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Αρχική arrow newsitems arrow Spanish Elections 2015: Prevent a N/S Division of Europe, by Boosting ChristianDemocrat/EPP Links+ ?

Spanish Elections 2015: Prevent a N/S Division of Europe, by Boosting ChristianDemocrat/EPP Links+ ?

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Σάββατο, 19 Δεκέμβριος 2015
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*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Seen from the "Mittel-Europa" Strategic Viewpoint of Strasbourg, things are Crystal-Clear, as far as Sunday's Crucial Elections in Spain are concerned :


Either Spanish People will Boost the Governing Rajoy's Christian-Democrat/European People's Party ("PP"), giving him a Chance, in one way or another, to Complete what notoriosly looks as a Hard but Succesful Economic Reform and Revival Trend, since the Catastrophe provoked in the Past by a series of former Socialist Governments who had blatantly Failed.


Or, Otherwise, Europe really Risks to be sharply Divided between the North and the South, seriously threatening to Trigger, more sooner than later, even a Break up in Two Separate Parts, which might make EU implode.


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    Almost all relevant Facts, indeed, clearly indicate that a kind of Remake, mutatis-mutandis, almost of a Similar Scenario as that of the Historic American Clash between the Northern and Southern States of what initialy was, back on 1860, only a Loose ConFederation, before Becoming, after a Hard Fought War, a much more United Federal State, giving Birth to the Today's USA, could Not be really Excluded a priori, in Today's Europe, IF this Sunday's Spanish Elections of 2015 don't Succeed to Prevent a dangerous North-South Division of Europe, which appears, Otherwise Inevitable.


    Indeed, after the Previous Political Developments in France, with President Hollande, and Italy with Prime Minister Rentzi, followed by more Recent Political Changes, in the Same Direction, mutatis-mutandis, also in Greece with Tsipras, and Portugal with Costa, after Malte, etc, the only Big Southern EU Member State with a Government of the Right, obviously, remains Spain with Prime Minister Rajoy, while All Other Southern States are Now Governed by the Left side of the Political Spectrum.


    On the Contrary, since the 2010 U-turn at the UK with David Cameron,, confirmed even more clearly on the Spring of 2015, and the Series of Stronger and Stronger Electoral Wins in Germany by Chancellor Angie Merkel's CDU/CSU, in Poland Tusk's 2007-2011 Governments followed in 2015 an even Stronger Right by Jaroslaw Kaczynski and Beata Szydło, as well as the impressive Series of Electoral Wins by Hungary's Victor Orban, Denmark's Lars Rasmussen's New 2015 Government of a Union of the Right, as well as Finland's 2015  Prime Minister Sipila - Soini and Stubb's all Right Coalition's Win, Romania's December 2014 Elected President Johannis and recent Developments concerning the New Government set up in 2015, until Bulgary's Borisov, etc., the General Trend is obviously Heading Towards the Right side of the Political Spectrum, (and this is even Stronger if one examines also the 2014 Election in Norway, and the 2015 Votes in Switzerland, etc).


    Therefore, only a ChristianDemocrat/EPP-led Government in Spain now, which could be Able to Keep and Strengthen an Important Politicial Link between the North and the South of the EU, (the other such GeoPolitical Element being, naturaly, the Franco-German EU "Motor", partly Independent from the Political color of its Leaders, which is not, however, entirely irrelevant at all). On the Contrary, if it was the Left side of the Political Spectrum would take over in Spain, then, the Opposition between North and South obviously would become so Big, that it's Doubtful if the EU could still manage to Keep a Solid Unity with an overall Political Cohesion, given, particularly, the Huge Challenges lying ahead, which Require from Europe a Concentrated Will to Act Fast and Efficiently.


    Taking into account the Fact that most Polls indicate that Partido Popular's Rajoy would rather Win this 2015 Election anew, but, probably, with an Insufficient Result for Majority, then, it seems at first sight that all depends, practicaly, on one of the 2 "New" Spanish Parties : that of the "Citizens" (Center+), which could find a way to Cooperate with a ChristianDemocrat/EPP Government in Madrid, (given also of the Fact that they are Both Favorable to the Unity of Spain). But it's current leader has notoriously expressed several Doubts and Hesitations agaist such a Center-Right Agreement, and the outcome appears Unpredictable.


