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Belgium after 2010 Elections: 95 MPs Center-Right pro-EU Majority possible for EU chair
Belgium after 2010 Elections: 95 MPs Center-Right pro-EU Majority possible for EU chair

Despite curiously alarming Press reports, a Coherent and 95 MPs Strong Majority of Center-Right pro-European political forces in Belgium seems possible after the June 2010 Elections in the Country which will Chair the EU during the crucial semester of July - December next.
The Biggest Winner : NVA Party, which came clearly 1st, can, indeed, form the biggest political Block, together with some other Parties with similar Political views (fex. on Econmy, Belgium's Future and Turkey's controversial EU bid, etc), which could easily re-join the ChristianDemocrats (as it had already done in the Past), and gather around it Liberals from both French and Dutch-speaking areas.
The move would also be in line with Recent Developments on the Conservatives-Liberals recipe, currently used by Governing Coalitions in Germany, the UK, indirectly even in France, Italy, etc., and possibly also in neighbouring Netherlands after the latest election, (See relevant "EuroFora"'s publication).
An official meeting of EU President Van Rompuy (former Belgian ChristianDemocrat Prime Minister himself) with the current Belgium's out-going PM Leterme, etc., on Friday, June 18, might indicate what direction is best in order to allow an efficient EU Chairmanship in 2010. Several Relevant Facts are obviously converging :
"New Flemisch Alliance" NVA is the only Winner of 2010 Elections who gets more than 1 Million Votes, gaining the bigger number of MPs : 27. It is both pro-European and against Turkey's controversial EU bid. As for the "Flemish interest" party, it keeps 12 MPs. New "Popular Party" (opposed to Turkey's controversial EU bid, at the French-speaking part) wins, for the First time, more than 84.000 votes , and gets 1 MP. This is also the case for "Dedecker's List", which keeps 150.000 Voters and one (1) of its MPs. Together, they win 41 MPs, composing the Biggest political Block.
(I.e. more than the two Socialist parties, who follow only at the second place, with only 39 MPs : - 2 less).
If they join anew the ChristianDemocrats CVD, which keep 17 MPs, (and have had several leaders reportedly opposed to Turkey's controversial EU bid, such as Van Rompuy, Leterme, etc., even if the view of Thyssen, abandoned now by many voters, seem unclear), they arrive up to 58 MPs.
Liberals from French-speakers (MReformists), which keep 15 MPs, admit that Turkey's controversial EU bid raises many Question marks, and are ready to accept that Ankara stays out of the EU if it doesn't meet EU's criteria. SImilarly, Dutch-speaking Liberals ("Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats), who seem well aware of the Problems that Turks oppose to Integration, keep 13 MPs. Adding them all, would bring together 86 MPs.
Belgium's Parliament having 150 MPs in all, by bringing together these 86 MPs, more or less opposed or at least critical against Turkey's controversial EU bid, can obviously from a Large Center-Right Majority.
Eventually, this, already large and coherent Majority, could be extended even to the French-speaking "Humanist Democratic Center", which keeps 9 MPs, with a program calling to "insist" on the need for Turkey to respect EU Conditions, and "in case of failure", to offer Ankara only a "Privileged Partnership".
A good thing for Belgium and Europe is that such a 95 MPs strong Majority would be mainly pro-European, uniting together MPs from both the French and the Dutch-speaking communities. and much more Politically Coherent than any other alternative :
Indeed, an hypothetical NVA - Socialists' tactical Cohabitation would obviously be Fragile and Unstable, because Divided, with Differend Socio-Economic views and Opposed positions on Turkey's controversial EU bid, so that it would soon collapse, particularly since there are such Disagreements on crucial EU issues.
On the contrary, a Center-Right Majority based on NVA's victory, joining together also ChristianDemocrats and Liberals (See supra), would naturally be much more Coherent, and therefore much more Stable and Efficient, both on Internal and on EU policies, (Comp. supra).
Because, in fact, the Turkish controversy is a "crossroads" linked with many Other Issues : As the New Belgian "Popular Party" (which was created just a few Months earlier, on November 2009, but already succeeded to start electing an MP for the 1st time) puts it, (reminding a largely shared Analysis also in biger EU Countries, as France, etc): - "Two Contradictory trends divide the UE today : Some conceive the EU as a large common Market extending towards other Countries as Turkey. But the opposite trend, is Federalist and defends a Political Union. These contradictory views are reflected inside various EU institutions, often pushed into Inertia and an obvious Democratic Deficit. .. We defend the creation of a (Political) Europe composed by a Center of gravity of Countries which desire to Advance further than an merely Economic Union", as "the only way to avoid Dilution of the European Project in an Enlarged union, and to have a say, tomorow, in the World-wide debate between big powers". Human Rights, Democracy, as well as Economic/Social Development, Culture and Historic Identity, EU Citizens' support, etc., could obviously be also added in this regard.
The 2 "Green", Environmentalist Dutch and French-speaking small Parties could naturally join, here or there, some Selective points among the policies of such a Center-Right Majority, particularly on anti-Corruption, anti-Bureaucratic and BioEthical issues, where usually "Greens" are opposed to Socialists almost everywhere in Europe and Worldwide.
These Facts seem so Obvious, that it's strange that some other Media don't even cite these New Possibilities for a New Center-Right Coalition Government in Belgium, curiously preferring to suggest some other, too artificial and weak recipes, more tactical than strategic....
The New thing about a Center-Right Majority with 95 MPs out of 150 in all, which was made possible after the June 2010 Elections, would be to put an end to counter-nature cohabitation between the Center-Right and Socialists, and, respecting People's democratically expressed choice, could shape a New, Coherent EU strategy.
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(Opinion)
Paris - Bruxelles - Strasbourg, 2 septembre 2008

