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Home arrow newsitems arrow Sarkozy+Merkel sources to EuroFora: European Security deal in Medvedev+Clinton Berlin talks +OSCE?

Sarkozy+Merkel sources to EuroFora: European Security deal in Medvedev+Clinton Berlin talks +OSCE?

Written by ACM
Tuesday, 10 November 2009

brandenbourg_fireworks_400

Berlin/ACM/-Steps towards a 2010 Nuclear and larger Security deal on Europe, perhaps via OSCE, started to be prepared on the sidelines of Berlin's Heads of States/Governments' Summit, revealed to "EuroFora" well informed sources from French President Sarkozy, German Chancellor Merkel and Russian President Medvedev, while US State Secretary Hilary Clinton was the 1st Foreign Politician to arrive before the festivities, and met with new German Foreign Minister Westerwelle and other participants.  

 - A PanEuropean Security deal could be decided "before the end of 2010" by an OSCE Summit, said to "EuroFora" well informed sources from French President Sarkozy's entourage, after he met in Berlin with Russian President Medvedev.


    Sarkozy, since he was EU Chairman, had initially proposed, in agreement with German Chancellor Merkel, the organization of an OSCE Summit to discuss a PanEuropean Security deal, in exchange of Russian President Medvedev's promise to stop moves to deploy Nuclear Missiles at Kaliningrad, in reaction to US plans for an anti-Nuclear "Shield" in Europe, when they had met at Nice, on November 2008, before the G-20 Washington Summit.     

A first opportunity for the Franco-German leaders to discuss that with new US President Obama was given at NATO's Summit in Strasbourg, April 2009. Shortly afterwards, OSCE Ministerial meeting at Corfu decided to start a preparatory work to explore concrete possibilities in this direction since July 2009.    

Obviously, Berlin' s 9 November 2009 Summit, topically held just after the ratification of EU's Lisbon Treaty which created 2 Top EU jobs to fill, and at the eve of crucial OSCE and other International political meetings on PanEuropean Security issues on December 2009, didn't only serve Symbolic purposes.    

At the same time,  US - Russia Nuclear Disarmament agreement START (signed in 1991) expires at the end of  2009, inciting new US President Obama and Medvedev (who are due to meet in Asia in a few days) to re-negociate a new agreement soon.

   berlin_rain_before_400

 
    Symbolically, during all the public part of Berlin's Summit, European Heads of State and Government continuously faced a heavy ...Rain, which obliged them to walk and speak to the People under huge ..Ombrellas, inevitably reminding the Nuclear protection issue...

berlin_heads_of_stats_without_ombrelas.._fireworks_after_wall_s_fall 

  Astonishingly, the rain started to stop only when a fake "Wall of Dominos" was pushed down by EU Parliament's President Buzek, EU Commission's Presidents Buzek and Barroso, as well as Lech Walesa and Michail Gorbarchow, saluted by a Fireworks' spectacle at the Brandenbourg Gate, followed by a long diner among Heads of State/Government, hosted by German Chancellor Merkel, at last free to discuss unoficially but topically all "hot" issues...

        Informed sources from the Russian President told "EuroFora" in Berlin that Medvedev's main message was to remind former Russian President Michail Gorbatschow's contribution to Germany's reUnification, and to plead for "a Europe without any more Dividing lines".
 
sarko_medvedev_400 

    Medvedev's expert, Sergei Prikhodko, reportedly confirmed to Russian Press Agency "Itar-Tass" that Berlin visit was "in line with" efforts to prepare a "New panEuropean Security Treaty".

    As for Foreign Minister Lavrov, he confirmed Russia’s interest in making a new European Security Treaty legally binding for everyone : - “We will promote our proposal, including within the Russia-NATO Council meetings  due to take place in the beginning of December,” he reportedly said.
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    Even if US President Obama was physically absent during Berlin's Heads of State/Government contacts, (except from a last-minute, surprising Video-message at Brandenbourg gate), USA's State Secretary Hilary Clinton was 1st among all Foreign Politicians guests to arrive in Berlin, for the longer stay of all, starting as early as since Sunday afternoon, (even before EU Parliament's President Buzek).

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    - "Security" figured as No 1 among the "issues" "about" which new German Foreign Minister, Guido Westerwelle, "talked in detail" with Clinton, as he stressed in a brief Press Conference at the German Foreign Ministry.  But they didn't reveal in public anything about Nuclear Arms and European Security related to East-West and US - Russia matters, focusing, instead, on a few Press Questions only about Iran and Afghanistan.

