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Home arrow In Brief arrow Sarkozy moves 81% of UMP fans amidst Parties' Crisis, while Rightists grow before EU Election

Sarkozy moves 81% of UMP fans amidst Parties' Crisis, while Rightists grow before EU Election

Written by ACM
Wednesday, 28 November 2012


Nicolas Sarkozy sky-rockets among main French opposition party's supporters, with as high as 81% of preferences, according to the latest Poll established by SOFRES at the eve of December 2012, as it was published today by mainstream Newspaper "Figaro".
People who wish to see him "play an Important Role in the coming Months and/or Years" grew +2% more and Top now, among all other politicians, with 81% of preferences from UMP Party supporters, while Sarkozy also wins +4 and +5 points even vis-a-vis supporters of the Socialist and Leftist parties, (even if he slightly drops -5% vis a vis all the Right side of the political spectrum, where he still remains, however, the uncontested No 1 as their most Popular Politician with 64%).


Thus, the former President of the country appears now as the only "ciment" able to keep United the main opposition party UMP (that he renovated and led for 8 years 2004-2012), particularly after 2 "epigones", (his former Prime Minister Fillon and recently named UMP Secretary General Copé) didn't manage to get really more than about 50% each in internal Primaries organized on November (see "EuroFora"s earlier NewsReport at : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/sarkozyforunityofump.html ):

Copé was declared winner by the Party's statutory organs with a Small difference of initially only some 92 votes, later augmented to more than 950, among more than 150.000 casted votes, but Fillon (that previous Polls had indicated, on the contrary, that he would largely win that vote) vividly replied by denouncing that result as unfounded and asking to re-vote under a collegial leadership, through a differend procedure to be organized by an "independent" provider, pending what, he created a new Group of MPs at the French Parliament, who left immediately the main UMP Group, threatening a more or less deep separation, unless his conditions were met.


Sarkozy, immediately after arriving home from a Shanghai Conference, succeeded to incite Fillon and Copé to agree on organizing a Referendum among UMP's members on whether they wished to re-vote anew, or not, at the beginning of 2013.

But, even if only some 67 out of more than 190 UMP deputies (i.e. almost the 1/3) went to Fillon's "Rassemblement-UMP" potentially Scissionist new Group, nevertheless, he refused to Cancel it before a Time Deadline fixed by Copé for this Afternoon, asking him to accept, before that, the above mentioned Conditions and to quit from UMP's Top Post in favor of a Collegial leadership until the Re-Vote question would find a reply by the party's members (comp. Supra) :

A demand which was droped by UMP's SG, who, on the contrary, continued to point at the controversial Findings by the Party's statutory organs, "unanimously", even without an equal number of each candidate's supporters, according to which, by sanctioning a few attempts to Fraud (reportedly by some local supporters of Fillon), Copé would have won the race with a small but clear advance of more than 950 votes (out of more than 150.000 votes casted).

Another, supplementary attempt by a 3rd, informal team of more than 70 "Non-Alligned" MPs in favor of UMP's "Unity", including former President of the Parliament Accoyer, former UMP's Secretary General Bertrand and former mainstream Ministers Koziusko-Morizet and Le Maire, even Sarkozy's main personal Counsillor at Elysee Palace : Guaino, etc., who launched a last-minute call for Fillon to drop his "R.-UMP" new Group before the Deadline fixed by Copé expires this Evening, and from Copé to confirm a Referendum on the question of Re-Voting , due to be organized by a special committee of uncontested "Wisemen" to be set up inside the UMP Party, remained without a timely result.

