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Home arrow newsitems arrow German People vote for New Right in 2 Key States, before National Election. But will they be Heard ?

German People vote for New Right in 2 Key States, before National Election. But will they be Heard ?

Written by ACM
Sunday, 14 March 2021

 

 2_german_federated_states_elections_2021_wikipedia__eurofora_400

*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Shortly Before the Crucial, forthcoming National Elections of September 2021 in EU's Biggest Country : Germany, suddenly, an UnExpected Shift in Citizens' Votes in 2 Key Federated States near Strasbourg (France) Revealed a Popular Quest in favor of a kind of "New Right", (See Facts + Definitions Infra). But, will a Slow to move Establishment Hear the Voice of the German People, on Time and Clearly ?

- Giving an Absolute Majority of 52 Representatives, to the ChristianDemocrats (CDU), Rightists (AFD), Liberals (FDP), and "Free Voters" (pro-Direct Democracy+ Conservatives), against Only a Minority of 49 to "Socialists" and "Greens", while Also Rejecting the Leftists withOut Any Representative, and Even withOut Taking into Account an augmented number of "Various" (Most of whom Use to Stand Traditionaly on the Right), and Nonobstant Also a somewhat Higher Abstention than in the Past, apparently Mostly at the Right), the Voters of "Rheinland-Pfalz"' German Länder, (located at the North-West of Strasbourg's French Region of "Great East", marks, Today, the Greatest Surprize. *

    Keeping 27,7% of the Votes to mainstream Center-Right of CDU, (with 31 Representatives), Followed by the Rightists of the AfD with 8,3% of the Votes (and 9 Representatves), Added to another 5,7% of Voters from the Liberals/FDP, and 5,5% from the "Free Voters", (with 8 more Representatives Each), the Long-Time Party formerly Directed by Chancellor Angie Merkel, (2005-2020), Nowadays Chaired by former MEP Armin Laschet (2021-2024), is Still largely Able to Lead, But will have Now to Negociate with 3 More, Independent Political Groupings, if it wants to get an Absolute Majority... The Paradox, Obviously is that, While Laschet (that "Eurofora" has Already met in EU Parliament in Strasbourg, in the Past), has a Notorious Reputation of being quite "Centrist", Nevertheless, if former CDU Supporters' current Fugue towards Various Destinations at his Right Persists Further, (be it towards the AfD, FDP, Freie Weller, Various Right, or Nowadays' Abstentionists), the CDU Leadership will have to Find a Way, Ideas, and Resources Making them Credible to those People too...

    + A partly Similar Trend emerged Today, mutatis-mutandis, also at the Neighbouring Baden-Wurtemberg German Länder, located at the North-East of Strasbourg's French Region of "Great East" Region : Here it Apparently looks like a "Pat", with an Equal Share, until now, of 77 Representatives Each for the "Left" ("Greens" 58, and "Socialists" 19), and the "Right", ("CDU" 42, with Liberals 18, and Rightists/AfD 17). But the Right seems to represent More Voters in that Regional Parliament : 49,8 % , than the Left : 43,6% ! However, Again, the Mainstream Center-Right of "CDU" Keeps the Lead of Votes at the Right side, with 24,1%, Followed by the Liberals (10,5%) and Rightists/AfD (9,7%), as well as "Various" Right (5,5%), while, at the Left, the "Greens" with 32,6% are added to 11% of "Socialists", (the Leftists remaining Out of that Parliament, as the "Free Voters", mainly Rightists). But, from Now on, any CDU Leadership will have to Negociate and Convince also ...3 Other Parties (Liberals, Rightists, and Various Right), If it wants to Head all the Right Side of the New, 2021+ Political Spectrum, (Comp. Supra)...

From this Topical point of view, Obviously, Armin Laschet's apparently Smooth "Modus Vivendi" Deal with Friedrich Merz, after Mid-January 2021, concerning their Foreseable Future, Might, Naturaly, Help things, in practice, at the Aftermath of the September 2021 National Elections. However, to be Realist, such a Creation of a "New Right" Coalition, aiming to Govern Germany, in one way or another, might Need also something More...