    In  case that such an otherwise Normal Possibility (which would also be Closer from others to the Spanish People's overall Political Will, if the Votes go as expected), it doesn't work, at least for now, then, it seems that the only Alternative would be for the Spanish Voters to Awake Up, become fully Conscious of what is Really at Stake for the Future of Both the Country and Europe as a whole,  a Strong enough ChristianDemocrat/EPP backbone link throughout EU's North and South, (given also that Neighbouring France will notoriously hold its own, crucial Presidential and Parliamentarian Elections in almost 1 Year's Time : End of April - Beginning of May 2017). Otherwise, a more Remote and Less Probable, but Not Excluded a priori Scenario might be to Face, precisely, the "Instability" that Many Predict from these 2015 Elections in Spain, in order to Trigger, better Sooner than Later, a Brand New Electoral Bid, with much More Crystal-Clear Stakes for the People, Better and more Constructive Reflections for all involved.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
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A "Gro-Ko" Cohabitation with Socialists is Not a Solution, but anOther Problem..
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    At any case, one thing appears Certain, already from Now : A Superficial Attempt to "Copy and Paste" or (even Worse) Impose a kind of "GroKo" Big Coalition with a Co-Habitation of the Left and the Right Sides of the Political Spectrum, by Taking Together Socialists and ChristianDemocrats/EPP traditional Parties, does NOT look good at all, because it would Provoke More Problems and Risks, (Perhaps even More Dangerous than the above-mentioned), than Solutions...


    Indeed, the main "New" aspect of these 2015 Spanish Elections being Expected to Focus rather on a Sharp Fall of the Socialists and an even Sharper Growth of 2 New, Atypical Parties, those of "Podemos", (recently Negatively Affected by Tsipras' Zig-Zags in Greece), and, even more, of "Citizens", (a Brand New rather Centrist, or Neo-Liberal Party), then, a "Duo" of the Traditional Socialist and EPP Parties would obviously look, inevitably, as if it was just a Coalition of the Past, against all those who might represent an Alternative Future, (various Corruption Scandals less).


    Moreover, even in France's recent History, a so Experienced Top Politician as former Long-Time President Jacques Chirac had notoriously Sacrificed 2 Years of Presidential Power (between 2007-2009), just to Shorten from 7 down to 5 Years his Term of office, so that the Presidential and Legislative Elections can Coincide in Dates, in order to have a Real Chance for the People to Exclude any kind of Political "Co-Habitation" between Left and Right, if one won the 1st, and another the 2nd, later-on, as it had already been done, provoking a Stagnation, Counter-Productive Tensions, Contradictions of Policy, etc, against a Healthy Democratic Alternance, only able to Give a Real Choice to the People, (and to incite the various Parties to prepare welln, strive to Find and Give the Best of themselves into such a Challenge).


    Today, given also the overall Recent Developments throughout almost all Europe, it seems quite Obvious that a "GroKo" recipe might, in Addition, prove quite Dangerous :

Indeed, already Exist and Extend Various and Numerous Concrete Examples, in Many European and Other Countries, of the Fact that People are now obviously Fed-up by such Deals among Traditional Politicians, which don't leave but Only a Few, if not None, real Chance for Citizens to have a Real Say on their Country's Political Life, augmentoing Frustrations and Popular Reactions which have already Proven that they Lead Voters, more and more, Towards Extreme or Atypical, Brand New Parties, with Unpredictable Final Results : F.ex., mutatis-mutandis : Beppe Grillo's "5 Stars Movement" in Italy, Nigel Farage's UKIP in Great Britain, the "National Front" in France, Tsipras' own "SYRIZA" post-Leftist Party and controversial "Golden Dawn"s Rightists in Greece, "Podemos" and "Citizens" in Spain (Comp. Supra), "Real Fins" Rightists in Finland, the "Alternative" in Germany, Danish and/or Norwegian Rightists, etc,

And the List is Not Finished yet in that Fast-Moving area of a Large Popular Dissatisfaction vis a vis most Traditional Political Parties, in front of several Big and New Challenges, and a Natural Seek for something more Trustworthy, Accountable and Better, most Often spontaneously Directed Out of the Old Establishment, as even the American Example currently shows in the USA, where such Various Anti-Establishment Movements are Growing already as early as Since 2008-2015...


+ Moreover, most Socialists' recent Tactics to Avoid Serious Debates on the Substance of Main Issues, but Prefer, on the Contrary, to launch Systematic Personal Attacks, Harassing their Political Adversaries with Any Kind of Misleading, Exagerated, Obscure, or even Totaly Slanderous Accusation against Themselves and/or some among their Closer Collaborators, even on Pretexts which Date from a Remote Past, (f.ex. Before they take Office, and/or Before entire Decades !), Several Times even Followed by Dangerous Physical Aggressions and Violence, (as f.ex. against former Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi, who was Hit at the Face unti Wounds Covered his Eyes with Blood ; Even Spanish Prime Minister Rajoy himself, who has just been, notoriously, Punched Violently at the Face, Breaking his Glasses and Wounding him, by a Gorilla-like looking Youngster aged 17+, shortly After a TV Debate during which the Chief of the Socialist Party, Santchez, reportedly Attacked Rajoy with a lot of various Personal Accusations, etc.

