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Home arrow newsitems arrow German People voted : Crystal-clear Absolute Majority to the Right + 56 % !

German People voted : Crystal-clear Absolute Majority to the Right + 56 % !

Written by ACM
Sunday, 24 September 2017
germany_unity_of_the_right_last_version_400 

*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- Just after Norway, even stronger in Germany, Democracy spoke this September 2017 : The German People gave a Crystal-clear Absolute Majority to the Right with more than + 56 % of the Votes in the National Election for the New Parliament of 2017-2021.


Indeed, the 3 Parties located at the Right side of the Political spectrum, from the Center-Right "Liberals" (10,5%), the Right of "ChristianDemocrats"/EPP (33%) and the Rightists of the "Alternative" (13,2%), all together succeeded to attract, undeniably, a very Big Absolute Majority for the New Bundestag in Berlin, with Even much More Votes than the equivalent parties in Norway, just a few Days Earlier, (Comp.: ...).

 

In terms of Elected MPs, this gives 420 MPs, i.e. + 65 More than what is required for an Absolute Majority (just 355), which is the Highest Number of MPs from All theoretically possible Coalitions among Various Parties in Germany Today :


F.ex. Socialists again with the ChristianDemocrats would just have +44 MPs margin (i.e. - 21 Less than All the Right) ; while a "Jamaica" color group where ChristianDemocrats and Liberals might go with the "Greens", would have only +38 MPs margin (i.e. - 27 Less than All the Right); and Any Other Combination would Fall into a Minority, Lacking from - 29 MPs Less than necessary in order to Govern (f.ex. CDU + FDP), Down to - 66 MPs Less than what is required, (f.ex. an "All Left" grouping with Socialists, Leftists and Greens, which would be the Weakest).       

                                                                                
In Fact, the "Number 1" Winner, i.e. a new Coalition of All the Right (Comp. Supra), would Also be the most Democratic solution, comparatively, since the "ChristianDemocrats" still remain the 1st Political Party of Germany, while the "Liberals" and the "Alternative" are, Today, the Only 2 Parties who Win Many Votes : + 6% and + 8,5% respectively, (while all the Others either Loose or Stagnate) - among whom, the latter ("AfD" = "Alternative für Deutschland") Wins the Most new votes of the German People.


Such a possible Unity of the Right would even be More "Natural", from the point of view of the People, since Polls reveal that there is a "Continuum", a "Flux" of Voters from the "ChristianDemocrats" towards the "Liberals" and to the "Alternative", Each of whom Receives more than +1 Million Voters from the CDU/CSU this time, (while the "AfD/Alternative" gets also some + 500.000 Votes from the "Socialists" too).


On the Contrary, the German People clearly Refused another "Gro-Ko", since Both the 2 Biggest Parties (CDU + PSD) Lost a lot of Votes now, (and the Socialists appeared Tonight Eager to go to the Opposition, after Risking to Fall even Lower than 20%). As for the Left side of the Political Spectrum, its 3 Parties have Only a net Minority (Comp. Supra).


Chancellor Angie Merkel, as the Leader of what still remains, by far, the 1st (Biggest) Political Party in Germany, CDU/CSU's "ChristianDemocrats", obviously got Today a new clear "Mandate" from the German People to try to form her New Government, according also to Today's Vote Results :


- As she reportedly Resumed the Situation : - It was Hard, but we (CDU/CSU) have got a Mandate. While Nobody could Govern against us, she observed in substance.


-----------------------------------------
Liberals

(+ W. Schäuble's best role)
------------------------------------------------


Concerning the 2nd Best possibility (Comp. Supra) : that of a "Jamaica" Coalition between ChristianDemocrats, Liberals and the Greens, even if Interesting, it seems, Nowadays, to have More Problems than Initially thought in the Past (See Infra) :


- F.ex., the Liberals, inter alia, have also stressed that they absolutely want to have Not the Foreign Ministry, as it was usual in the Past, but the Ministry of Finances, where the Most Popular Politician of Germany, the ChristianDemocrat Wolfgang Schäuble, has notoriously done a Good Job for the German Economy, (for the 1st Time since the 1960ies withOut any Debt !), and in great part also for the rest of the EU.

Many German a.o. Medias speculated, these Days, about what exactly Might be Schäuble's Next Political Task : Hypothesis published Nowadays, oscillated between f.ex., the Foreign Ministry, or the Presidency of the Bundestag (as the Good Norbert Lammert curiously chose retirement), etc.