In this regard, it's Not a pure matter of Chance that the above-mentioned Developments, Both concerning Also "Greens"' Future Relations with the Right (as it was the case in Baden-Wurtemberg) or the Left (as it happened at Rheinland-Pfalz), and Both located Near Strasbourg, had Also Various Exceptional (even if InDirect) Links even with the Historic, Long-Time former Chancellor Helmut Kohl, the "Father of ReUnification" of Both Germany itself and of All Europe, particularly around a precise Moment of PanEuropean and Global History :

- Indeed, Kohl was Also a Key for the Adoption by the CoE of its landmark "Oviedo" Treaty on "BioEthics", i.e., about Human Rights and Bio-Medicine, back on 1997-1998, as well as of a Relevant Protocol against "Human Cloning", around CoE's Historic 1997 Summit of Heads of State/Government, held in Strasbourg then, amidst successive rotating Presidencies held by France, Germany, and Greece, (etc), as well as a Traditional Supporter of elementary BioEthical Values inside Germany itself. And, When "Eurofora"'s co-Founder, Both at CDU's and the Green's Annual Party Congresses, successively at Nearhy Karlsrhe and Freiburg, on 2009 and 2010, respectively, largely Backed the Idea (UnBelievable, then) of an Attempt to Bring "ChristianDemocrats" and "Greens" Together, even at a Governing level, soon partly Endorsed and Strongly Backed even by then Pope Benedict on 2011, (particularly at his Landmark Official Speech in the Bundestag, at Berlin : See ... + ..., etc), this Obviously was done in View to Help the Development also of certain Basic (and Crucial for Humankind's foreseable Future) Values, includng BioEthical, extending to "Human Ecology" and "Human Nature" Protection too, in view, particularly, of some Recent and Evolving Technologies with Great Risks to the Detriment of all Humanity, in case of practicaly Possible, Eventual Abuses, (Comp., f.ex., Among Others, also : ... + ... + ..., etc).

=> So that, when Some were pushed to more or less Drop, or, at least, Stop really Defending, even some Crucial, Nowadays, BioEthical Values, (f.ex. on the Controvrersial and UnPopular "Same Sex Marriage" among Homosexuals, including Submission of Children to the Force of Homosexuals, under Pretext of "Adoption", etc, while some, elsehere accross the World, soon Started Even to Back the Artificial Fabrication of Human Beings in Labos, by Technocrats, under Any Hollow Pretext,  until they Reached also the Genetic Manipulations Transmissible to all Descendants, Even in Future Generations, i.e. Inevitably Risking to Create and Impose Real "Racism", Dividing Humanity into Distant and/or Hostile Races, etc, (See, f.ex. the November 2018 Notorious Incident at Hong-Kong, a December 2019 Positive Response by China, immediately Followed by the present Deadly Virus' of 2020, and some who appear to Seek to somehow Exploit that Pandemic's Threats in order to Impose several Strange and/or Controversial Agendas on 2021, Serving some Shady Interests, (etc), inevitably Raise Various Legitimate Concerns among the People, who Need Convincing, Free and Rational Public Debates, serious Policies, and Conscious Political Leaders to Trust.

=> All this, Obviously, involves, but is Not Only a Matter of Economy, Security, and/or GeoPolitics, etc., since it's, Fundamentaly Also a Core Issue of Human and Society Values.

>>> And, most probably, almost Certainly, it's Not Far Away from some Recently "Burning" Topical Issues, Both in Europe's and USA's, as well as Others' Global Key Players' Nowadays Political Agenda, (including what some might call that current Problem which looks like the "Creation of a New Right", as Also the German People might have Tried to tell us Today : Comp. Supra)...

 

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("Draft-News"

 

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People in Europe and the World expect from CoE to make a succes of its "Monitoring" for Human Rights and Democracy, despite difficulties, said Finland's President Tarja Halonen to "EuroFora" at a crucial moment for the mecanism built 15 years ago by the paneuropean organization which celebrates its 60th Anniversary in 2009.

Halonen, known as "Mother" of CoE's "Monitoring" mecanism, a long-time MEP and former Foreign Minister before becoming Finland's President, holds a long experience in the mattter, after also serving twice as CoE and EU Chairwoman in the past. That's why she is well placed to judge how CoE's "monitoring" should deal today with some crucial issues of importance both to CoE and to the EU.

The move came just a Month before a crucial, last visit to Turkey, scheduled for June, by the President of CoE''s "Monitoring" Committee, Ukranian MEP Serge Holovaty, to finalize his Report on Ankara, the CoE Member State with the longest Monitoring procedure. From its results depends its overall credibility.

This is a Test-case, because, in fact, it's in order to avoid Sanctions threatened against Turkey by a CoE's Assembly's April 1995 Resolution for grave Human Rights violations, Democracy gaps, the continuing Military Occupation in Cyprus, the unresolved Kurdish problem, Aegean differend with Greece, etc., that MEPs decided to create, for the 1st time on April 1996, a "Monitoring" proces, allegedly destinated to check, without excluding Countries who did not fulfill all CoE's standards.