Le spectaculaire succès du Président français, Nicolas Sarkozy, (en tête de l'UE jusqu'a décembre), à obtenir de suite un cessez le feu inattendu entre la Russie et la Georgie, immédiatement après sa visite aux Présidents Medvedev et Saakashvili, au pire moment de tensions et heurts violents meurtieurs, qui avaient tué plusieurs innocents et provoqué le deplacement forcé de réfugiés par milliers, lui donne incontestablement une stature vraiment européenne :
A ses liens personnels bien connus avec l'Hongrie, la Grece, l'Italie ou l'Espagne, en sus de son amitié avec la chancelière allemande Merkel, son souhait d'essayer d'attirer l'Angleterre au jeu européen, etc, s'y ajoute, maintenant, une réussite, fragile certes, mais importante, au combat pour la Paix dans la "grande" Europe du général De Gaulle, "jusqu'a l'Oural", qui inclut naturellement la Géorgie, l'Arménie et d'autres pays, et ne peut exister qu'avec rapports de confiance et partenartiat stratégique avec la Russie.
Apres avoir réussi à debloquer la situation au Liban, (pays avec liens culturels historiques en Europe), lors du Sommet pour la Méditerranée à Paris, juillet dernier, (comme atteste maintenant le prémier accord d'echange d'Ambassadeurs avec la Syrie), Sarkozy activa maintenant une présidence française de l'EU bien entreprenante, à l'autre bout de l'Europe, à Moscou, où, contrairement à Napoléon, il a été reçu avec soulagement par le nouveau président russe, ami de l'experimenté Vladimir Poutine.
Cet homme politique rélativement nouveau au plan politique européen, avec une vision souvent critique ou même critiquée, à tort ou a raison, mais ambitieuse et concrete a la fois, qui aime s'adresser aux "Européens", comme il dit, n'est-il pas bien placé pour stimuler le fameux débat sur l' "Identité de l' Europe", qu'il a proposé au Parlement Européen récemment à Strasbourg, moins d'un an avant les Elections européennes de 2009 ?
En 2007, il a réussi à faire monter spectaculairement la participation citoyenne aux élections présidentielles en France, obtenant des récords historiques :
N'est-ce pas, justement ce que l' Europe a bésoin, apres 2 abstentions majoritaires sans précedent aux Elections de 1999 et 2004, et 3 "Non" aux réferenda pour ses institutions en 2005 et 2008, pendant une décennie trouble 1999-2008, (marquée surtout par la demande controversée de la Turquie d'entrer dans l'UE eclipsant les avancées de la Monnaie unique et de la liberté de circulation à l'espace Shengen, avec consequences mal-ressenties par la majorité des citoyens, bien au-délà des clivages du passé), qui a failli stopper l'integration européenne ?
Et cela, au moment même ou une globalisation galopante met l'Europe devant un choix crucial entre saut qualitatif en avant, apte à valoriser une occasion historique exceptionelle à se développer résolument, après les vaines destructions, querelles et tensions des guerres "chaudes" ou "froides" qui lui ont couté son rang dans le Monde, ou réculer définitivement en décadence...
Alors, que certains de nos amis à la Commission en Bruxelles, lui laissent au moins un peu d'espace de mouvement, et qu'ils l'aident à tenter d'insufler de l' oxygène frais et vivifiant aux rapports entre les citoyens et une Europe qui a manifestement bésoin et mérite de retrouver d'urgence un nouveau dynamisme populaire, avec un souci de réalisme mais aussi une vision passionante pour son avenir !
Après tout, les Etats Unis d' Amérique ne se sont pas faits à coups de bureaucratie, nécessaire et utile, mais manifestement insuffisante : Sans l'impulsion d'hommes politiques originaux, d'intellectuels vraiment engagés, et, surtout, sans l'enorme énergie émanant de la conscience d'enjeux à la fois pratiques et grandioses, bien resentis par des millions de citoyens, stimulant leur adhésion active comme pioniers d'un nouveau avenir commun à construire, ils seraient encore une ex-colonie périphérique, affaiblie par stériles divisions, passif et impuissant spectateur des convulsions tragiques d'un Monde à la dérive...
Que les vrais "européens" ré-lisent au moins les fameux discours historiques sur l' Europe d'un Sarkozy bien inspiré à Strasbourg, aussi bien avant qu'après avoir gagné les élections françaises, le 21 février et le 2 juillet 2007, après son 1er sommet des Bruxelles, qui a adopté le nouveau Traité de l'UE en conclusion de la presidence allémande : Bonnes lectures pour cet été 2008, afin de préparer l' avenir qui s'ouvrira (ou fermera) à partir des élections européennes de 2009.
Peut-etre revelera-t-il plus, en ce sens, lors de ses 2 discours-debats prochains avec les eurodeputés, prévus lors des sessions plenières du Parlement Européen a Strasbourg en octobre et décembre 2008...

Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner had already unveiled President Sarkozy's intentions, during a particularly "hot" Press Conference in Paris, where he faced some's insistance for "sanctions", with a call for "a common EU stance". In the meanwhile, he was consulting "all these days" most of his EU, Russia and Georgia counterparts, (as Sarkozy's Spokesman, P-J. Henin confirmed to "EuroFora"). This allowed him to obtained the desired result, as EU Chairman, at a short, exceptional EU Summit in Brussels, afterwards.

But, Sarkozy's No 1 official, Presidential palace's Secretary General Claude Gueant, active at Elysee during the 2008 Ambassadors' Conference, (together with his Top Diplomat, the experienced David Levitte), is well known for having an overall view : A link with 2009 EU Elections at the horizon ?

