Indeed, such Methods of Systematic Personal Attacks, including with various Accusations, even outright Slandering, Repeatedly, Again and Again, Often simply Changing or Adding also Other Accusations, whenever the Previous ones might have been Proven False, Constantly Bullying their Victims in a kind of "Personailty Murder", which, in several cases, Includes also various "Judges" and/or "Prosecutors" often Appointed and/or Monitored by Socialist Governments, (etc), has Recently been Notoriously Exploited by extremely Abusive and Hateful Campaigns launched by Socialist Politicians in Many European Countries, such as, f.ex., in addition to Spain, also in France, Italy, Croatia, Slovenia, etc.


Facts which, obviously, are not only Outrageously Scandalous and Dangerously AntiDemocratic, but also Incompatible with Any Sincere and Trustworthy Cooperation between Politicaly Opposed Parties, that they make it an Impossible or Suicide-like Chimera and a Sly Trap where only Blind and Deaf might commit the Error to Naively Fall..


    In Consequence, a "GroKo" Attempt Risks to only Add to a GeoPolitical Danger, also a Systemic Danger, and/or a Sly Trap, that Both Spain and All Europe do NOT really Need Today !


    => On the Contrary, what is obviously Needed, is simply to Find New, Imaginative, but Resilient, Stable and Efficient Ways for a ReVitalized Democracy to realy Work, inter alia also by Giving EU Citizens a Say before Important Decisions affecting their Lives and/or that of the Whole Society at large, are taken, as well as, afterwards, a workable Accountability for Politicians who have undertaken a Responsibility for certain Big Choices. However, at any case, here and now, the most Important Priority is to Keep Europe basicaly United, around certain Fundamental Principles and Values, but, above all,  also thanks to a Real European Conscience in frequent interaction with the People.


(../..)
 

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("DraftNews", as already send to "EuroFora"s Subscribers/Donors, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version might be Published asap).


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Benedict's "Source" to revitalize Europe : - "The World needs Hope", Pope says, calling to relaunch E.U. via Human Rights !

Paris - Lourdes - Strasbourg : 12 - 17 September 2008.

The vital need to re-launch Europe can be succesfully met by defending fundamental Human Rights of the People, said Pope Benedict XVI in his 1st speech in France, at his meeting with President Nicolas Sarkozy, who currently chairs the EU.

Sarkozy replied by welcoming Christian and other religions' contribution to indispensable Public Debates on crucial issues which affect Human Dignity, Europe, even Humankind, as BioGenetics.

- "When Europeans will see and personally experience that the inalienable Rights of the Human Person .., those of their free Education, their Family life, their Work, ..their Religious Rights, ..are respected and promoted, then, these Europeans will fully understand the greatness of the European construction and will be actively involved in it", Benedict XVI stressed.

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- "It's important that during France's EU Presidency, there is, indeed, a desire for the Church to contribute to protect Human Person's integrity, and I think that there is also a growing Conscience, beyond any polemics, to defend Human Rights, and, thus, contribute to ensure respect for Human Dignity", added to "EuroFora" the Pope's Spokesman, Vatican's Press Director Federico Lombardi.

- "Nobody really told us here that Lisbon Treaty was good for this or that reason to the People. They only told us that we "had" to ratify it, and tried to scare us, but failed", said 2 Irish pilgrims to "EuroFora", after 2 Majority Abstentions in 1999 and 2004 EU Elections and 3 "NO" to Referenda in France and the Netherlands in 2005, followed by the Irish "No" in 2008, during a Decade of EU Crisis since the controversial Turkey EU- bid (1999-2008).

More than .."224 cases of Murders, Torture, "Disappearancies" or Destructions" by "agents of Turkish Security forces", where all those responsible for so heavy Crimes still remain scandalously unpunished, despite regular condemnations of Ankara by Strasbourg''s European Court of Human Rights from 1996 to 2008, were examined the same week by CoE's Ministers, who decided to launch a fresh call "urging" the Turkish Authorities to end this dangerous "virtual Impunity" of criminals, without comparison to European countries.

- "Why not Ukraine, instead of Turkey ?", asked EuroFora a Journalist from "Kiev : the city where it's enough to cross the streets in order to realize that it's a European town", as Sarkozy recently said, before solemnly declaring this week, together with Ukranian President Jushenko and EU Commission's chair Baroso, EU's "recognition that Ukraine is a fully European Country, linked to Europe by culture and History".