In the Past, the obliged withdrawal of Greece's Military regime and of its "Civil" cover-up out of the CoE had helped bring back Democracy in 1974. But, on the contrary, since April 1996, the idea was to "monitor" Human Rights' respect while keeping most concerned Countries inside the CoE. After Turkey's oldest example, this was extended also to several former "Eastern" European Countries, even if CoE's Assembly has imposed to some of them (fex. Ukraine, Russia, etc., after Belarus, Serbia, etc) various "Sanctions", that Ankara always avoided. Curiously more succesful even than .. USA itself, (a CoE "Observer" since 1995), which has been at least threatened with sanctions some years ago..

EU-effects of CoE's Monitoring process became obvious between 2001-2008, since the "closure" of this procedure, when CoE felt that a Country had met most of its Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law obligations, (i.e. the "Copenhagen Criteria" for the EU), helped trigger Negotiations with the EU for "Accession" or other closer relations : This occured already before the 2004 and 2007 EU Enlargements to former "Eastern" European Countries, as well as for the commencement of "accession" negotiations with Croatia, and of "open-ended" negotiations with Turkey in 2005.

    But a stricking new development are Holovaty's recent findings that on core Human Rights issues as Torture and Freedom of Expression, Turkey, even "5 Years after" CoE closed its "Monitoring", back in 2004, inciting EU to start accession Negotiations in 2005, still presents grave problems.

    His findings are of crucial importance after a 2008 CoE Resolution called, "if need be", to "seriously consider the possibility of Re-Opening the Monitoring procedure for Turkey" : A move which might affect Ankara's controversial EU bid, since EU Accession Negotiations are based on the Hypothesis that the Candidate fullfils the "Copenhagen Criteria" (See above)..
-------------------------
    Holovaty expressed his will to check  "Matters still Outstanding" and  those that he "didn't have an opportunity to discuss" at an earlier visit this year, "in order to discuss the more complex issues in greater depth", at his forthcoming New Visit to Ankara, before the December 2009 EU Summit.  This is all based on the 2004 CoE Resolution which stresses that, CoE "will continue.. post-monitoring Dialogue with the Turkish authorities,...in addition to a 12-points list,..and on any Other Matter that might arise in connection with Turkey’s Obligations as a CoE member state".

    CoE's Resolution also asks  from Turkey "to secure the proper Implementation of Judgements, particularly in the Cyprus v. Turkey InterState case", of 2001, which concerns also the plight of many Hundreds of MISSING People. It adds Turkey's obligations to "execute" ECHR's Judgements in the Loizidou case,..and in particular adopt General Measures to avoid repetition or continuation of Violations found by the Court" to the detriment of Refugees.

    Nevertheless, Holovaty said to "EuroFora" that "MISSING" persons,"might be included" and cannot be excluded, but he has yet to examine the situation "to find out  which issues will be raised" to the Turkish Government.

    Therefore, "EuroFora" asked Halonen, as the Historic "Mother" of CoE's Monitoring mecanism, if she thought that, "whenever there are grave Human Rights Violations, as fex. "MISSING" persons, attested even by ECHR's judgements, they should be always checked by a Monitoring process. Or could they be forgotten ?"
    
     - "We (CoE) must be, at the same time, Fair, Realistic, but not in the mind that "now we have Forgotten", etc., replied to "EuroFora"'s question Halonen, speaking as a matter of general principle.

    - "When we think of those People that are suffering from the lack of Democracy, of Human Rights, and of the Rule of Law", "we should find a base on how to deal with the (Monitoring) system more rapidly"', she stressed.

    - "Sometimes it's very difficult to combine Transparency and Effectivenes together, particularly in this specific case", she went on to say. But, "I have not found a (CoE Member) Country who could be insensitive in this sens", Halonen answered concerning grave Human Rights violations attested by the ECHR.

    - "I have no ready-made answer. I have the expectations that you, in the CoE, will, step by step, find the different types of the monitoring systems."

    Also "because this is a part of the UN's Post-Conflict system, (fex. when it comes to Cyprus' MISSING persons), and it's a more Global system". So that, "If we make a succes in Europe, the others will follow", throughout the World.  "But they expect that we (Europe) are this opportunity, this Opportunity to make a Succes", Halonen concluded.

    In addition, she advised to extend CoE's Monitoring to all its 47 Member States, "because, as long as we hear that, all these monitoring systems are "OK for the neighbor, but not for me", "it's very difficult" to understand. Something which could make easier to Compare...

