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Home arrow newsitems arrow Austrian People slam Soc-EPP big Coalition, give 60% Majority to the Right, and/or with Greens (70%)

Austrian People slam Soc-EPP big Coalition, give 60% Majority to the Right, and/or with Greens (70%)

Written by ACM
Sunday, 29 September 2013

 austria_electoral_map_400

 

*Strasbourg/- In the 2nd EU Country to make possible a New Governing Coalition between the Center-Right and "Green" Parties, after Germany last week (See : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/germanelectionresultsandprospects.html), the Austrian People clearly slamed the out-going "big" coalition of "Socialists" and Christiandemocrats, (the formerly leading "Socialists" bearing heavier losses), but gave a Strong Boost to a large Center-Right Majority of various Parties, (as an alternative for a New Coalition which could be led by the Christiandemocrats), able to total almost ...60 % of Citizens' Votes (see Infra) !

At the central European Country which is due to Chair the PanEuropean Strasbourg's Organization of the CoE from November 2013 up to May 2014, the ChristianDemocrats (EPP) of Foreign Minister Spindelegger's ÖVP, even if they pay a price for an "unholy", but usual in Austria's Past, coalition with the "Socialists", by getting about - 2% less, nevertheless, they Keep 24% of the Votes casted in the Country, and -what is the most important- they have now a Strategic "Pivot" position, at the overall Political ChessBoard, from where they can Choose 1 out of 2 differend Coalition Governments theoretically possible from now-on :

Either persist by returning back at the ÖVP - SPÖ, Christiandemocrats - "Socialists" coalition of the Past, with slightly more than just +50% of the Votes casted for both : Something apparently incompatible with Spindelegger's declared wish to become Austria's new "Chancellor" (an aim for which ÖVP officially campained this time), because the "Sociaists" keep a Small edge with + 2,9% more votes, and also at variance with another will expressed by the ÖVP during this 2013 Electoral campaign : That of fighting against Corruption, (a future Austrian CoE Presidency Priority, for the period of November 2013 - May 2014, as experienced Chairman of Tirol's LandTag Pariament, fomer Governor, and current President of CoE's Congress of Local/Regional Authorities, Herwig Van Staa has earlier revealed to Strasbourg's Journalists, including "EuroFora" : Comp. for the latest Van Staa's replies to "EuroFora"s Questions at : ...), that they mainly denounced as a fact affecting mainly the SPÖ's "Socialists.

Or, otherwise, the ChristianDemocrats now have a crystal-clear chance to accept an Alternative, New Alliance; together with FPO's Rightists led by Strache, which are a Big Winner of the 2013's Election, gaining + 3 %, so that they come Close Next to the ChristianDemocrats of the ÖVP with nearly 21%, as well as with the Brand New Center-Right Party of Billionaire Stronach : "Frank", which are the 1st Biggest Winner of fresh Votes on 2013, with nearly + 6 %, and the Surprisingly efficient "NEOS"'s almost 5% : A relatively New Party comming from the "LIberal Forum" which was a split from the Rightist FPÖ founded by Haider and now headed by Strache, therefore considered to be at the (Center)-Right side of Austria's Political Spectrum.

This Total could reach almost 60% of the Votes casted (+58,8%), i.e. a crystal-clear Absolute Majority of votes given by Austrian People to the Right side of the poliical spectrum, if one counts also the 3,5% obtained by BZÖ rightist party, founded (as also initially the FPÖ) by Heider, who was meanwhile killed by a Car crash. Even if the BZÖ narrowly missed this time its entry to the Parliament by just 0,5%, nevertheless, the above mentioned Center-Right Parties' new Coalition could obtain easily a Governing Majority also of MPs, by adding ÖVP's 47, to FPÖ's 40, and Frank's 11, together with NEOS' 9, i.e. a Total of 107 MPs

Another Variant for such a New Government Coalition based on the ChristianDemocrats of the ÖVP, which became possible on 2013, would be to include also the "Greens", which won 12,3% of he Votes (+ 1,9% more), and 24 MPs. If necessary, the fact that Austrian "Greens" are notoriously composed from Various Components, of Different Political Origins and at Different Areas, (some of which are inserted inside or adjacent to ChristianDemocrats/ÖVP's own areas, as f.ex. at Tyrol's Region, and/or in Vienna City Center, etc), as well that "Greens" reportedly are currently the only Austrian Party untouched yet by any Corruption affair, so that they would "fit" well with Christiandemocrats/ÖVP's wish for an Anti-Corruption policy, could certainly help a "Black-Green" Coalition, (together with some among the above-mentioned other Center-Right Parties), in extension of a possibly similar developmeny at nearby Germany (Comp. : ...). In that case, the Total of Votes which could be attracted around the ChristianDemocrats of the ÖVP would reach more than 71%, (with 131 MPs) !

austria_final_results__400

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On the contrary, the "Socialists" of the SPÖ, reportedly affected by most Corruption Scandals and bearing the main Responsibility for the Out-Going -Government which was headed by their Leader Faymann, logically loose the most of voters, among the out-going Coalition, ( -2,4% instead of -2% for VPÖ), and they also Loose the 1st place at the central BundesLand of Steiermark, now Won by the Rightists of the FPÖ. (which jumps up for almost +7% of the votes, reaching more than 24,1% in that area, able to form a Majority together with the ChristianDemocrats of the ÖVP : nearly 21%, and/or the other Winner : the "Frank" Party of Billionaire Stronach : + 10% there for the 1st time, followed by the other Rightists of BZÖ and the new Party of Center-Right : NEOS, with almost 4% each, the "Greens" having in Steiermark  10,5%).

