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Home arrow newsitems arrow France : Zemmour = Outsider may become Game Changer in Presidential + Parliamentary Elections 2022

France : Zemmour = Outsider may become Game Changer in Presidential + Parliamentary Elections 2022

Written by ACM
Saturday, 09 April 2022

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 *Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Acccording  to UnExpected developments, Outsider,  popular former Anti-Establishment Journalist Eric Zemmour, may become a Game Changer in the forthcoming Presidential  and/or Parliamentary Elections, (4 - 6/2022) recent Polls, Public Meetings, Press Statelents, Political Evznts, Votes and Results, bringing various Impacts in National,, European, and/or Global, big Topical Issues.

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    Zemmour aims to Overcome a Division of thz Right, which has, practicaly, been Exploited by the Left and/or the Center, in order to Seize the Governemztt, several times in the Past, even with a Minority, against a Lack of Unity of the Right, through a systematic Diabolisation of all Rightsts, Provoking Abstention, Socio-Political Troubles, and Degradation of Democracy, Incompatible with the Respect to Citizens and importance of Public Debates, required by the nature, stakes and complexity of Issues handled by Modern Public Decision-Making, at most levels.

    Out-going President Emanuel Macron (Centrist-former "Socialist") and Top Chalenger Marine Le Pen (Rightist), the 2017 Finalists,  Surf again at the Top of Polls, on a Similar Rank. But Mecron recently Lost some Groud, apparently because of a Heavier than expected  Dependency from UK-USA on the Ukranian Division of Europe, added to ab Eye-Blink towards Turkey, as also to Consecions to Lobbies on BioEthics (Bio-Technocrats + LBGTI°) and Fake-"Vaccines" against the Virus' Pandemic, Twice Headqurtered in the EU, with some Harsh or Restrictive Measures. Almost Simultaneysty, Le Pen's Family's notorious Incompatibility with Center-Left Voters, reportedly seems to have somewhuat diminished, added to a more Fair stance for the PanEuropean area with Russia on Ukraine, Ameliorating Marine's alleged Prospcts.

    Top Outsiders Jean-Luc Melancon, at the Left side, and Eric Zemmour, on the Right side, may be, more or less, Blocked from Criss-Crossing, But only Melancon looks Excluded from Mainstream Left of the Establishment, while, on the Contrary, Zemmour appears Fluidly Moving accross All the Right, which currently holds a Majority among French Voters :

    - Indeed, Zemmour has just bee accredited by Recent Polls for a Bigger Number of potential Voters than Valerie Pecresse, the current Head Cadidate of the Mainstream, Center-Right Party of "Republicaans", from which he reportedly has Already reached a Deal with its Chief  at EU Paliament, MEP Bellamy, ( a BoEthics supporter), added to former Minister Mariani, present Chief oi the Right and Biggest Fraction of the Party : Ciotti, former "Numbr 2" Pelletier, and probably former Secretary General Wauqiez, (current succesful President of Region in the latest Elections), etc.

    -  Moreover, he is Also Supported, inter alia, by Rightist Le Pen's "National Rally" Party's 3 Key Leading EU Parliament MEPs, including their former Chief, Bey, aad current President, Riviere, as well as her own sibling, Director of Political Science Instutute, Marion Le Pen-Marechal, etc.

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    + Eric Zemmour's Public Meetings Nowadays seem to have  gathered a Huge Number of Participants, both at the Internet and Physicaly, (f.ex. at Trocadero, in Paris, where they Recently revendicated about "100 Thousands" Demonstrators).  

    =>  On the main Topical Issues, Faithful to the Historic General De Gaulle, and Presidents Jacques Chirac plus Nicolas Sarkozy, Zemmour recently pronounced himself  in Favour of a "Great Europe", including Russia, even after the latest Ukranian conflict provoked on 2022, withOut Dividing our Continent in a CounderProductive and Da,ngerous way.

    On BioEthics, he stays Opposed to Controversial and ImPopular "Same Sex" Marriage between Homosexuals, which leads towards massive Artificial Fabrication of Children through Technocrats' Labos, prefering Traditional Marriage, between a Man and a Woman, (as even CoE's PanEuropean Convention on Human Rights disposes), i.e. with Natural Births.