Meanwhile, even if that New Group "R.-UMP" reportedly decided to remain "Financially Attached" to the main (and still Bigger) UMP Group, to which it would remain technically "attached" and theoretically ready to be dissolved if Fillon's conditions were accepted by Copé (comp. Supra), nevertheless, Sarkozy was described by converging personal Friends' reports as being particularly upset by the obvious risks of Division, expressing a Widely spread Feeling among UMP's members and supporters, (even more largely : all along the Center-Right side of the Political Spectrum in France), in favour of UMP's "Unity", which already started to mushroom, now even raising various Initiatives from Grassroots' level, particularly motivated by the aftermath of the very Tight and controversial results in the 2012 French Elections (comp. relevant "EuroFora"s NewsReports : http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/frenchandgreekelections.html + http://www.eurofora.net/newsflashes/news/frenchparliamentaryelecion1.html ), but most of all by the exceptionally important Issues at stake in  Economic and Financial, Social and Moral, National and European political choices to make, Strategy to shape and decisions to urgently take in  the next few Days, Weeks or Months/Years, expected to have a crucial impact both in France and all the EU.

Speculations on the Future outcome of this crisis go from an obvious risk of further Division inside the French Center-Right, (already notoriously divided, since the 1980ies, between mainstream, "Republican" Right of RPR evolved into UMP, and "National Front's Rightists, as well some fluctuating Center groups), a still possible, full reUnification of UMP, in one way or another, (i.e. by a final Agreement between Fillon and Copé, and/or by a relaunch of Sarkozy's uncontested and popular leadership, according to People's wish), or, perhaps, by a rasor-thin Scenario of a kind of soft link, a sort of (con- ?) Federation among UMP's 2 (or 3 ?) various sensitivities, which seems to have just become these days a Fact (comp. Supra), but of unknown yet duration and/or future orientation..

However, even in that case, Sarkozy (whose double Electoral Success, both in the 2007 Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in France, and in the 2009 European Parliament's Elections, as well almost in 2012 too, is, precisely, based in his capacity to Bring Together all mainstream Right, allied with several Centrists, but also by attacting many former Rightists and/or Abstentionists towards Mainstream Politics), has many among his close political Friends and/or most important former Ministers, Counselors, etc., almost equitably shared between Fillon's and Copé's supporters alike, so that he should, normally, be able to have a positive influence in view of eventually re-uniting both together, inside a new schema of roles in the Future. At any case, with more than 33% of preferences Today among French People of all political horizons, according to the latest Polls, Sarkozy already has got +2% points more than what he had when he initiallly started his landmark 2007 - 2009 series of key-Elections' Wins : Then, he had succeeded with just 31% at the beginning, (i.e. much more than commentators usually predicted, since their routine speculations evolved for that kind of things around 21 - 25%, largely bypasssed)...

Something welcome, particularly when the latest Polls also warn about the fact that, while all Parties, from the Right to the Left of the entire political spectrum, are currently falling down in People's preferences, - the sharpest fall being that of the "Socialists", (already in power since several Months or Years in most Municipalities and Regions, at the Parliament, the Senate, the Presidency and in the Government, etc) - on the contrary, the only Party which Wins more than +2% in Positive views, (while, at the same time,  Negative views on it diminish for - 3%), is that of Marine le Pen's controversial Rightist "National Front"'s jump up to 23%...


Even more, Long-term Graphics clearly show that Rightist FN's popular sympathies since its Surprising qualification to the 2nd round of French Presidential Elections back on 2002 (i.e. at the end of former "Socialist" Jospin's Government, who was bypassed by Le Pen then), after a quasi-permanently Low during most of Sarkozy's era (2007-2011+), started to gradually grow anew from the end of 2011, reaching Record-High Polls' results, for the 1st time up to about 23%-24% during the current "Socialist" President Hollande between Summer and Automn 2012, until it bypassed a Leftist Party, and arrived, Today, at a similar level as France's long-time Communist Party/the Left coalition, and even the mainstream Center Party MODEM, dangerously approaching even UMP, (closely followed by sharply Falling "Greens" and "Socialists"), which had, however, re-gained some important Vigour during Sarkozy's Winter and Spring 2012 latest Electoral campaign... (See relevant Graphics).


Given also a recent Press Conference at EU Parliament in Strasbourg by 3 MEPs leading Rightist Parties from France, Austria and Belgium, including FN's Marine le Pen, where they anounced the creation of a PanEuropean Network on the move, almost 1 year before the forthcoming, crucial European Elections of June 2014, (due to be held during a Greek rotating EU Chairmanship between January and July 2014), particularly as long as the current Global Economic/Financial Crisis' effects might persist, aggravated, perhaps, by some avoidable errors, here or there, it's obvious that the above-mentioned unprecedented developments in the mainstream Center-Right area of such a big and key EU Country as France, may have an important impact, indirectly but probably, throughout all Europe.


