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Home arrow In Brief arrow Turkish Economy Falling Down again, in a Context which is No more that of 1999/2001...

Turkish Economy Falling Down again, in a Context which is No more that of 1999/2001...

Written by ACM
Monday, 18 May 2015
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*A News-Viewpoint/- Falling growth, Serious Trade Deficit, Higher Inflation, and constantly Growing Unemployment, are among the factors which obviously push towards more Social Tensions and Unrest in Turkey :


F.ex., among others, instead of the more than +10 % of Growth that had been reached in a few Past years, now Turkey struggles with only 2,9%. But, given the State's policy to push for more and more Births, Turkey generaly needs at least 5% of Growth in order to absorb the number of Youngsters arriving each year at the Labour Market, (unless it exports them to Europe via Mass Migration)...


In addition, "an unexpected Leap" in Turkey's "current account Deficit", reportedly "caused by a severe Fall in Exports", "surprised" the markets this May, which have seen, in general, "the Slowdown to have Intensified in 2015"


Thus, Unemployment, rising steadily during the last 5 Years, reached almost 12 % at the beginning of 2015, i.e. the Highest level since before 2010, affecting more than 3,3 Millions of workless aged "15 - 64", (while among Young people aged 15 - 24, the Unemployment has passed over 20%).


The problem is that, at the same time, Inflation jumped up to more than + 7,63% annualy, while Consumers' Prices augmented + 1,63% only on April, (fuelled also by a Devaluation of the Turkish Lira, whose Weakening makes Imports more Expensive), with reportedly "Record High Prices for Food", etc.


To the point that experienced observers were led to count on "Informal" Social Aid networks for the "worst affected" among the extending number of needy.
Recently, this goes on almost Every Day, confirming a gradual Trend towards a Worsening of the situation : F.ex., Lira stood at 2.5785 against US Dollar last Friday evening, but immediately Fell down to 2,5830 for 1 USDollar Today early Morning, while, on the contrary, Turkish Government's 10-year Bonds yield rose from 8,96 % on Friday, up to 8,99 % this Monday, persisting to slowly but continuously restrict the money available in the market, as Turkish State's Deficit may become Higher than the almost - 9 Billions USA $ predicted now by Ankara.


Thus, among various other concrete examples, 2 Turkish Factories assembling Italian and French Cars for "Fiat" and "Renault", still "remained" Blocked Yesterday, "as (Turkish) Workers protested employment conditions", reported Reuters earlier this Monday.


If these recent Trends persist longer, the aggravation of Economic and Social problems in Turkey, (given also the current overall Context in its Surrounding Area), may become, sooner or later, Worse even than the 1999-2001 Big "Krach", from which, controversial Economist Dervis, a long-time Global bodies' Bureaucrat, struggled to get Turkey out, thanks to IMF Austerity, profiting from an unprecedented Mass Destruction of unsustainable Traditional Industry after Izmit area's Historic Earthquake, which notoriously Killed more than 30 Thousands of mainly Poor People, and from an equally unprecedented massive influx of EU Funds, thanks to a controversial attribution of a Status of EU "Accession Candidate" to Ankara then, (etc).


But, Today, on  2015, none of those exceptional factors of the Past can't exist, no more, with a more Critical than ever EU Parliament elected last May 2014, and  particularly after the recent British Elections, where a strong Majority of British People voted for even more EU Financial Austerity and Mass Immigration Restrictions, earlier this Month...


In this new context, EU Parliament's forthcoming Debates and Votes on EU Commission's 2015 Report on Turkey's political and economic developments and prospects, next week in Strasbourg, must examine the situation more seriously than before.

 

(../..)

 

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Europe brings Development dynamics at Global Crisis' Summit debates

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    Thanks also to EU Parliament Plenary's Strasbourg gathering, EU, during the French EU Presidency, managed to integrate the Development issues at Top Debates on the World Summit against the Economic Crisis  :

    For the 1st time, it's at the same moment with the Wahington G-20 Summit that EU Commissioner Louis Michel co-organizes here with the French EU Presidency parallel mega-events for the "European Development Days", starting from this Week-End and concluding at the eve of a landmark debate in EU Parliament, next Tuesday, on the outcome and follow-up of the Wash.DC Summit.

    EU and its Member Countries are the biggest donor for UNO's Millenium Development goals, with 56%, but the 27 are currently struggling to develop a collective leadership in Economic and social matters, that the 15 of EuroGroup (together with the UK and other countries interested to be usefully associated) are starting to spearhead, after the initial success of the 1st EuroZone Heads of State and Government Summit, of October 12 in Paris, according to a New Repport by MEPs Pervench Beres and Werner Langen on the 10 Years of EuroZone (1999-2009) debated Monday and voted on Tuesday.

    EU, CoE and World personalities will interact here with Heads of State or Government from Tanzania (African Union chair), Burkina Faso (CEDEAO + UEMOA chair), Zimbabwe (MDC chair), Madagascar, Haiti, Mali, Benin, etc, and some 3000 participants from the Economy, Civil Society, Media, Experts, etc, while the City of Strasbourg adds various related Citizen-events.

    Opened by French Secretary of State Alain Joyandet on November 15, and followed by a video-contact with EU Commission President Jose Baroso on the Washington Summit Sunday, the EDD are concluded by Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner on Monday, while their main concerns cannot be ignored in the Debate that EU Parliament will hold on Tuesday, (followed by a Resolution on Wednesday), jointly on the G-20 Washington Summit and on EU Commission's work program for 2009.

    A practical opportunity for EU to reflect where it's better to spend EU Citizens' money...

    The move is prolonged in several Paris' meetings of EU chair, French President Nicolas Sarkozy with African Heads of State leading regional Organizations, as from Tanzania (A.U. Chair), Burkina Faso (chair of Economic African organizations), Togo, etc, (in parallel with a Ministerial EU - African Union conference in Ethiopia, followed by a visit to Tchad), logically concluded by a meeting with Robert Zoellic President of the World Bank.

    Many have already warned that an eventual aggravation of Development's Gap accross the World might become much more dangerous to Global Economy, Security, Values and Quality of Life, than Global Warming and/or other, even more serious challenges...

    Will they find an innovative and voluntarist way to really deal with the Development Gap, which might also contribute to help face the Economic Crisis ?

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2009 EU Elections were won by Parties against Technocracy and Turkey's controversial EU bid, while the 1999-2004 Majority Abstention trend decelerated. What should be done in 2009-2014 ?

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