Merkel was proved to be right :
- There is No Military, but only Political Solution to Ukraine's deadly and destructive civil war.
Particularly if 10% of such kind of News, as the following, are at least partly real :
(It looks as if most of Kiev's Military could only find Easy to bomb, damage and kill unarmed Civilians, even Family Homes, Schools, Hospitals, etc, but finds it Difficult to Fight between opposed armed groups)...
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Novorossia
23 Hours before
War - reversing
This is not the end of the pro-American nationalist regime in Kiev, but this is a definite change in the course of events - final and irrevocable.
And it is very symbolic that it happened on the day of independence of Ukraine, which is on such a scale decided to celebrate seized power latter-day masters of the country, a traitor to his people. Very early, they decided to celebrate. Early and for the last time. And even trying to hide behind national symbols, trying to push their own interests (as well as the interests of the United States) under the banner of patriotism and the preservation of the state - they will not help.
Now what's really going on. Not at the banquet table in Kiev, not in the parade, not a fantasy retarded pseudo-patriots, to look into his mouth traitors who lie more often than breathe (though maybe they should already have started to believe in what they say).
The following occurs:
Combat-capable residues Ukrainian army - it balances and not the army, because the army ended a full last week in South boiler where killed or caught up in almost all parts boesoposbnye staffed by military personnel, and not yesterday's laborers, porters, locksmiths and other reservists, first saw the machine. So - these remnants of the army, which was carried out during the last week almost hopeless attempt to surround Donetsk - now found themselves in an environment as a result of competent maneuver reserves by the militia.
About the assault of Donetsk and Luhansk from this day Kiev could forget. Permanently. About taking these towns - even more so.
The question is no longer in the occurrence of the Ukrainian army (or rather its residues) at Donbass. The question is an organized retreat to the transition to oborode Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Odessa, Mariupol and then.
But an orderly transition to the defense is only possible if Kiev will pull out of the encirclement near Donetsk at least half of those parts that were there.
Surrounded were 28 th, 30 th and 95 th Brigade, private battalions Aidar (possibly Azov), Donbass and Shahtersk, and - very importantly - the headquarters of the 8th Army Corps.
This is almost all of the combat-ready, which remained at the disposal of Kiev until yesterday. If they can not get out of the environment (and the experience of the Southern boiler showed that the militias are unlikely to release more than a quarter) - to protect entrenched in Kiev national traitors will be virtually none. Moreover, whether voluntarily or involuntarily.
Formation of new pieces by the third wave of mobilization - it is rather a formality. Without commanders and "commissars" (detachments) recruits in the fight will not go. And commanders - most of them are there, surrounded by near Donetsk. And ideological nationalists, ready to go into battle, rather than sit on the couch and fight on the keyboard - the same place.
Formally at the disposal of Kiev there are other forces - logistical support, cartographers, communications, airfield services and ... sailors. Total probably typed two or three more teams. However, their quality is unlikely bout is greater than that recruits. And the desire to fight, too, will be small. If they could be useful as infantry - surely they would have been last week sent to the ambiance of Donetsk.
Kiev missed his last chance.
Chance was a week ago - an orderly retreat and take up defensive positions in Slavyansk, Kramatorsk and Mariupol. But Kiev did not, choosing adventurous attack on the Donetsk and Lugansk.
Then they will say that the reason was the Russian humanitarian convoy. What's in the egg trays machine guns were hidden in cans - shells, and in bags of sugar - the tanks. Yes, and let them speak.
In fact, they have lost from the start, by way of war with its own people, or rather a part of it, but with the most part of which formed the Ukraine, ...... Well. It was their choice.
Do I have to wonder that Kiev once again made a strategic mistake? And they even once made the right decision? They at least once to avoid mistakes?
All "causing maidan" in the face Turchynov, Yatseniuk Poroshenko Avakova, Nalivaychenko and their colleagues - this is one big mistake LP consisting of error smaller order. All they can do - only errors. Specifically chose them such in Washington, or the result of suicidal Ukrainian national identity - a question for a separate study. But the fact remains.
What makes the situation in Kiev, when the troops are spending their last forces to encircle Donetsk, and do it without any success?
