elections, they observed that "the Franco-German axis counted in European Elections' campaign... But, we both keep a realistic view : We saw the number of those who abstained, and we must absolutely give them an answer. We also see the disilusionment of an important number of Europeans vis a vis Europe, and we are aware of the responsibilities we have".

sarko

 - The "Duty" of the new EU Commission's President, after June 7, 2009 EU Elections' result, "is to act for a Europe which protects the Europeans, to commit himself into working for a better Regulation of Financial transactions, ... and to have a Political will for Europe", underlined Sarkozy.

Therefore, "we have asked M. Barroso... to clarify, to officialy present the intentions he has", he anounced.

- "We want to speak also about the Programme", explained Merkel.

- "It's important that for the next EU Parliament's mandate (2009-2014) we take the right Decisions for Europe.  Obviously on Persons, but mainly Decisions on Issues", she stressed.

- "It's not simply a question of a Person, it's also a question of a Programme". We are "really asking Mr. Barroso to commit himself on a Program, and on Principles, on Values", Sarkozy added.

EU President-in-office, Czech Prime Minister Jan Fischer, accepted the Franco-German stance :

- "Barroso must present his Programme. The Czech Presidency agrees with that", Fischer reportedly said later, after meeting Sarkozy.

But Press reports from Brussels claimed that Barroso had preferred to be officially appointed by EU Council since June, (i.e. next week), "because this was implied by the current Treaty of Nice, according to him", and considered any delay until the possible ratification of the new, Lisbon Treaty on September/October, as "undemocratic".

- "At any case, independently of what Germany and France ask, it's also EU Parliament's wish". "We shall propose Mr Barroso's candidacy... But even in the framework of Nice Treaty, EU Parliament has to be associated in this Decision", the French President observed.

If this is correctly done, then "we support Mr. Barroso's candidature", and "if the (EU) Parliament agrees, we might ratify this decision since July", (i.e. next month), they both said.

smerkem_400

- "France and Germany support Baroso's candidacy, But we want to speak also on the Program. We believe that this Program should be established in close cooperation with EU Parliament, and that's why we have followed an appropriate way", said Merkel.  - If EU Parliament wants, this election can take place on July,  but this must be done in full agreement.

- "We shall support Mr. Barroso's candidacy, without doubt", said Sarkozy. "But we have asked from Mr. Barroso, as I told him yesterday, to put into detail.. his intentions, at the eve of his 2nd mandate, if the situation avails itself.


    France and Germany "don't want to take an Official Legal Decision by writting" during "the next (EU) Council" (on June 18-19), declared Sarkozy.  Because they prefer, at this stage, only "a Political decision" on June, "so that we (EU Council) can work together with EU Parliament", which starts to meet only Next Month, since July in Srasbourg, "leaving a Legal decision by writting for later".

    - "If the Conditions are fuillfiled in EU Parliament, we (EU Council) are ready to give the agreement and make it offficial", said Merkel

    - "But, now we are working in the base of Nice Treaty. If tommorow we want to work in the spirit of Lisbon Treaty, we have to find a proper way", she added.

    - "Of course it's Legally complicated, because we are going to make a Political proposal to the forthcoming Council, for an EU Commission's President, on the basis of Nice Treaty : So, we (EU Council) will not appoint the Commissioners. Only the President.  If EU Parliament agrees, it could endorse this position on July", explained Sarkozy.

    But, on Autumn, "if Ireland ratifies Lisbon Treaty, there will be, at any case, a 2nd Decision, to appoint the Commission's President, this time on the basis of Lisbon treaty, and then, we, the EU Member States, would have to appoint (also) the EU Commissioners", he added.

    As for the precise Timing :  - "Everything is suspended until the Irish vote... Now, we must all make everything possible to help Ireland to say "Yes"" to Lisbon Treaty... The Irish Referendum, ..will take place either on September or on October. It's a Question which depends on the Irish. And,  then, we shall have the Choice of the Candidates for the permanent Institutions of Europe".

    However, "if Ireland says No, we, French and Germans, have to assume our responsibilities, and we'll do so", he concluded.

    But British and Swedish governments were reportedly eager to have a final EU Council decision on Barroso since this month, on June's European Council. While the other EU Member Countries are divided, several of them preferring to wait until EU Parliament pronounces itself, on July, and/or until Lisbon Treaty might be ratified by Ireland at the beginning of the Autumn. Barroso's current mandate ends on November.

    There are also various, contradictory and/or unpredictable reactions inside EU Parliament vis a vis Barroso's wish to continue a 2nd mandate, because many MEPs are openly or secretly opposed, reluctant, or hesitating.

    In the biggest EU Countries, as France and Germany, EU Citizens voted on June 2009 EU Elections for a renovated, non-technocratic but Political Europe which cares for its Citizens, with an Identity, Values and Borders, declared incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid, by mainstream, pro-European Governing Parties. Similar choices were also supported in several other small or medium EU Countries.

    On the contrary, whenever, in other Countries, Governing and other mainstream Parties didn't make these choices or eluded them, EU Citizens massively voted for euro-Sceptics whenever they were the only ones to to promise anti-bureacratic change and oppose Turkey's demand to enter into the EU, (f.ex. in the UK, Netherlands, etc).

    It's seems to be an Open Question whether Sarkozy and Merkel's conditions will be really accepted by Barroso, who was appointed on 2004 in a different political context, (with Socialist Prime Ministers in Germany, France, etc), had rejected in the Past the idea of EU becoming "equal to the USA" as "ridiculous", and pushed for Turkey's contoversial EU bid, trying to "soften" or contain the changes desired by the People who voted for Merkel and Sarkozy with another policy vis a vis Turkey on 2005 in Germany and on 2007 in France, as they did all over Europe on 2009.

    In addition to many EPP Governments, it's 3 remaining Socialist Prime Ministers : Gordon Brown in the UK, Zapatero in Spain, and Socrates in Prortugal, who support Barroso, as well as Liberal Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt. But their Parties lost the June 2009 EU Elections.

    Questioned whether there was still "Time" for "other" possible "Candidates", Sarkozy and Merkel did not deny, nor made any comment on that, but simply said that "it's not for us to make publicity for any candidates. We anounced our choice ("A Program, and Mr. Barroso"). But we respect any other candidate".

    Among various other names cited are former Belgian Prime Minister Verhofstadt, former UNO's Human Rights Commissioner Mary Robinson of Ireland, Italian former EU Commission's vice-President Monti, etc. Meanwhile, Luxembourg's PM Juncker, (who had been unanimously accepted by EU Council for EU Commission's Presidency on 2004, but refused), announced his intention to resign from "EuroGroup"'s Chair. Thus, he might be available for another Top EU job.

    As "EuroFora"'s "opinion" said (See publication dated 9/6/09) : - "If the current candidates (i.e. Barroso, etc) to the Top EU jobs promise and guarantee to respect People's democratic choices, then, it's OK".

"Otherwise, Europe must find new candidates, really motivated and able to implement these democratic choices of the People."

    Because, "in Democracy, the forthcoming choices for EU's Top Jobs,...should be made according to EU Citizens' Votes in June 7, 2009 European Elections, and main EU Governments' strategic policies".
        

***

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