Inter alia, in particular, Schäuble's recent Call to "Prevent an East - West Division" (See: ..), could, f.ex. be developed both Inside Germany (given Today's Differencies even of Votes, between German Regions),, and in Foreign Policy, (f.ex. with "Visegrad" Countries, as Hungary, Poland, Czechia, etc., particularly on the "Burning" Issue of Mass Migration via Turkey, etc), as well as on relevant EU Policies, (Comp. Infra).


And its true that Schäuble, initially chosen by the Historic former Long-Time German Chancellor Helmut Kohl, as Director of his Office, (i.e. an Overview-providing Top Job), then JHA Minister, Negotiator for the ReUnification of Germany, Head of the Governing CDU/CSU's Parliamentary Group, Top Minister of JHA or Finances, at a Crucial period of €uroArea, and when Many notoriously Expect that it might Advance towards creating the Foundations of a possible EU's more Integrated and Stronger Core, with More Instruments and even a Security/Defense policy, etc., could also Serve in Various Other Top Jobs :
 
-  From a projected Job of EU's "Minister" for €uroArea, to Future EU Parliament's President After the 2019 EU Elections, or even that New Job in a Future "Unified" Presidency of Both EU Commission and Council, (as Juncker recently Proposed, at EU Parliament in Strasbourg, while also Announcing, curiously, that he does Not intend to be Candidate personally), etc., a possible List may be Long...


----------------------------------------------------
"Jamaica" Coalition => + "Greens" ?
---------------------------------------------------------------


+ As for the "Greens", they already Govern, Together with ChristianDemocrats/EPP, at the Level of the neighbouring, Federated "Länder" of Baden-Wurttemberg, as well as, Recently, at Nord-Rhein-Westfalia (NRW : in the middle of 2017), in the past at Hessen, etc, according to an Idea suggested by "Eurofora" from 2010 (See, f.ex.: ...), and apparently Supported, in Theory, also by Pope Emeritus Benedict, particularly with his Landmark Theory on "Human Ecology", that he had Highlighted at the German Bundestag during his 2011 Official Visit, (comp.: ...).

But, this had been initialy Motivated by a Hope to Tackle strong BioEthical Issues, Crucial Today for Humankind's Future, (Comp. Pope Emeritus Benedict's 2009 landmark Encyclic "Caritas in Veritatis" at : ..., and "Eurofora"'s relevant Publications at : .... +...., etc), which have, Recently, been, Unfortunately, Bypassed, for a lage Part : F.ex. by "GroKo" Deals with the Socialists about Genetic Tests on Humans (from 2013), and/or the latest, surprisingly Hasty, 30/6/2017 Imposal of "Same Sex Marriage" between Homosexuals, including even Submission of Children to Homosexual Strangers under Pretext of "Adoption", etc., which provoke Risks for Shady Technocratic a.o. Lobbies to eventualy Take Control over Artificial Techniques for Procreation of Human Beings, Dangerous for all Humankind), etc.

While the Latter, still remains to be Checked by the German Constitutional Court, at nearby Karlsruhe, nevertheless, several Other Topical BioEthical Issues also Remain to be Tackled, such as the Atrocious Exploitation of "Surrogate Mothers", the Risk to Spread "Artificial Procreations of Human Beings", etc., as well as various, gallopîng Techniques of Genetic Manipulations on Animals and/or Foodstuffs, (f.ex. Plants, etc), but also growing Dangers of "TransHumanism", etc., where eventual cooperation might sustain the initial Stake on BioEthics (Comp. Supra).


------------


However, a Different Issue might be the Fact that, according to Polls, a "Jamaica"
Coalition (CDU - FDP - Greens) would Not be yet Popular enough : On the Contrary, a Majority seems to be Against, (particularly among ChristianDemocrats and Greens), leaving Only a Skin-Thin Majority of Liberals to Stand for it...                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      


+ And the new President of the North Rhein - Westphalia Länder (NRW), Amin Laschet, reportedly believes "Jamaika" to be a quite "Difficult" matter, particularly because, for him, he Number 1 Issue (especially for his region) would rather be to Boost Industry, (i.e. even there whee the "Greens" might Hesitate or be Opposed).


++ But, More Problematic is the Topical, "Hot" Issue of Mass Migration : The "Liberals" have Recently become Strongly Critical vis a vis the current Problem of  Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants, (as that UnPrecedented "Tsunami" which suddenly Infiltrated into the EU through Turkey since 2015-2016). While, on the Contrary, most "Greens" would still keep a "Welcome" stance...