Kiev holds parade.
What is characteristic for the parade has been returned from the front part of the art - art that was there really needed. This is only to simplify the task of the militia to encircle the Ukrainian troops. Bravo, Kiev!
However, part of the command in Kiev still starting to think in the right direction.
August 21: "The Defense Ministry said that the main task of the Ukrainian army in case of retreat should be binding on the line Slovyansk - Mariupol and assumption breakthrough militias DNR in Kharkiv region, and Zaporozhye. To this end, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is currently beginning the creation of two fortified areas: 1) Slovyansk - Kramators'k - Druzhkivka - Constantinovka - from Donetsk 2) Mariupol. "
It was a Thursday. Ministry of Defense of Ukraine began to think about what you will need to do in case of retreat. Here are just on Thursday had to actually start the retreat, and to think about it long before it was necessary.
We had to retreat, to create a line of defense and to negotiate with the Donetsk that they were limited to the territory, which is controlled. But it seems that Kiev is not able to negotiate. Kiev can only hold parades, steal people's money and blame Russia.
Kiev did not even know how to properly retreat. That, in general, naturally. Hitler also did not know how. Hitler also forbade his generals to divert troops from Stalingrad, and then from the other cities. As a result, should the ambiance of the surroundings. Wehrmacht troops fell into one pot after another. Only Hitler had many troops - more than a million. And Kiev, which started the war with the Russian without proper training - from the very beginning there were only 6,000 trained fighters, have been added about 30,000 reservists, and now the original amount remained nearly half.
In this case, the militia of Donbass grown from thousands of volunteers who defended Slovyansk in May to 20,000 fighters at the moment. Militia has actually turned into a full-fledged army, consisting of structured units - brigades, battalions and companies with a centralized command.
Ukrainian army could not take Slovyansk when he defended the 1,000 volunteers surrounded 10000th group of Ukrainian troops. The ratio was 10: 1, and in the art - 100: 1.
Ukrainian army could not enter in Donetsk and Lugansk, when they defended the 5000 militia, and the number of Ukrainian troops sent to the Donbass, reached 30 000 ratio was 6: 1, and in the art - about 20: 1.
Today, the number of Ukrainian troops in Donbass - a little more than 10,000 soldiers, including about 8,000 in the environment. The number of the army of Donbass - about 20,000 fighters. The balance of forces is not in favor of Ukraine. Not to mention the morale and motivation.
Where the million-strong army, which obescheli put under the gun mount patriots? It is not. The majority of those who receive the agenda - are lost forever - go to relatives, moved to rented apartments in the west many go into the woods. And of those who still misses the army - half deserts at the first convenient opportunity. Several thousand fighters Maidan and about 30,000 of those who could not avoid the call - that's all that managed to gather under its banner Kiev russophobia and betrayal. Predictably enough. And now from the original composition remains even less. Approximately half.
Limitless reserves of Soviet technology also in practice were not limitless. Kiev 23 years old sold the most modern equipment from its warehouses. Sold everything - the Middle East, Africa, China. As a result, there are about 1,000 units of relatively intact technology. Three-quarters have either burned or captured by militias or damaged. Even in the art at the moment between the militia and the army of Ukraine reached parity.
Any significant military assistance from NATO in Ukraine has been received and is unlikely to go already, because the Western countries probably watching the developments and consider the hopelessness of military supplies. Especially on credit.
Kiev manages to take a beating in all situations, even in those where it is necessary to specifically try.
Poroshenko surpassed even Yanukovych. Yanukovych most incompetent way lost power, Poroshenko most incompetent way loses the entire country.
Ukrainian army offensive in the Donetsk and Lugansk is completed. Army begins counteroffensive Donbass.
The only question is how quickly it will develop a counter-offensive, and where it ends - in Kiev and Lviv.
And whether there will be a change of government in Kiev before winter. I do not want to rush things beyond what is necessary, but people feel sorry for freezing. The change of power in Kiev at least give an opportunity to restore the gas supply. Only this time on the new conditions. According to the agreement with the new government. Even if temporary.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Setting Ukrainian troops does not mean that they will give up without a fight.