    Concerning the always "Barning" and Topical Issue of Foreign Mass Migration, Zamour is strictly Against imposed "Population Replacement" theories and/or practices, as well as against massive "Islamisation' in French Society, (believing that Europe has its own Potential to Generate a sufficient Working Force). Instead, he proposes full and authentic Cultural "Assimilaton" to the Historic French and European Civilisation, (Based on Greco-Roman and Renaisance Philosopjy, as well as in Judeo-Christian Values, etc).

    ++ In order to realise such Aims, Eric Zemmour has just created a fully fledged, brand New Political Party, with Record-High Participation, which intends t challenge the forthcomoing Parliamentary Elections of June 2022 and well Beyond in the  fpreseable Future, (with the European History landmark Name of "Reconcista").

    *** Last, but not least, he clearly vowed, if nccessary, to Stand by Marine Le Pen, at the imminnt 2d RFound of crucial Presidential Elections, on April 24. Thi is the 2nd (and probably Biggest) Party to join a possible large Coalition af All the Right Side of France's Political spectrum, (as it had been done, Earlirn f.ex. in Norway, Austria, Bulgaria, Finland, etc), After a First such move by the small Party of atypical Neo-Gaulist Dupont-Aignan on he Previous Elections of 2017 (+3%).

    It goes without saying that if, this time, Zemmour soon Adds a More pr less Significant Popular Swift for a Unity of the Right in France, then, this could Result in a Growing cascade of various socio-Political Repercussions, which can have Manifold Effects of a real "Game Changer". Particularly if he succeeds to Bypass the score of Pecresse, (generally considered as closer to the Establishment, among Various Republicans)...

 

(../..)

 

("Draft-News")

 

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People in Europe and the World expect from CoE to make a succes of its "Monitoring" for Human Rights and Democracy, despite difficulties, said Finland's President Tarja Halonen to "EuroFora" at a crucial moment for the mecanism built 15 years ago by the paneuropean organization which celebrates its 60th Anniversary in 2009.

Halonen, known as "Mother" of CoE's "Monitoring" mecanism, a long-time MEP and former Foreign Minister before becoming Finland's President, holds a long experience in the mattter, after also serving twice as CoE and EU Chairwoman in the past. That's why she is well placed to judge how CoE's "monitoring" should deal today with some crucial issues of importance both to CoE and to the EU.

The move came just a Month before a crucial, last visit to Turkey, scheduled for June, by the President of CoE''s "Monitoring" Committee, Ukranian MEP Serge Holovaty, to finalize his Report on Ankara, the CoE Member State with the longest Monitoring procedure. From its results depends its overall credibility.

This is a Test-case, because, in fact, it's in order to avoid Sanctions threatened against Turkey by a CoE's Assembly's April 1995 Resolution for grave Human Rights violations, Democracy gaps, the continuing Military Occupation in Cyprus, the unresolved Kurdish problem, Aegean differend with Greece, etc., that MEPs decided to create, for the 1st time on April 1996, a "Monitoring" proces, allegedly destinated to check, without excluding Countries who did not fulfill all CoE's standards.

In the Past, the obliged withdrawal of Greece's Military regime and of its "Civil" cover-up out of the CoE had helped bring back Democracy in 1974. But, on the contrary, since April 1996, the idea was to "monitor" Human Rights' respect while keeping most concerned Countries inside the CoE. After Turkey's oldest example, this was extended also to several former "Eastern" European Countries, even if CoE's Assembly has imposed to some of them (fex. Ukraine, Russia, etc., after Belarus, Serbia, etc) various "Sanctions", that Ankara always avoided. Curiously more succesful even than .. USA itself, (a CoE "Observer" since 1995), which has been at least threatened with sanctions some years ago..

EU-effects of CoE's Monitoring process became obvious between 2001-2008, since the "closure" of this procedure, when CoE felt that a Country had met most of its Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law obligations, (i.e. the "Copenhagen Criteria" for the EU), helped trigger Negotiations with the EU for "Accession" or other closer relations : This occured already before the 2004 and 2007 EU Enlargements to former "Eastern" European Countries, as well as for the commencement of "accession" negotiations with Croatia, and of "open-ended" negotiations with Turkey in 2005.