In this regard, a forthcoming Top Political Meeting between all ChristianDemocrat/EPP Group Parties' Presidents in Brussels, later Next Month, at the eve of the EU December 2012 Summit, could be particularly interesting...



(NDLR : "Draft-News", as already send, earlier, to "EuroFora"s Donors/Subscribers. A more accurate, full Final Version might be published asap).



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Benedict's "Source" to revitalize Europe : - "The World needs Hope", Pope says, calling to relaunch E.U. via Human Rights !

Paris - Lourdes - Strasbourg : 12 - 17 September 2008.

The vital need to re-launch Europe can be succesfully met by defending fundamental Human Rights of the People, said Pope Benedict XVI in his 1st speech in France, at his meeting with President Nicolas Sarkozy, who currently chairs the EU.

Sarkozy replied by welcoming Christian and other religions' contribution to indispensable Public Debates on crucial issues which affect Human Dignity, Europe, even Humankind, as BioGenetics.

- "When Europeans will see and personally experience that the inalienable Rights of the Human Person .., those of their free Education, their Family life, their Work, ..their Religious Rights, ..are respected and promoted, then, these Europeans will fully understand the greatness of the European construction and will be actively involved in it", Benedict XVI stressed.

pope_benedict_salutes_with_sarkozy_elysee_400 pope_benedict_speaks_at_elysee_palace__sarkoy_hears_400

- "It's important that during France's EU Presidency, there is, indeed, a desire for the Church to contribute to protect Human Person's integrity, and I think that there is also a growing Conscience, beyond any polemics, to defend Human Rights, and, thus, contribute to ensure respect for Human Dignity", added to "EuroFora" the Pope's Spokesman, Vatican's Press Director Federico Lombardi.

- "Nobody really told us here that Lisbon Treaty was good for this or that reason to the People. They only told us that we "had" to ratify it, and tried to scare us, but failed", said 2 Irish pilgrims to "EuroFora", after 2 Majority Abstentions in 1999 and 2004 EU Elections and 3 "NO" to Referenda in France and the Netherlands in 2005, followed by the Irish "No" in 2008, during a Decade of EU Crisis since the controversial Turkey EU- bid (1999-2008).

More than .."224 cases of Murders, Torture, "Disappearancies" or Destructions" by "agents of Turkish Security forces", where all those responsible for so heavy Crimes still remain scandalously unpunished, despite regular condemnations of Ankara by Strasbourg''s European Court of Human Rights from 1996 to 2008, were examined the same week by CoE's Ministers, who decided to launch a fresh call "urging" the Turkish Authorities to end this dangerous "virtual Impunity" of criminals, without comparison to European countries.

- "Why not Ukraine, instead of Turkey ?", asked EuroFora a Journalist from "Kiev : the city where it's enough to cross the streets in order to realize that it's a European town", as Sarkozy recently said, before solemnly declaring this week, together with Ukranian President Jushenko and EU Commission's chair Baroso, EU's "recognition that Ukraine is a fully European Country, linked to Europe by culture and History".


Europe's "Christian roots" and Values, with "openess and mutual respect" to other cultures and beliefs, were highlighted by Sarkozy in harmony with Benedict XVI.

The Human person should be protected "from his inception until his natural death", added the Pope, faithful to BioEthic principles defended by his predecessor and collaborator, John Paul II, of topical importance in France, Europe and the World today, as Sarkozy announced :

- "Fast and important progres in Genetic Science and procreation raise delicate BioEthical Questions to our Democracies", which "involve our view of Humans and Life, and can lead to Social Mutations. That's why they cannot remain only a business of experts", hestressed.

- "It's Politician's responsibility to set a proper framework for such Public Debates", as "France will do on BioEthics in 2009". "Religious and Philosophic traditions must take part, with their ideas and centuries' long experience : A positive Laicity is an open invitation to Dialogue", he said.