---------------------------------
Unity of All the Right ?
----------------------------------------


 => Paradoxically, such Difficulties with the "Jamaika" Coalition, might "Disappear", or even, be Transformed, on the Contrary, into ... Common Points, when it comes for Migration Issues and the "CDU - FDP - AdF" Formula of Unity of All the Right, where many Liberals, ChristianDemocrats and Alternative might Share Similar Views on that "Hot" and Topical matter, (particularly when it comes into Keeping a "Firm" Stance vis a vis Mass Asylum Seekers/Irregular Migrants influx, as those which, Suddenly, inundated Europe through Turkey from 2015-2016).

Naturally, the Unity of All the Right, with the 3 Parties (ChristianDemocrats, Liberals and Alternative) to which the German People gave the Biggest Number of MPs, taken all Together, has become, Today, the solution for a New Government with the Strongest Absolute Majority, as we saw (Comp. Numbers noted Supra).

But, Notoriously, there are some Other Difficulties, in view for any Negotiations to create a New Governemental Coalition at the Right side of the Political Spectrum for the 1st Time in History.


Perhaps less the Risk for Far Rightist Deviations by some, (in fact, rather Easy to Oppose, if necessary), but More the Insistance of certain sectors (mainy of the SPD) to "Demonise" at any cost the "Alternative", so as to Divide the Right, and let the Left Dominate the Political Life, (as it has been routinely done f.ex. in France, at a quite Different situation, however)...

Nevertheless, just at the Beginning of this Week, (on Sunday, 17 of September 2017), suddenly Chancellor Angie Merkel surprized by an Apparently "Anodynous" Answer to an Exceptional session of Questions/Replies with Young Kids  in Berlin :
 
 - Her Favorite Head of Government would be ..."Erna Solberg of Norway" (sic !), she UnExpectedly revealed, just a Few Days since the Center-Right Leader of the Norwegian Conservatives Won a 2nd Electoral Mandate ...together with a Rightist party !

That Successful Norwegian move towards a Unity of the Right, has Spread, meanwhile, also in Denmark (forthcoming CoE President for November 2017 - May 2018 : Comp. ....).

More Recently, also in Bulgaria, where ChristianDemocrat/EPP party's Boyko Borisov has agreed a Government Deal with the Rightists of the "United Patriots", who "Droped their former Euro-Sceptiscist stance, endorsing now a Pro-European Agenda, since Bulgaria is due to Chair the EU from January 2O18", (as Sofia's Ambassador to the CoE, experienced former EU Affairs Minister Ms Katya Todorova, has told "Eurofora", earlier in Strasbourg)...

And Brussels has just endorsed as New EU Commissioner for "Digital" Technologies, the ...Bulgarian MEP Maria Gabriel, Wife of a French EU Parliament's Officer from Strasbourg, former Assistant to ChristianDemocrat/EPP President Joseph Daul, and currently of New EU Parliament's President Antonio Tajani, well known to "Eurofora" since many years...

The German People gave Today to the Rightists of the "Alternative" new party, about 13%-14% and Many MPs at the Bundestag, for the First Time at National level, Making them the Biggest among the 4 Small Parties, and revendicating the 3rd Rank in the New Parliament, (just after the ChristianDemocrats and the Socialists : Comp. Supra).

Together with the Liberals and the Rightists, the ChristianDemocrats could now have a Very Solid Absolute Majority of More than 56 % of the Votes casted in these 2017 Elections, just with the Right side of the Political spectrum, (i.e. without any more Concessions to the Left, f.ex. to the Socialists or the Greens, etc).

Notoriously, however, there seem to still be several Big Differences between the "CDU/CSU" and the "Alternative" currently, as things stand until now.

However Changes may be Possible, as the Examples of Norway, Denmark, Bulgaria, and elsewhere in Europe, (f.ex. also in Finland, between 2015 - 2017, but even Nowadays, with at least a portion of "the Finns' Party" rightists), precisely shows (Comp. Supra)...
 
Already, f.ex., among others, even AfD's vice-President, MEP Beatrix von Storck, who had been Presented by Establishment's Medias as Radically Opposed to Merkel in the Past, on the Contrary, Recently, she Complained to "Eurofora" in EU Parliament in Strasbourg that CDU People "don't even Talk to us !", ...

I.e., at First Sight, the situation, mutatis-mutandis, looks Similar to that which had Existed in the Past between the ChristianDemocrats and the Greens until 2010 (See, f.ex. : ... + ..., etc), but Changed seriously After 2011 - 2013, so that Today, a, eventual "Jamaica" Coalition (CDU/CSU - Liberals - Greens) notoriously seems possible.