    But a stricking new development are Holovaty's recent findings that on core Human Rights issues as Torture and Freedom of Expression, Turkey, even "5 Years after" CoE closed its "Monitoring", back in 2004, inciting EU to start accession Negotiations in 2005, still presents grave problems.

    His findings are of crucial importance after a 2008 CoE Resolution called, "if need be", to "seriously consider the possibility of Re-Opening the Monitoring procedure for Turkey" : A move which might affect Ankara's controversial EU bid, since EU Accession Negotiations are based on the Hypothesis that the Candidate fullfils the "Copenhagen Criteria" (See above)..
-------------------------
    Holovaty expressed his will to check  "Matters still Outstanding" and  those that he "didn't have an opportunity to discuss" at an earlier visit this year, "in order to discuss the more complex issues in greater depth", at his forthcoming New Visit to Ankara, before the December 2009 EU Summit.  This is all based on the 2004 CoE Resolution which stresses that, CoE "will continue.. post-monitoring Dialogue with the Turkish authorities,...in addition to a 12-points list,..and on any Other Matter that might arise in connection with Turkey’s Obligations as a CoE member state".

    CoE's Resolution also asks  from Turkey "to secure the proper Implementation of Judgements, particularly in the Cyprus v. Turkey InterState case", of 2001, which concerns also the plight of many Hundreds of MISSING People. It adds Turkey's obligations to "execute" ECHR's Judgements in the Loizidou case,..and in particular adopt General Measures to avoid repetition or continuation of Violations found by the Court" to the detriment of Refugees.

    Nevertheless, Holovaty said to "EuroFora" that "MISSING" persons,"might be included" and cannot be excluded, but he has yet to examine the situation "to find out  which issues will be raised" to the Turkish Government.

    Therefore, "EuroFora" asked Halonen, as the Historic "Mother" of CoE's Monitoring mecanism, if she thought that, "whenever there are grave Human Rights Violations, as fex. "MISSING" persons, attested even by ECHR's judgements, they should be always checked by a Monitoring process. Or could they be forgotten ?"
    
     - "We (CoE) must be, at the same time, Fair, Realistic, but not in the mind that "now we have Forgotten", etc., replied to "EuroFora"'s question Halonen, speaking as a matter of general principle.

    - "When we think of those People that are suffering from the lack of Democracy, of Human Rights, and of the Rule of Law", "we should find a base on how to deal with the (Monitoring) system more rapidly"', she stressed.

    - "Sometimes it's very difficult to combine Transparency and Effectivenes together, particularly in this specific case", she went on to say. But, "I have not found a (CoE Member) Country who could be insensitive in this sens", Halonen answered concerning grave Human Rights violations attested by the ECHR.

    - "I have no ready-made answer. I have the expectations that you, in the CoE, will, step by step, find the different types of the monitoring systems."

    Also "because this is a part of the UN's Post-Conflict system, (fex. when it comes to Cyprus' MISSING persons), and it's a more Global system". So that, "If we make a succes in Europe, the others will follow", throughout the World.  "But they expect that we (Europe) are this opportunity, this Opportunity to make a Succes", Halonen concluded.

    In addition, she advised to extend CoE's Monitoring to all its 47 Member States, "because, as long as we hear that, all these monitoring systems are "OK for the neighbor, but not for me", "it's very difficult" to understand. Something which could make easier to Compare...

    Finnish MEP Jaako Laakso, former CoE Rapporteur on the Occupied Territories of Cyprus and one of the 5 Signatories of the Historic CoE's call to create the "MONITORING" mecanism since 1996, was more specific :  - "We (CoE Assembly) have to find a way for the issue of Cyprus' MISSING People to be better followed", he stressed, anouncing his intention to "speak to Mr. Holovaty" about that. "There might be also other ways", added Laakso.

    - The 2008 "Year had been a very Bad one for Turkey with regard to Human Rights in general, and Freedom of Expression in particular", denounced, meanwhile, Holovaty's preliminary Post-Monitoringh Draft Report by Holovaty, published by the CoE on April 2009.