- "France engaged in Europe at another Debate on how to make Financial Capitalism more moral", and the "Social doctrine of the Church fits well what is at stake in modern Globalized Economy"

- "But, a "Real Dialogue is not for an elite of a Globalized world : It penetrates deep into the People : That's why Churches should actively participate : .. It's bringing New Oxygen to Public Debates", stressed Sarkozy.

- "Democracy must not be cut off Reason", which is "compatible with Faith", thanks to "the meeting between Christianism and Greek philosophy ", he added, referring to Pope's views. "It means to advance with logic arguments, search what's best and respect common principles of thinking :... It's an everyday need for Public Administration and the Political Debate", he added.
Pope Benedict's 1st visit to France looked like the start of a brillant, manifold demonstration that this was well-founded and could become true in the lives of the People : After its Theoretical foundations unfolded at a "speech to the world of Culture", inaugurating Bernadins' cultural centre, and its dogmatic instrument shaped at an address to the Clergy in the Historic Notre Dame' Cathedral, he started to resolutely reach out to the People :


The move went upwards like Bach's music : Begining with a call to more than fifteen thousand enthousiastic Youngsters gathered at Notre Dame's parvis with overnight celebrations, it gained strength in an impressive open-air Mass at Paris'central Invalides'area facing Alexander III's bridge, attended by more than 150.000 people, French Prime Minister Fillon, many Ministers, Foreign Ambassadors, etc, and culminated in a series of pan-European Mega-meetings at Lourdes 150th anniversary, together with all French Bishops, EU Commission's vice-Chairman Barrot, and some 200.000 enthousiastic People from all over Europe and beyond : After a Sea of Lights astonishingly braved Saturday Night's rain, an open-air mass at riverside fields among Pyrenees' Mountains Sunday Morning, was followed on Monday by a Sea of "Compassion" to those facing Health or Life threats, surrounded by an endless gathering of People, whose gigantic dimensions obviously surprised the organisers..

Meanwhile, Benedict had the occasion to speak to the French Priests at Notre Dame of Paris, and with the Bishops at Lourdes, where they prepare a crucial November plenary meeting, due to take important decisions on imminent EU debates and choices about Europe's identity, BioEthics, etc.
- "A new way of thinking about Laicity has become necessary", agreed the Pope with President Sarkozy at Elysee. While keeping the "distinction between Politics and Religion, to guarantee Citizens' Liberty", "religion is important for shaping Consciousness and contributing, together with others, to create a basic Ethical Consensus in society".

- "Searching Essential realities", (as "God" for christians), needs "Speech : "Logos" in greek, i.e. Reason", "able to shape a Community","with creative work transforming Human History". But "Dialogue" is instrumental for "Reason", because it's the way to "search" for Truth", in "Liberty", according to Greek Platonic Philosophy, with Socrates' dialectics. "Reason" implies "Spirit and Liberty", hence the polyphonic "Music" of "Dialogue", in a responsible, "well balanced" way, to avoid "destruction".

Starting with a "Dialogue between christians and intellectual or artistic movements" highlighted at Bernardins' Cultural Center. with former Presidents Chirac and Giscard d'Estain, UNESCO's chair Anastassopoulos, etc., as well as representatives of Muslim Communities, (including a separate Turkish), after contacts with Jews at Vatican's Embassy, the Pope turned towards the People :

To French Priests : "Church built on the rock" !


- Speaking to thousands of French Priests at Notre Dame's Cathedral, Benedict highlighted a solid "Church built on the Rock" of conscious and active persons, transmitting "a lively, energetic and sharp" "God's Speech, actively working on Human History".


"Praying together" with "representatives of Christian Churches and ecclesiastic communities", (as Orthodoxes, Armenians, Protestants, etc), he called "to reinforce the Unity of the church", against "any form of Division", around Holy Spirit', "the Word","Christ's Justice", and "Love" to fellow- humans : Essentials which "resume all holy scripts", as he said.