    However, Clinton also met in Berlin with the OSCE Chairman-in-office, new Greek Prime Minister Georges Papandreou, who currently prepares a crucial OSCE Ministerial Summit at the beginning of December in Athens.
    ------------------------------------------

    Precisely, the December 1 and 2 OSCE Ministerial meeting in Greece was indicated by French President Sarkozy's sources to "EuroFora" as a possible date for decisions on the main issue.

 kazakstan__sarko_400

    - "If Kazakhstan" (the next OSCE chair for 2010) plays correctly the game, then, an OSCE Heads of State/Government Summit before the end of 2010 could be a good idea", Sarkozy's sources added, confirming that the issue was discuessed with Medvedev in Berlin.

    The move could create "a common space for Security and Cooperation between the US, EU and Russia," according to the French Presideny's sources. (Or, as Medvedev reportedly said : a kind of "Forum" to discuss Security issues, "“both by NATO member states and European countries that are not NATO members”. “Otherwise, non-NATO states will not feel quite comfortable anyway").

    Experienced Diplomatic Observers, pointed out to "EuroFora" that "now seems to be the right Timing, because no NATO Enlargement is planned for the moment", so that Western countries don't suspect any Russian attempt to stop an eventual NATO's extension in the following months, and this simplifies things.

imag0606_400  

    The issue is of outmost importance and interest for the European and International Policy of the new German Government, revealed to "EuroFora" Merkel's Governing party, CDU/CSU's vice-President in charge of Foreign Policy, experienced long-time Chairman of the Franco-German Group of MPs, Andreas Schockenhoff, in the framework of a larger, exclusive Interview at the Bundestag, the German Parliament, which started to debate the policy of the New Government, a day after Berlin's Summit :
    - "The 2 pilars of German Foreign Policy are European Integration and Trans-Atlantic cooperation", he stressed from the outset.

    - "On Disarmament Policy, we (Germany) are Ready to withdraw all Nuclear items which are still stocked on German soil", Schockenhoff declared.

    - "But not Unilaterally, but within an International Disarmament Agreement, and within the "New Strategic Concept" of NATO", he added.

    - "So : Clear confirmation for Disarmament, but not as Unilateral National  step, but imbedded in NATO's New Strategic Concept, and imbedded in International Disarmament Agreements",  the CDU/CSU Bundestag Spokesman on Foreign Policy resumed.

    Earlier at the Bundestag, as CDU/CSU Foreign Policy speaker (with the longest intervention of all : 23 minutes !), Schockenhoff said that his "CDU/CSU Parliamentary Group strongly supports American President Obama's vision to create, step by step a World free of Nuclear Weapons".  

    - "This fully corresponds to our tradition : Helmut Kohl and Hans Dietrich Genscher had begun in 1982 with the goal to "Create Peace with always Less Weapons".  In his Government's time Europe was largely freed of Medium and Short-range Weapons".

    - "Now we want to continue this Process, and at the same time also dismantle the Nuclear Weapons remaining in Germany, in close concertation with our Allies and in the framework of Disarmament Agreements".   

 - "During this legislative period (2009-2014), ..we will press for Arms' reduction and Disarmament. Because we must prevent.. New Rearmament Dynamics to emerge", he warned.

However, on the OSCE side, the matter is delicate, since "an OSCE Summit needs the agreement of all 56 Members States", and always necessitates very "careful preparations", while it still remains to be seen how the forthcoming Kazahkstan's OSCE Presidency might present officially its wish to host a Summit on 2010, said afterwards to "EuroFora" OSCE's Spokesman, Martin Nesinsky.   

 - "Since Summer 2009, OSCE Ambassadors are regularly working on the "Corfu process", (from the name of the island where the current Greek Presidency's hosted the latest OSCE Top Political meeting), which examines all Security issues which might be covered by a future OSCE agreemennt : Not only Political and Military, but also related to Democracy and Human Rights, Technology, Environment, Health, Eco-social matters, etc. It will depend on Foreign Ministers, meeting on December in Athens, to check the work done, and eventually debate, finalize and decide. But it's hard to guess now what may happen then", OSCE's spokesman added to "EuroFora".


    There has been No OSCE Summit since the last one, held in 1999 at Istanbul, and that's why some Member Countries say that time has come now to hold a new one, while other Member Countries, without denying this fact, say that it would be premature to organize a Summit if something substantial is not ready for Heads of State/Government to debate and decide, Nesinsky concluded.