And the lack of a well-organized defense of Mariupol, Slavic, Kharkov and Dnepropetrovsk also does not mean that the defense will not be at all. There will be more and the remains of Ukrainian troops and commandos and the militants. Will be more heart-rending shriek losing the human form of politicians - and not only in Kiev but also in Brussels and Washington.
Beast cornered usually very dangerous. Therefore, there is still a lot to be battles. There is still Odessa, split in half and unusually angry. Ahead of Kharkiv. There is still the liberation of Kiev - also chopped and split badly.
And for those who still believe in a maidan, in its nationalist idea, in his "Hope truncated nation" - they say this: there is nothing you have not fundamentally changed. Your power was on what not able - or 23 years, or especially in the last 6 months. All that remains in this situation - to do the most usual way for you - try to relax and have fun. Sure - you do it you can. You know how it is. You - not the first time.
And for the Donbas - do not worry. They know their job. They proved it. If they come, it will achieve its. ....... Now for sure.
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DPR army encircles large Kiev military grouping
World August 24, 11:46 UTC+4
The headquarters of the 8th army corps, 28th and 30th motor rifle brigades, 95th Ukrainian air mobile brigade, punitive battalions Aidar, Donbass and Shakhtersk were entrapped
© ITAR-TASS / Zurab Javahadze, File
DONETSK, August 24 /ITAR-TASS/. The army of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) has blocked completely a large grouping of Kiev military forces in six republicansettlements on Sunday.
Militias take control of 3 towns in eastern Ukraine — Novorossiya News Agency
The headquarters of the 8th army corps, 28th and 30th motor rifle brigades, 95th Ukrainian air mobile brigade, punitive battalions Aidar, Donbass and Shakhtersk were entrapped, the DPR army headquarters said citing reconnaissance data.
“Around five thousand servicemen with weapons and around 50 tanks, more than 200 combat armoured vehicles, about 50 multiple launch rocket systems Grad and Uragan, more than 100 artillery guns and mortars were blocked in the trap,” the army headquarters said.
The DPR army has tightened the assault on a military grouping of around two thousand servicemen from punitive battalions Azov and Dnepr which are armed with around 30 tanks, more than 80 armoured vehicles, over 60 artillery guns and mortars. DPR military forces are destroying this Ukrainian grouping near the settlement of Olenovskoye, the army headquarters added.
These successful military operations became possible thanks to the fact that the DPR army headquarters decided to pass from military action by small units to full-scale operations by full-fledged formations and army units.
“The DPR army headquarters decided to give up action by small units and shift to military action by full-fledged formations and army units which are provided with full fire support,” the republican army headquarters said.
Three infantry brigades were formed from militia units. A voluntary regiment was set up of Ukrainian servicemen, who had voluntarily taken DPR side, and Donbass coalminers.
“For the last two days two tank battalions, three multiple launch rocket system battalions, two self-propelled howitzer battalions, three battalions of cannon artillery guns of different calibers and eight mortar batteries have been formed of military hardware and weaponry militias had captured in a counteroffensive operation for the last two days,” the army headquarters noted.
http://en.itar-tass.com/world/746415 --------------------------------------------
Ukrainian National Guard loses 182 men over 24 hours — DPR
World August 25, 13:15 UTC+4
Militias said on Sunday that they had decided to change their tactic to full-scale operations by fully capable formations and units, providing them with necessary fire support
DONETSK, August 25. /ITAR-TASS/. The army of the self-proclaimed Donetsk’s People's Republic (DPR) on Monday reported that 107 Ukrainian National Guard servicemen were killed and 75 wounded over the past 24 hours.
Militias said on Sunday, August 24, that they had decided to change their tactic to full-scale operations by fully capable formations and units, providing them with necessary fire support.
During the overnight fighting, the DPR army completely blocked a large grouping of Ukrainian military forces in six settlements - 5,000 servicemen from the Azov, Aidar and Dnieper battalions equipped with different types of hardware.
By Monday morning, the DPR army had trapped at least 7,000 Ukrainian service
men armed with about 120 tanks, over 380 armored vehicles and about 1,000 Grad and Uragan multiple launch rocket systems.
http://en.itar-tass.com/world/746518 (../..)