To Young People : "New Horizons"
To some 15.000 enthousiastic Young People at Notre Dame's parvis, along Seine's river, Benedict spoke about "the Energy of the Holy Spirit" and "the Mystery of the Cross" : - "The Holy Spirit opens New Horizons to Human Intelligence .. and makes it conscious of the real greatness of Christ's sacrifice, dying and resurecting for World's life".

Some "may slander you as crazy, laugh at you, or even persecute you. But, "the Holy Cross is a symbol of God's love", and "givesmoral strength" : "Witness of People's pains, it's at the same time, a precious, unique expression of their Hopes", he told them at Paris' dawn.

Invalides' plateau : "People chosen to become God's friends"
At the 1st open-air Mass in Paris' center area of Invalides, facing the Grand Palais, along the river Seine, during an impressive gathering of more than 150.000, French Prime Minister Fillon, Ministers Alliot-Marie, Bachelot, Dati, Jouyet, Assembly's President Accoyer, Senate's Chair Poncelet, former 1st Lady Bernadette Chirac, former Prime Minister Raffarin, many foreign Ambassadors, and other political personalities were present. (While earlier, from the Socialist opposition, Paris' Mayor Delanoye, artist Robert Hussein a.o. assisted at the Elysee meeting).





But the "Entry Song" focused on the "People chosen to become God's Friends". The September 11 mass was Dedicated to "Saint Chrysostomus, that great priest of Constantinople", with his "wonderful eloquence and great courage to face challenges", who "made out of despaired and godless people, a people of brothers", opening a possibility to "become all one complete entity", as Pope Benedict reminded.

- "Reason never enters in real contradiction with Faith", stressed Pope Benedict, who prepared his speeches for France during a short Summer rest at Brixen/Bressanone's Seminar, whose Library honors both "Faith and Science".. - "We must use not only our Reason, but also our Faith" : "Get away from Idolatry", "cupidity", "avidity for money, power or even knowledge deviating from essential aims", and other "falses appearances". and "build your Home on the Rock", "with the force that Holy Spirit gives to those who let it act in them", he said to the People of Paris.

Benedict at Lourdes : - "Become Light (even) in the Dark !"
- "Our World needs Hope", stressed Pope Benedict, addressing an impressive TorchLight procession at Lourdes' sanctuaries, where a Sea of Lights held by Hundreds of Thousands of People gathered at Pyrenee's Mountains from all over Europe astonishingly kept their flames despite a heavy Rain at a windy Dark Night...

- "150 years earlier (1858 - 2008), ..here, in the cave, ... a simple young girl, Bernadette .. saw a Light". "The everyday life of her Family was, however, made of Misery, Sadness, Sickness, Misunderstandings, Rejection and Poverty... It was hard to live in Jail". Today, "we think to all Human Beings who suffer : The innocent Victims who face Violence, War, Terrorism, Hunger, Injustices, Catastrophes, Hate and Oppression, Violations of Human Dignity and of their fundamental Rights, of their Liberty to act and think. We also think to those who face Familial problems, sufferings from Unemployment, Sickness, Infirmity, Isolation, or their situation as Immigrants, without forgetting those who suffer and die for the name of Christ", he said.

- "But the Shadows of the Earth, did not hinder Sky's Light to shine : <<The Light shines in the Dark>>" ..."A Way full of Light opens in Human History even in its Darkest moments" : ..."As Night falls, Christ tels us : <<- Keep your Lamps alight !>>."Hold a Light while walking in the Night .. sums up our condition as Christians on their way : "We need light, and we are called to become Light !", Benedict stressed to People setting in motion Lights, Flags and Songs with enthousiasm.


"<<- She looked at me as a Person, who speaks to another Person>>, the poor girl had noted."Light emerges from such a Dialogue", stressed the Pope : "A small Flame called Hope, Compassion and Tenderness dwells inside those who return after being moved by Lourdes' experience". "Christ .. entrusts us with the Mission to let the Light of Charity shine : To make of our Prayers an Act of Love to our brothers and to Fraternal Charity", he concluded.





2009 EU Elections were won by Parties against Technocracy and Turkey's controversial EU bid, while the 1999-2004 Majority Abstention trend decelerated. What should be done in 2009-2014 ?


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