And Chancellor Angie Merkel has already proved that she's perfectly Able, when really needed, to make even some Spectacular "U-Turns", on Strategic Issues, (as, f.ex., her 2011 "Energy-Schift", on the occasion of Fukusima, etc).

Her sudden Sympathy for the successful Norwegian Prime Minister, just Yesterday (Comp. Supra), makes think ...  After all, Norwegian Fjords' Salmon is Good even for (Political) Health, sometimes !


 - Eventual "Negotiations" with the "Alternative" would be "Hard", reportedly Warned ToNight in Berlin, the German Chancellor Angie Merkel. F.ex. they asked for a "Commission on Merkel"... - "I don't shy about a Commission", "But I'd prefer to have enough Time to Debate about the Future !", she Highlighted...

 

- Tn particular, the German Chancellor reportedly promised to "Take Seriously (the) Fears, (and) Note (the) Concerns" of the People who Voted for the "Alternative", "mainly through Good Policies", as she stressed.

 

After all, arbouring a Large, Bright Smile under the Moto : "At the Center", Angie Merkel appeared, despite a Hard Fight, rather Interested by the Fact that, for the First Time, the German People gave her, not just One, but Many Choices !

 

Something that Nobody else has now.

 

While Merkel had an Opportunity to Prepare for such a New Political Landscape, already since almost 1,5 Year Earlier, (See, f.ex.: http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/germanregionalelections.html)...

 

 

(../..)
 
 
 
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 imag0972_400


    Scientific innovation joined to Faith for Human Rights, Eastern Partnership and fight against the Crisis, but above all, the need to overcome the "Crisis of Trust" from EU Citizens, are the main priorities for new EU Parliament's President, Polish Jerzy Buzek, that a 555-votes-strong majority of MEPs on July 14,  Strasbourg made a living symbol of the fact that, 20 years after the fall of Berlin Wall (1989 - 2009) there is no more an Eastern or Western Europe, but only one Europe, as the head of the largest group of MEPs, ChristianDemocrats/EPP, Joseph Daul, stressed after the event.

    Speaking later to a group of Strasbourg's Journalists, including "EuroFora", the new EU Parliament's President clarified his stance on concrete topical issues, as f.ex. that of Turkey's controversial EU bid, which was one of the main issues of the June 2009 Electoral campain, clearly won by his party of ChristianDemocrats/EPP :  - "At present, Turkey does not fullfil none of EU conditions", he stressed, (See infra).

imag0958_400

    Buzek is well known in Strasbourg and to "EuroFora" as EU Rapporteur for the Framework Program of Scientific Research and Development of Technologies. A Natural Science Professor from the Historic and Religious landmark Polish City of Częstochowa, active in the famous Solidarnosk grass-roots social movement, he served 4 years as Prime Minister (1997-2001), before being elected as MEP in 2004 and 2009, after he brillantly won the latest EU Election at the head of his party (EPP) almost doubling the number of its MEPs from 15 to 28 !

    - "Innovation" and "Energy safety", as well as fight against the "Cimat change", but also "Eastern Partnership", the "Mediterranean", "Strategic partnerships" with Russia, the USA, etc, and the search for "solutions to the Economic Crisis" that EU Citizens "expect" from us, will be his "priorities", announced from the outset the new EU Parliament's President, reminding also that the quest for "Human and Civic Rights" played an important role in his experience with the Solidarnosc grass-roots social movement in Poland's History

    But, the most important of all, is the urgent need to overcome the "Crisis of Trust" between EU Institutions and the People he stressed : - EU "Citizens often don't understand us", denounced Buzek, launcing a call to "do anything for EU Citizens to understand our work" in EU Parliament : "We (MEPs) need to make EU Citizens involved" in "what we are doing every week, in Strasbourg and Brussels", he proposed. Pointing f.ex. to the hot "Debates" with "strong arguments" exchanged between MEPs during the preparation of their Legislative Decisions, in Committees, delivering often hard struggles between initially opposed points of view, long before forging a majority at the final vote, sometimes more than a year..

    Therefore, EU Parliament will be "open to your criticism, for discussion and exchange of views", he promissed to Journalists in Strasbourg.