But the most Important seems to be the fact that, in the overall National Elections' results for all Austria, the "Sociaists" of SPÖ become now even more clearly Isolated accros the Political Spectrum, since they can't normally find any other Party leaning towards the Left side, except only a Tiny "Communist" Party : "KPÖ". with just a Small 1%....

Even if they searched to find a Coalition with the "Greens", that would be not only Insufficient, (given the fact that, taken together, the "Socialists" of the SPÖ and the "Greens" would have a Minority of only 38,5% of the Votes, and just 75 MPs), but also rather Improbable, (inter alia also because the "Greens" would obviously be ill-advised to Drop their currently No 1 "Moral" Advantage : the fact that they reportedly are the only pre-existing Party which has not yet been touched by cases of Corruption, so that it's not at their interest to loose such a positive aura by eventually compromising themselves with what is considered by many commentators as the most Corruption-stricken party of the Country at present)...

amerkel__spindenlegger_met_under_a_green_tree_earlier_this_summer_2013_400

(Merkel and Spindelegger met, earlier on Summer, at an EPP Summit in Vienna, under the shade of a big "Green" Tree : Premonitory Symbolism of a possible Future ?)...

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Obviously, mutatis-mutandis, this is the 2nd time in a row of succesive Elections in Central EU Countries, like Austria now, and Germany last week, that, for the 1st time, an eventual "Red-Green" Coalition, between "Socialists" and "Greens" seems totally Insufficient, and sometimes even Imprbable, while, on the contrary, a "Black-Green" Coalition appears to be not only Possible but also Sufficient in order to succesfully form a New Govenrment. However, in Austria's case, this can be largely obtained also by simply adding together all the Center-Right wing parties (Comp. Supra).

It's only at Tirol's BundesLand region that the Out-going Coalition of "Socialists" with ChristianDemocrats doesn't lose votes. But, in fact, there it's exceptionaly the ..Christiandemocrats of ÖVP who were and still are Leading the coalition. Moreover, they advance in 2013 by winning + 1,2% of the Votes, while the "Socialists" of the SPÖ almost stagnate, with only +0,4% and just 18,3%  and Lose the 2nd place, taken now by the Rightists of FPÖ which wins +2,4% of votes, reaching there 19,4%,  (in addition, naturally of the emergence of "FRANK", as well as of the "NEOS" new Center-Right Parties, and "Greens" advance). Something which might be interpreted as another signal of the fact that, after all, VPÖ's declared aim to Lead, f.ex. by revendicating for Spindelegger the role of Chancellor, in fact, perhaps wasn't a bad idea...

 austria_tirol_results_400

 

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(NDLR : "DraftNews", as already sent earlier to "EuroFora"s Subscribers/Donors. A more accurate, full Final version might be published asap).

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    The recent paradox of freezing EU Talks with front-runner Croatia, while continuing controversial EU - Turkey talks, despite Zagreb's acceptance of Refugees' Human Rights to return, that Ankara refuses fex. in Cyprus, while both have "Good Neighborhood" problems vis a vis Slovenia, or Greece, Cyprus and Armenia respectively, can it be justified by the non-fullfilment of EU criteria, as Slovenia says, or, is it "Double Standards" ?    

The question became unavoidable after statements by Presidents of Slovenia and Croatia, Tuerk and Mesic, respectively, to "EuroFora", exclusively or among Strasbourg's journalists this week at the CoE, on the sidelines of its 2009 Summer University for Political Schools, which topically brought them together as successive key-note speakers.


    Comming only a few Months before EU checks Turkey's compliance to its commitments on Cyprus, etc., scheduled for December 2009, this obviously has a special importance for the coherence of EU Enlargement's principles.

     Suspension of EU Negotiations is a normal consequence in case of a Candidate Country's failure to fullfil EU Conditions, such as "Good Neighborhood relations", stressed at first Slovenian President Danilo Tuerk, current CoE's chair.

    But, regarding EU's Criteria,  there shouldn't be any "Double Standards",  reacted Croatian President Stjepan Mesic, commenting the fact that Turkey's controversial EU negotiations continue, while they were recently "freezed" in the case of Croatia, an "unquestionably European Country", which oficially accepts to respect Refugees Human Rights, contrary to Ankara's notorious refusals or reluctance.                                       

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           - "EU itself has set as a Criterium (for EU Enlargement) the "Good Neighborhood relations",  and their absence justifies the "Suspension" EU Negotiations, (f.ex. with Croatia), because of a Border dispute affecting the territorial integrity of an EU Member Country, stressed Slovenian President, Danilo Tuerk, CoE's Chairman in office (May - November 2009), speaking to Journalists in Strasbourg including "EuroFora".    