    To help prepare OSCE Ministers' "muscles" for such a "heavy" diplomatic exploit,  the 2009 Greek OSCE Presidency symbolically prepared the forthcoming December 1 and 2 OSCE Ministerial meeting at the former ...Olympic athletic games' area, which hosts not only performant Media Broadcasting facilities, but also an International Athletics' Museum...

Will 2009 OSCE Foreign Ministers be performant enough to break a diplomatic record, on panEuropean and trans-Atlantic Security ?
 

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 sarko_merkel_mieux

The official presentation of a "Program" respecting People's choices voted in the June 7, 2009 EU Elections, to be debated in EU Council and EU Parliament during its 1st Session on July in Strasbourg, is the No 1 Priority, according to Democratic principles, for the Franco-German axis, said the main winners at the ballot box, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel.

They stressed  that the New EU Commission's President must have a "Program" in favor of an EU which "protects" its Citizens, regulates financial markets and aims at a "Political" Europe" : a wording they have used as incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid.

They also declared ready for a "political" endorsment of "Mr. Barroso's candidacy" in June's EU Council, considering that an official decision would have to be made after EU Parliament's debates and votes, possibly from next month (July), with the legally necessary final acceptance shortly after Lisbon Treaty's entry into force, hoped for September or October.


- "A Program, and Mr. Barroso" : This resumes, in substance, the anouncements made by Sarkozy and Merkel, on the question of current EU Commission's President, Barroso's declared wish to succeed to himself for a second mandate, to be extended during the following 5 years.

 In their 1st meeting after EU Elections, they observed that "the Franco-German axis counted in European Elections' campaign... But, we both keep a realistic view : We saw the number of those who abstained, and we must absolutely give them an answer. We also see the disilusionment of an important number of Europeans vis a vis Europe, and we are aware of the responsibilities we have".

sarko

 - The "Duty" of the new EU Commission's President, after June 7, 2009 EU Elections' result, "is to act for a Europe which protects the Europeans, to commit himself into working for a better Regulation of Financial transactions, ... and to have a Political will for Europe", underlined Sarkozy.

Therefore, "we have asked M. Barroso... to clarify, to officialy present the intentions he has", he anounced.

- "We want to speak also about the Programme", explained Merkel.

- "It's important that for the next EU Parliament's mandate (2009-2014) we take the right Decisions for Europe.  Obviously on Persons, but mainly Decisions on Issues", she stressed.

- "It's not simply a question of a Person, it's also a question of a Programme". We are "really asking Mr. Barroso to commit himself on a Program, and on Principles, on Values", Sarkozy added.

EU President-in-office, Czech Prime Minister Jan Fischer, accepted the Franco-German stance :

- "Barroso must present his Programme. The Czech Presidency agrees with that", Fischer reportedly said later, after meeting Sarkozy.

But Press reports from Brussels claimed that Barroso had preferred to be officially appointed by EU Council since June, (i.e. next week), "because this was implied by the current Treaty of Nice, according to him", and considered any delay until the possible ratification of the new, Lisbon Treaty on September/October, as "undemocratic".

- "At any case, independently of what Germany and France ask, it's also EU Parliament's wish". "We shall propose Mr Barroso's candidacy... But even in the framework of Nice Treaty, EU Parliament has to be associated in this Decision", the French President observed.

If this is correctly done, then "we support Mr. Barroso's candidature", and "if the (EU) Parliament agrees, we might ratify this decision since July", (i.e. next month), they both said.

smerkem_400

- "France and Germany support Baroso's candidacy, But we want to speak also on the Program. We believe that this Program should be established in close cooperation with EU Parliament, and that's why we have followed an appropriate way", said Merkel.  - If EU Parliament wants, this election can take place on July,  but this must be done in full agreement.

- "We shall support Mr. Barroso's candidacy, without doubt", said Sarkozy. "But we have asked from Mr. Barroso, as I told him yesterday, to put into detail.. his intentions, at the eve of his 2nd mandate, if the situation avails itself.


    France and Germany "don't want to take an Official Legal Decision by writting" during "the next (EU) Council" (on June 18-19), declared Sarkozy.  Because they prefer, at this stage, only "a Political decision" on June, "so that we (EU Council) can work together with EU Parliament", which starts to meet only Next Month, since July in Srasbourg, "leaving a Legal decision by writting for later".

