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Inicio arrow In Brief arrow "Rainbow" Center-Right/Moral Values/Independents + Greens' start in Australian Election ?

"Rainbow" Center-Right/Moral Values/Independents + Greens' start in Australian Election ?

Escrito por ACM
21.08.10

 australia_2010_elec_results__400_01

(Partly Updated) - A Pioneer "Rainbow" Coalition of Center-Right Liberals/Conservatives and Independents/Families-ChristianDemocrats etc., eventually joined by "Greens", might take the Lead in Australia, (after Precursor EU attempts initiated at Local/Regional level in Austria's Graz, with thoughts also at National level, and Hamburg's Federated State in Germany, etc), as indicated the 1st "too close to call" Election in the Country's Modern History, where Voters' Majority turned towards various Center-Right Values' candidates, as well as "Greens", away from Labor/Socialists, who lost ground, but keep going until Final Results.

aussi_abbott_family_elec_results_1_400 

Tony Abbot, the New Leader of Liberals-National/Conservatives' Coalition succeeded to win a crystal-clear Advance with some 500.000 more votes than Labor, getting an edge with 73 MPs (Winning +8 more MPs on 2010 compared to the previous 2007 Election : 65), ahead of Julia Gillard (the out-going Labor Prime Minister) who arrived almost neck to neck with 71 or 72 MPs (Losing - 12 MPs Less from 83 they previously had), compared to 76 needed for a Government, (out of a Total 150) , according to some 80% of Results counted. While "Greens" and others Independents/Small Parties emerge with 1 or 2, and 4 MPs respectively, (Confirming a Steady Rise since 2004 - 2007 earlier Votes).

aussie_elec_results_partial_400

Most important, the Majority of People's Votes seems clearly focused towards the Center-Right at almost 51% : All Together, Center-Right's Values seem to grow towards more than +48 % , (Liberals 39,5% and Nationals 4%, Family First 2,2% and ChristianDems 1%, etc.), with whom are normaly related also at least 3 Independent MPs, formely National/Conservative Party's militants, adding more than +2,6 %).

aus_independent_s_day_400

On the contrary, Labor's "Socialists" reportedly lost - 5,5 % of Voters falling down to only some 37,9% I.e. risking to remain a Minority at any case, even if they might eventually convince the Greens, unless they pushed all Independents away from their traditional beliefs (See supra)...

aus_julia_gillot_dont_know_what_people_said..._400 

Differend trend for  "Greens" who win almost + 4%, reaching up to more than 11 %, of Votes.  But Greens' Bob Brown' withdrew in the Past his support from a former Labor Government, and was strongly against Iraq War, where USA was notoriously pushed by former UK Labor Prime Minister Blair ("Socialist"). this might go even more for new Green MP Adam Brandt who stood against a Labor candidate and won practicaly thanks to Liberal/Nationals' abstention and/or vote...

aussie_duck_1_400_01 

However, the other Group formed de facto by 4 "key" Independent MPs had already prepared links between at least among the 3 former Nationals/Conservatives MPs in view of the 2010 Election, and reportedly decided, according to Queensland's Bob Katter, (with fellow independents Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott), to support a New Government which "is going to allow Rural Australia to survive".

 aus_independent_mp__oakshot__wife___supporters

Leaving the Greens, a 4rth New "Independent" MP Andrew Wilkie, known for his Criticism against Fake Accusations pushing to controversial Iraq Invasion War on 2003, which obliged him to Resign from the Australian Government Intelligence Agency, could be Timely : After Republican/Conservative former US President GWBush's astonishing but honest Regrets for controversial Infos they had given him on Iraq, as he said in a key Interview to US Media at the conclusion of his 9 Years Mandate (2000-2008), several appeals are Now made to the New Liberals/Conservatives' Brittish Government (2010) to open an Efficient, Collective and Transparent Investigation on the case of the Bloody Killing of Critical Expert Dr. Kelly, famous for his denunciation of former Labor/"Socialist" Prime Minister Blair's controversial "Reports" claiming that Iraq was hidding "Weapons of Mass Destruction", etc, generally considered to be among the main instigators of Iraq War. Obviously, Wilkie, (who seems Elected thanks to Liberals/Nationals' Coalition Voters against a Labor Adversary), may start now Interesting Cooperations with the new UK Liberals/Conservatives' Government to find all the Truth on this Darkspot of former Labour pro-War UK Governments, with a New Australian "Rainbow" Coalition Liberals/Conservatives + Independents/Small Parties (See supra).