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Europe's "Christian roots" and Values, with "openess and mutual respect" to other cultures and beliefs, were highlighted by Sarkozy in harmony with Benedict XVI.

The Human person should be protected "from his inception until his natural death", added the Pope, faithful to BioEthic principles defended by his predecessor and collaborator, John Paul II, of topical importance in France, Europe and the World today, as Sarkozy announced :

- "Fast and important progres in Genetic Science and procreation raise delicate BioEthical Questions to our Democracies", which "involve our view of Humans and Life, and can lead to Social Mutations. That's why they cannot remain only a business of experts", hestressed.

- "It's Politician's responsibility to set a proper framework for such Public Debates", as "France will do on BioEthics in 2009". "Religious and Philosophic traditions must take part, with their ideas and centuries' long experience : A positive Laicity is an open invitation to Dialogue", he said.

- "France engaged in Europe at another Debate on how to make Financial Capitalism more moral", and the "Social doctrine of the Church fits well what is at stake in modern Globalized Economy"

- "But, a "Real Dialogue is not for an elite of a Globalized world : It penetrates deep into the People : That's why Churches should actively participate : .. It's bringing New Oxygen to Public Debates", stressed Sarkozy.

- "Democracy must not be cut off Reason", which is "compatible with Faith", thanks to "the meeting between Christianism and Greek philosophy ", he added, referring to Pope's views. "It means to advance with logic arguments, search what's best and respect common principles of thinking :... It's an everyday need for Public Administration and the Political Debate", he added.
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Pope Benedict's 1st visit to France looked like the start of a brillant, manifold demonstration that this was well-founded and could become true in the lives of the People : After its Theoretical foundations unfolded at a "speech to the world of Culture", inaugurating Bernadins' cultural centre, and its dogmatic instrument shaped at an address to the Clergy in the Historic Notre Dame' Cathedral, he started to resolutely reach out to the People :

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The move went upwards like Bach's music : Begining with a call to more than fifteen thousand enthousiastic Youngsters gathered at Notre Dame's parvis with overnight celebrations, it gained strength in an impressive open-air Mass at Paris'central Invalides'area facing Alexander III's bridge, attended by more than 150.000 people, French Prime Minister Fillon, many Ministers, Foreign Ambassadors, etc, and culminated in a series of pan-European Mega-meetings at Lourdes 150th anniversary, together with all French Bishops, EU Commission's vice-Chairman Barrot, and some 200.000 enthousiastic People from all over Europe and beyond : After a Sea of Lights astonishingly braved Saturday Night's rain, an open-air mass at riverside fields among Pyrenees' Mountains Sunday Morning, was followed on Monday by a Sea of "Compassion" to those facing Health or Life threats, surrounded by an endless gathering of People, whose gigantic dimensions obviously surprised the organisers..

Meanwhile, Benedict had the occasion to speak to the French Priests at Notre Dame of Paris, and with the Bishops at Lourdes, where they prepare a crucial November plenary meeting, due to take important decisions on imminent EU debates and choices about Europe's identity, BioEthics, etc.
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- "A new way of thinking about Laicity has become necessary", agreed the Pope with President Sarkozy at Elysee. While keeping the "distinction between Politics and Religion, to guarantee Citizens' Liberty", "religion is important for shaping Consciousness and contributing, together with others, to create a basic Ethical Consensus in society".

- "Searching Essential realities", (as "God" for christians), needs "Speech : "Logos" in greek, i.e. Reason", "able to shape a Community","with creative work transforming Human History". But "Dialogue" is instrumental for "Reason", because it's the way to "search" for Truth", in "Liberty", according to Greek Platonic Philosophy, with Socrates' dialectics. "Reason" implies "Spirit and Liberty", hence the polyphonic "Music" of "Dialogue", in a responsible, "well balanced" way, to avoid "destruction".

Starting with a "Dialogue between christians and intellectual or artistic movements" highlighted at Bernardins' Cultural Center. with former Presidents Chirac and Giscard d'Estain, UNESCO's chair Anastassopoulos, etc., as well as representatives of Muslim Communities, (including a separate Turkish), after contacts with Jews at Vatican's Embassy, the Pope turned towards the People :

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To French Priests : "Church built on the rock" !
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- Speaking to thousands of French Priests at Notre Dame's Cathedral, Benedict highlighted a solid "Church built on the Rock" of conscious and active persons, transmitting "a lively, energetic and sharp" "God's Speech, actively working on Human History".