    - "If the Conditions are fuillfiled in EU Parliament, we (EU Council) are ready to give the agreement and make it offficial", said Merkel

    - "But, now we are working in the base of Nice Treaty. If tommorow we want to work in the spirit of Lisbon Treaty, we have to find a proper way", she added.

    - "Of course it's Legally complicated, because we are going to make a Political proposal to the forthcoming Council, for an EU Commission's President, on the basis of Nice Treaty : So, we (EU Council) will not appoint the Commissioners. Only the President.  If EU Parliament agrees, it could endorse this position on July", explained Sarkozy.

    But, on Autumn, "if Ireland ratifies Lisbon Treaty, there will be, at any case, a 2nd Decision, to appoint the Commission's President, this time on the basis of Lisbon treaty, and then, we, the EU Member States, would have to appoint (also) the EU Commissioners", he added.

    As for the precise Timing :  - "Everything is suspended until the Irish vote... Now, we must all make everything possible to help Ireland to say "Yes"" to Lisbon Treaty... The Irish Referendum, ..will take place either on September or on October. It's a Question which depends on the Irish. And,  then, we shall have the Choice of the Candidates for the permanent Institutions of Europe".

    However, "if Ireland says No, we, French and Germans, have to assume our responsibilities, and we'll do so", he concluded.

    But British and Swedish governments were reportedly eager to have a final EU Council decision on Barroso since this month, on June's European Council. While the other EU Member Countries are divided, several of them preferring to wait until EU Parliament pronounces itself, on July, and/or until Lisbon Treaty might be ratified by Ireland at the beginning of the Autumn. Barroso's current mandate ends on November.

    There are also various, contradictory and/or unpredictable reactions inside EU Parliament vis a vis Barroso's wish to continue a 2nd mandate, because many MEPs are openly or secretly opposed, reluctant, or hesitating.

    In the biggest EU Countries, as France and Germany, EU Citizens voted on June 2009 EU Elections for a renovated, non-technocratic but Political Europe which cares for its Citizens, with an Identity, Values and Borders, declared incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid, by mainstream, pro-European Governing Parties. Similar choices were also supported in several other small or medium EU Countries.

    On the contrary, whenever, in other Countries, Governing and other mainstream Parties didn't make these choices or eluded them, EU Citizens massively voted for euro-Sceptics whenever they were the only ones to to promise anti-bureacratic change and oppose Turkey's demand to enter into the EU, (f.ex. in the UK, Netherlands, etc).

    It's seems to be an Open Question whether Sarkozy and Merkel's conditions will be really accepted by Barroso, who was appointed on 2004 in a different political context, (with Socialist Prime Ministers in Germany, France, etc), had rejected in the Past the idea of EU becoming "equal to the USA" as "ridiculous", and pushed for Turkey's contoversial EU bid, trying to "soften" or contain the changes desired by the People who voted for Merkel and Sarkozy with another policy vis a vis Turkey on 2005 in Germany and on 2007 in France, as they did all over Europe on 2009.

    In addition to many EPP Governments, it's 3 remaining Socialist Prime Ministers : Gordon Brown in the UK, Zapatero in Spain, and Socrates in Prortugal, who support Barroso, as well as Liberal Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt. But their Parties lost the June 2009 EU Elections.

    Questioned whether there was still "Time" for "other" possible "Candidates", Sarkozy and Merkel did not deny, nor made any comment on that, but simply said that "it's not for us to make publicity for any candidates. We anounced our choice ("A Program, and Mr. Barroso"). But we respect any other candidate".

    Among various other names cited are former Belgian Prime Minister Verhofstadt, former UNO's Human Rights Commissioner Mary Robinson of Ireland, Italian former EU Commission's vice-President Monti, etc. Meanwhile, Luxembourg's PM Juncker, (who had been unanimously accepted by EU Council for EU Commission's Presidency on 2004, but refused), announced his intention to resign from "EuroGroup"'s Chair. Thus, he might be available for another Top EU job.

    As "EuroFora"'s "opinion" said (See publication dated 9/6/09) : - "If the current candidates (i.e. Barroso, etc) to the Top EU jobs promise and guarantee to respect People's democratic choices, then, it's OK".

"Otherwise, Europe must find new candidates, really motivated and able to implement these democratic choices of the People."

    Because, "in Democracy, the forthcoming choices for EU's Top Jobs,...should be made according to EU Citizens' Votes in June 7, 2009 European Elections, and main EU Governments' strategic policies".
        

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