Questioned earlier what "consequences on EU's Enlargement policy" can have the "Ban on EU Membership Negotiations", imposed to Croatia, Tuerk replied that "this question comes down to the fulfillement of (EU) Criteria for membership. One has to look at each Candidate Country ., from the point of view whether it fullfils the Criteria that EU has set. One of them are Good Neighborhood Relations, I'd like to remind. And also, there are other factors, such as Justice, Home affairs, Rule of Law, and others".


    - "Now, ..Candidate Countries are at Different Levels of fulfillement of Criteria", he observed.

    - " Croatia is obviously the closest to that. I'm rather optimistic : I think that in the coming Months we'll have an opportunity to look at all these issues constructively and hopefully we'll be able to make progress". "My main concern, at this point, is the situation in Bosnia : We haven't seen enough progres domesticaly. We haven't seen enough during ..political parties within their country.We need a New Energy, a new energetic move towards the Candidature for EU membership. "Other (Western Balkan) Countries (Serbia, Montenegro, FYROM, Albania) have been making soaring Progress, and I think that they should be ready, in a few Years, for the Candidate status".

    - "As far as the Western Balkans are concerned, .. nobody should be left outside" the EU, Slovenian's President concluded, ommitting to mention Turkey's controversial EU bid.

    - "This process may be seen as Slow, but..  Slovenia has also has also been exposed to various "Booms of Slowness" in our accession period. But now we can say that the process was relatively quick, because changes which occur after becoming EU member, are quite large, and they require proper Preparations before the (EU) membership becomes a new factor, an impacting line for a new (EU) member country".
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EU "Solidarity" ?
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Slovenian statements made some participants from certain 3rd Countries as FYROM, etc. claim that "the Principle of EU Solidarity" would "produce a.. rising European Union Nationalism (sic !), against Non-EU Countries", as they said, asking unhappy foreign countries to form a "bloc" to exert pressure on the EU...    

But Croatian President Stjepan Mesic dismissed that, supporting "EU Integration", "after the Economy also in Political" issues, as "the achievement" of our times. In EU there is "diversity, but it's United", he stressed, "EU has to be United so that it can become a central factor of Peace" also at the surrounding areas, he replied.

croatian_president_mesic_ 

Speaking later exclusively to "EuroFora", the experienced twice President of Croatia, former President of the International "Non-Aligned" movement, denounced "Double Standards" in the way EU treats recently Croatia compared to Turkey :   

 - "I think that there shouldn't be Double Standards", stressed the Croatian President, in reply to a Question comparing the freeze of EU - Croatia talks, with the continuation of EU - Turkey talks, despite the fact that Croatia is an "unquestionably European country", while Turkey's EU bid is notoriously controversial.


    Mesic was reacting to the observation that, even if he confirmed his "respect of Refugees' Human Rights to return, etc. (See infra), nevertheless, EU talks are suspended with Croatia.. While for oher, controversial candidates, who refuse to respect Refugees' Rights to return, etc., as fex. Turkey does in occupied Cyprus and elsewhere, EU negotiations continue".

    - "I believe that Croatia's accession will confirm that all European Countries who fulfill all of the Conditions and achieve European Standards, have to join the EU. There shouldn't be any Double Standards", went on to add in reply President Mesic.

    In this relation, Croatia's President found "of paramount importance", CoE's "mechanisms enforcing ECHR's judgements"
    
    - "On Refugees and Displaced persons, the process will be completed only after the last person demanding to return will be allowed to do so !", President Mesic Croatia stressed earlier, setting a general standard of obvious importance also for otherr candidates, as f.ex. Turkey, often accused to exclude or heavily restrict Greek Cypriot Displaced persons' return to their Family Homes and ancestral land, provoke difficulties to Turkish-Kurd IDPs return to their home regions at the South-East, etc.

    Some "2.000 People are still reported Missing" in former Yugoslavia, for some Years, (as in Cyprus, modern Europe's oldest case, for 3 Decades. Nagorno-Karabach, Tcecnya in Russia, etc, more recently), and Investigations "will only be completed after establishing the fate of the last one of them", he added.
    
    Speaking earlier on "War Crimes", President Mesic stressed that "Leaders are responsible for (the) Wars (of the Past), not the People", and called against Impunity :  "Individuals have to be held Responsible for Crimes. International Penal Tribunals have to persecute those individuals", perpetrators of War Crimes, he underlined.

    Such statements naturally made Mesic rather popular at ECHR, whose President, French EuroJudge, Professor Jean-Paul Costa, looked particularly smiling when he welcomed him later on Wednesday afternoon, after Slovenian President Daniko Tuerk earlier this week.
           

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