    In this way, Buzek, in fact, highlighted "EuroFora"s main idea, that we strongly advocate since 1997-2007, to systematicaly and actively involve EU Citizens in public debates during the decision-making process of important EU measures, which affect their lives and the society in which they live, (and not only just a few weeks each 4 or 5 Years at the eve of EU Elections)...
--------------------
    This is related also to the symbolic gift that Buzek chose to give to the out-going former EU Parliament's President, Hans Gert Poettering, (2007-2009), his collegue in the ChristianDemocrats/EPP, who brillantly won 2009 EU Elections in Germany : A genuine statute of sainte Barbara crafted in Silesia's black Coal by Polish Miners : Those simple but strong people who fought for social change against some technocrats and bureaucrats disguissed into so-called "real-socialists" of old times. (PHOTO).

    It's enough to have seen a popular open air mass, at Warsaw's center, with many thousands of people, old and young, simple workers and intellectuals mixed together, with references to Poland's history and struggles for survival and liberty, through various ages, (as fex. that organized at the eve of CoE's 2005 panEuropean Heads of State and Government for the beatification of late Pope John-Paul II), in order to understand what such symbols mean..

buzek_press_a_400

    But, overcoming the "Crisis of Trust" with EU Citizens obviously implies also to rectify any errors done in the past, fex. on Turkey's controversial EU bid, with controversial decisions taken in 1999 and 2004 to give a "candidate" status and to start EU negotiations, provoking an unprecedented series of 3 "No" to EuroReferenda and 3 Majoriy Abstentions in EU Parliament Elections : 1999, 2005 and 2009, (even if the latest one succeeded to decelerate and almost stop the drop of participation rates, opening hopes for vote's revival after an electoral campaign clearly critical to Turkey's claims in several mainstream EU countries)
    
    Therefore, Buzek was faced with manifold critical Questions on EU Enlargement, most of them citting concrete examples of certain political problems  :  But his replies were almost always given as a matter of general principle :

    F.ex. Questioned on the suspension of EU - Croatia talks because of a Border conflict with EU Member Slovenia, Buzek prefered to speak about principles :

- "We know that during Enlargement, the process can be blocked by failure to resolve this kind of issues",  This concerns also other enlargments' cases", and "these rules are always in force" he warned.


But Buzek avoided to directly reply to a queston on "French and German EPP' calls to define the Borders of Europe", as a German journalist asked him by making a reference to French President Nicolas Sarkozy, and German Chancellor Angie Merkel's, critical statements on Turkey at the June 2009 Electoral campain.    

- "Concerning Enlargement, there's always the same rules : There have to be Criteria, which have to be respected if a Country wants to join the EU", he started to simply reply.

- "For my country (Poland) it took us 15 Years to fullfil these Criteria", Buzek reminded, indicating, if proportions are kept, that Turkey, fex. would have to spend some 25 years before eventually joining the EU..

- "Countries wishing to join the EU need to Change their Systems", as we (Poland and other former Eastern European Countries) did, he stressed.

- "'For me, meeting the condition of Human Rights is one of the Key conditions for membership in the EU", preferring again to speak from the point of view of General Principles, on the occasion of an untimely question on Serbia (which is not even a candidate yet)...

- "Turkey" has, "first of all", to fullfil (EU) Copenhagen criteria". Bevause, currently, none of them is fullfiled by Turkey", New EU Parliament's President, denounced, speaking later to a group of Journalists, including "EuroFora".

buzek_close_a_400 

In particular, on Human Rights :  - "We (EU) can never forget Human Rights", because "this is at the very Foundations of the EU", Buzek added.

On the contrary, when he referred to EU Enlargment for the  "Western Balkans Countries ", Buzek appeared upbeat, finding "promising situations", despite "difficulties" in the Past, since "Countries are queuing to become EU members", and this "generated changes", as he said.

As for Russia, Buzek observed that it was a "very important" country, located "in the same Continent", Europe,  "close to our borders", and "we need eachother". "But Russia' has 'differend poblems : "They claim that their system is Democratic, but rules are differend", and we must be "aware of such differencies", fex. "on Human Rights", that we can't ignore, as he said;

Concerning China, where a journalist observed that the recipient of EU Parliament's latest "Sakharov prize" for freedom of thought is "still in prison", Buzek found that since the 1999 events in Tien Amin square, "we see differencies on Human Rights still today", and expressed his "support" for those who try to ameliorate the situation.

On the contrary, speaking recently to "EuroFora" he strongly supported the idea for an EU - Ukraine cooperation, fex. between Airbus and Antonov, in order to build a  less costly but more performant than the old and problematic A400M, new Military Transport Airplane : - "They (Ukranian Antonov Company) can certainly do it. I'm sure they can. It's a good Idea, and I'd be glad if it was done", he told us. (See : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/airbusantonov.html )


(../..)

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