    Finnish MEP Jaako Laakso, former CoE Rapporteur on the Occupied Territories of Cyprus and one of the 5 Signatories of the Historic CoE's call to create the "MONITORING" mecanism since 1996, was more specific :  - "We (CoE Assembly) have to find a way for the issue of Cyprus' MISSING People to be better followed", he stressed, anouncing his intention to "speak to Mr. Holovaty" about that. "There might be also other ways", added Laakso.

    - The 2008 "Year had been a very Bad one for Turkey with regard to Human Rights in general, and Freedom of Expression in particular", denounced, meanwhile, Holovaty's preliminary Post-Monitoringh Draft Report by Holovaty, published by the CoE on April 2009.

    "Amnesty International believes that freedom of expression is not guaranteed given the various articles of the Criminal Code that restrict it. .. "For example, 1,300 Websites are said to have been closed down by the (Turkish) authorities in 2008" ! While "the new Turkish Criminal Code was used to bring a total of 1,072 proceedings between June 2005 and April 2008, and led to the conviction of 192 people", for expressing views. "Representatives of the Özgür Gündem newspaper, which specialises in Kurdish affairs, ..complained about Numerous Attacks on their Freedom of Expression ...as was everyone who advocated a settlement to the question by means other than the intervention of the army" "According to their figures, 19 Newspapers had been suspended 43 times between 4 August 2006 and 4 November 2008" !...

    Moreover, on 2008,  CoE's "Ministers adopted its 4rth Resolution on the execution of the judgments of the ECHR, ...and outstanding issues regarding 175 Judgements and decisions relating to Turkey delivered between 1996 and 2008...  concerning Deaths resulting from the excessive use of force by members of the Security forces, the failure to protect the right to life, the DIisappearance and/or death of individuals, Ill-Treatment and the Destruction of property". CoE's " Ministers urged the Turkish authorities ...to ensure that members of Security forces of all ranks can be prosecuted without administrative
authorisation" for "serious crimes". Holovaty reminded.

"Nonetheless", Holovaty heard anew of "Several cases of Violence committed last year (2008) by the (Turkish) security forces". Amnesty International speaks of Many Cases of ill-treatment and Torture in the prisons and by the police". "Including, fex."'the death of Engin Ceber, a young man of 29 who died on October 2008 as a result of the TORTURE allegedly inflicted on him by police officers, prison staff and members of the gendarmerie. He was part of a group of people arrested on September 2008 during a demonstration and Press Conference in Istanbul'. Proceedings against suspects are "on-going" in this case.

- " I therefore noted an Obvious Contradiction between the Government’s stated “zero tolerance” policy.... of Torture and other forms of ill-treatment, and the different testimonies given", denounced CoE's Rapporteur.  Turkish "authorities must make considerable efforts to guarantee that proper investigations are carried out into allegations of abuses by members of the security forces and that perpetrators are effectively punished" "In this respect, I have requested detailed Statistics on the number of Investigations, acquittals and convictions in cases involving allegations of abuse in order to show the positive impact of the measures taken to date", Holovaty said, repeating a permanently unsatisfied CoE's demand to Turkey since a Decade...

    - "The Political Crisis that shook the country in the spring of 2008 highlighted the Weaknesses of the (Turkish) Constitution", which comes from the Military regime of 1982, "and the Urgent Need of Reforms", stressed from the outset CoE's Rapporteur in 2009. In particular, "the ...Democratic functioning of state institutions, including the independence of the judicial system, are crucial", he observes.

    But, "the Electoral  system and the ways in which it is circumvented do not appear to give those elected complete Legitimacy, and tend to pervert the course of direct universal suffrage", denounces Holovaty, observing that, even 5 Years later, Turkey did not yet change the 10% nationwide Threshold for a party to take any seat, which is "far higher" than the "3%" maximum in Europe and already condemned as contrary to European Standards by the CoE.

    + Moreover, EU Parliament's 2009 Report on Turkey, drafted by Dutch MEP Ria Oomen-Ruijten and adopted in Strasbourg on March, expresses "Concern over the Failure of the (Turkish) Judiciary to prosecute cases of Torture and Ill-treatment, the Number of which is Growing". EU also "is concerned about continuing Hostility and Violence against Minorities" in Turkey. It also "calls on the Turkish Government to launch, as a matter of Priority, a Political Initiatve favouring a lasting Settlement of the Kurdish issue, (while "condemning violence.. and terrorist groups"). EU "regrets that No progress has been made on establishing full, systematic Civilian suprevisory functions over the (Turkish) Military".

    The final results of Holovaty's 2nd and last visit to Turkley will be known later this year, and, at any case, before EU's December 2009 Summit.

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