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"Praying together" with "representatives of Christian Churches and ecclesiastic communities", (as Orthodoxes, Armenians, Protestants, etc), he called "to reinforce the Unity of the church", against "any form of Division", around Holy Spirit', "the Word","Christ's Justice", and "Love" to fellow- humans : Essentials which "resume all holy scripts", as he said.

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To Young People : "New Horizons"
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To some 15.000 enthousiastic Young People at Notre Dame's parvis, along Seine's river, Benedict spoke about "the Energy of the Holy Spirit" and "the Mystery of the Cross" : - "The Holy Spirit opens New Horizons to Human Intelligence .. and makes it conscious of the real greatness of Christ's sacrifice, dying and resurecting for World's life".

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Some "may slander you as crazy, laugh at you, or even persecute you. But, "the Holy Cross is a symbol of God's love", and "givesmoral strength" : "Witness of People's pains, it's at the same time, a precious, unique expression of their Hopes", he told them at Paris' dawn.

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Invalides' plateau : "People chosen to become God's friends"
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At the 1st open-air Mass in Paris' center area of Invalides, facing the Grand Palais, along the river Seine, during an impressive gathering of more than 150.000, French Prime Minister Fillon, Ministers Alliot-Marie, Bachelot, Dati, Jouyet, Assembly's President Accoyer, Senate's Chair Poncelet, former 1st Lady Bernadette Chirac, former Prime Minister Raffarin, many foreign Ambassadors, and other political personalities were present. (While earlier, from the Socialist opposition, Paris' Mayor Delanoye, artist Robert Hussein a.o. assisted at the Elysee meeting).

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But the "Entry Song" focused on the "People chosen to become God's Friends". The September 11 mass was Dedicated to "Saint Chrysostomus, that great priest of Constantinople", with his "wonderful eloquence and great courage to face challenges", who "made out of despaired and godless people, a people of brothers", opening a possibility to "become all one complete entity", as Pope Benedict reminded.

- "Reason never enters in real contradiction with Faith", stressed Pope Benedict, who prepared his speeches for France during a short Summer rest at Brixen/Bressanone's Seminar, whose Library honors both "Faith and Science".. - "We must use not only our Reason, but also our Faith" : "Get away from Idolatry", "cupidity", "avidity for money, power or even knowledge deviating from essential aims", and other "falses appearances". and "build your Home on the Rock", "with the force that Holy Spirit gives to those who let it act in them", he said to the People of Paris.

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Benedict at Lourdes : - "Become Light (even) in the Dark !"
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- "Our World needs Hope", stressed Pope Benedict, addressing an impressive TorchLight procession at Lourdes' sanctuaries, where a Sea of Lights held by Hundreds of Thousands of People gathered at Pyrenee's Mountains from all over Europe astonishingly kept their flames despite a heavy Rain at a windy Dark Night...

- "150 years earlier (1858 - 2008), ..here, in the cave, ... a simple young girl, Bernadette .. saw a Light". "The everyday life of her Family was, however, made of Misery, Sadness, Sickness, Misunderstandings, Rejection and Poverty... It was hard to live in Jail". Today, "we think to all Human Beings who suffer : The innocent Victims who face Violence, War, Terrorism, Hunger, Injustices, Catastrophes, Hate and Oppression, Violations of Human Dignity and of their fundamental Rights, of their Liberty to act and think. We also think to those who face Familial problems, sufferings from Unemployment, Sickness, Infirmity, Isolation, or their situation as Immigrants, without forgetting those who suffer and die for the name of Christ", he said.

- "But the Shadows of the Earth, did not hinder Sky's Light to shine : <<The Light shines in the Dark>>" ..."A Way full of Light opens in Human History even in its Darkest moments" : ..."As Night falls, Christ tels us : <<- Keep your Lamps alight !>>."Hold a Light while walking in the Night .. sums up our condition as Christians on their way : "We need light, and we are called to become Light !", Benedict stressed to People setting in motion Lights, Flags and Songs with enthousiasm.

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"<<- She looked at me as a Person, who speaks to another Person>>, the poor girl had noted."Light emerges from such a Dialogue", stressed the Pope : "A small Flame called Hope, Compassion and Tenderness dwells inside those who return after being moved by Lourdes' experience". "Christ .. entrusts us with the Mission to let the Light of Charity shine : To make of our Prayers an Act of Love to our brothers and to Fraternal Charity", he concluded.

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(../..)

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2009 EU Elections were won by Parties against Technocracy and Turkey's controversial EU bid, while the 1999-2004 Majority Abstention trend decelerated. What should be done in 2009-2014 ?

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