    "Amnesty International believes that freedom of expression is not guaranteed given the various articles of the Criminal Code that restrict it. .. "For example, 1,300 Websites are said to have been closed down by the (Turkish) authorities in 2008" ! While "the new Turkish Criminal Code was used to bring a total of 1,072 proceedings between June 2005 and April 2008, and led to the conviction of 192 people", for expressing views. "Representatives of the Özgür Gündem newspaper, which specialises in Kurdish affairs, ..complained about Numerous Attacks on their Freedom of Expression ...as was everyone who advocated a settlement to the question by means other than the intervention of the army" "According to their figures, 19 Newspapers had been suspended 43 times between 4 August 2006 and 4 November 2008" !...

    Moreover, on 2008,  CoE's "Ministers adopted its 4rth Resolution on the execution of the judgments of the ECHR, ...and outstanding issues regarding 175 Judgements and decisions relating to Turkey delivered between 1996 and 2008...  concerning Deaths resulting from the excessive use of force by members of the Security forces, the failure to protect the right to life, the DIisappearance and/or death of individuals, Ill-Treatment and the Destruction of property". CoE's " Ministers urged the Turkish authorities ...to ensure that members of Security forces of all ranks can be prosecuted without administrative
authorisation" for "serious crimes". Holovaty reminded.

"Nonetheless", Holovaty heard anew of "Several cases of Violence committed last year (2008) by the (Turkish) security forces". Amnesty International speaks of Many Cases of ill-treatment and Torture in the prisons and by the police". "Including, fex."'the death of Engin Ceber, a young man of 29 who died on October 2008 as a result of the TORTURE allegedly inflicted on him by police officers, prison staff and members of the gendarmerie. He was part of a group of people arrested on September 2008 during a demonstration and Press Conference in Istanbul'. Proceedings against suspects are "on-going" in this case.

- " I therefore noted an Obvious Contradiction between the Government’s stated “zero tolerance” policy.... of Torture and other forms of ill-treatment, and the different testimonies given", denounced CoE's Rapporteur.  Turkish "authorities must make considerable efforts to guarantee that proper investigations are carried out into allegations of abuses by members of the security forces and that perpetrators are effectively punished" "In this respect, I have requested detailed Statistics on the number of Investigations, acquittals and convictions in cases involving allegations of abuse in order to show the positive impact of the measures taken to date", Holovaty said, repeating a permanently unsatisfied CoE's demand to Turkey since a Decade...

    - "The Political Crisis that shook the country in the spring of 2008 highlighted the Weaknesses of the (Turkish) Constitution", which comes from the Military regime of 1982, "and the Urgent Need of Reforms", stressed from the outset CoE's Rapporteur in 2009. In particular, "the ...Democratic functioning of state institutions, including the independence of the judicial system, are crucial", he observes.

    But, "the Electoral  system and the ways in which it is circumvented do not appear to give those elected complete Legitimacy, and tend to pervert the course of direct universal suffrage", denounces Holovaty, observing that, even 5 Years later, Turkey did not yet change the 10% nationwide Threshold for a party to take any seat, which is "far higher" than the "3%" maximum in Europe and already condemned as contrary to European Standards by the CoE.

    + Moreover, EU Parliament's 2009 Report on Turkey, drafted by Dutch MEP Ria Oomen-Ruijten and adopted in Strasbourg on March, expresses "Concern over the Failure of the (Turkish) Judiciary to prosecute cases of Torture and Ill-treatment, the Number of which is Growing". EU also "is concerned about continuing Hostility and Violence against Minorities" in Turkey. It also "calls on the Turkish Government to launch, as a matter of Priority, a Political Initiatve favouring a lasting Settlement of the Kurdish issue, (while "condemning violence.. and terrorist groups"). EU "regrets that No progress has been made on establishing full, systematic Civilian suprevisory functions over the (Turkish) Military".

    The final results of Holovaty's 2nd and last visit to Turkley will be known later this year, and, at any case, before EU's December 2009 Summit.

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