 "Family First" and "ChristianDemocrats" Fellow Parties gathered together almost 3 %, with some 300.000 Votes, i.e. clearly More than Independents, who, with a Comparatively Smaller result of only 2,6% and 267.000 Votes, nevertheless, got 4 MPs and a "King-maker" role for any New Government, while the first were Excluded from any Representation !  Such blatant Inequalities against Moral Values-oriented People can obviously provoke Legitimate Frustrations and Complaints against some Anti-Democratic Discriminatory and/or Bureaucratic "Tricks", unless a Solution is found, to take into consideration these Numerous Citizens' clearly expressed Beliefs in one way or another...

australian_2010_elecs_moral_valuesidentity__independents_comp._semifinal_results_votes_400

Abbot's declared intention to renew a Strategic turn towards Simple Working People, and his Coalition-building profile, added to Values, may prove to be better equiped in order to attract Smaller Parties/Independents (3 of whom reportedly were former "National"/Conservatives, close to "Family" and "Christian" Voters) and forge a well-cimented New Government Majority based on a Coherent + 51% (See supra). Despite of the fact that even Gillard tried to reach out to some Independents, in a last-minute attempt...

tony_abbott_400

Topical Worldwide Issues on Values as BioEthics (particularly  vis a vis Genetic Manipulation of Human Embryo), as well as Natural Environment Protection might seal a Deal Enlarging the Lib-Nat. Coalition to the "Greens" and/or other New Small Parties' MPs, such as Moral Values'-driven "Families 1st", ChristianDemocrats, Independents, etc.

Such a move might obviously Facilitate Australia's Links with Europe's Franco-German, and even British, Italian, Polish, Romanian, etc. Center-Right Governing Political Majorities, but, perhaps, also Developments : Since, according to some Press Reports, they keep an eye on eventually attracting at least a part of "Greens"/Environmentalists in the foreseeable Future. (Something which had almost started, already, to be, indirectly "tested" also on 2010 Strasbourg-headquartered Alsace Region's Election, where young Wehrling, a former "Green" candidate turned "Centrist", open to possible Agreements with the winner, ChristianDemocrat/UMP Philippe Richert, had succeeded to approach the 5% Threshhold, and was particularly keen on BioEthical issues, as he had told "EuroFora" then). This comes also Timely a few Months before November 2010 US Mid-term Congres Election, which may reportedly witness a Republican Revival : Particularly if it was based on the 2004 GWBush Surprise Win's New Logic, notoriously linked to "Values"-motivated People, who were, nevertheless, almost striped of their Growing Potential by Controversial Manoeuvers of some old Established Aparatchics at GOP's Primaries in last Presidential Elections as early as since March 2008, by practically blocking the Republican Charismatic candidate (Governor Mike Huckabee), while Dem's Charismatic candidate (former Senator Barack Obama) was free to go on : A confirmed Error, which might be Rectified between 2010-2012.

 aus_2010_elec_map_results_400

By a curious ..coincidence, Australia's Central-Western areas, pointing towards current Europe,voted predominantly for the No 1 Winner of 2010 Election : the Coalition of Liberals/Nationals+, while some Eastern/Northern areas, looking towards current US, on the contrary had large Labor or differerent votes.. 

Otherwise, Gillard's reported maintainance of a Carbon-Tax bid, even reduced, might, eventually, find at least a short Partial link with certain EU Leaders, (despite several Differencies on other Issues). But her notorious Opposal to former Labor Prime Minister Rudd's pro-Carbon Tax stance, (added to his strong Denonciation of a US-China brokered result at UNO's Climate Change Summit at Copenhagen, 12/2009 criticized as Insufficient : Comp. "EuroFora"'s NewsReports from the spot), that Gillard reportedly dropped after remplacing him, (something which obviously explains the "Leakage" of former Labor Voters towards the Greens in 8/2009), while even EU hasn't yet formed a Common View on that particular point, don't allow any undue enthousiasm.. 

aus_julia_g._400

At any case, any eventual attempt, with whatever Trick, to return back to the out-going Labor Government, wouldn't be "illegitimate", as Abbott stressed, since it would go against People's Majority 2010 verdict ?

Obviously, Democracy cannot ignore that the Australian People gave some 500.000 more Votes to the Center-Right Coalition of Liberals/Nationals-Conservatives, whose main Values seem shared also by at least + 560.000 Independents/Families-Christians Voters more, totalling a Lead of over + 1 Million Citizens ahead (See supra)...

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 sarko_merkel_mieux

The official presentation of a "Program" respecting People's choices voted in the June 7, 2009 EU Elections, to be debated in EU Council and EU Parliament during its 1st Session on July in Strasbourg, is the No 1 Priority, according to Democratic principles, for the Franco-German axis, said the main winners at the ballot box, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel.

They stressed  that the New EU Commission's President must have a "Program" in favor of an EU which "protects" its Citizens, regulates financial markets and aims at a "Political" Europe" : a wording they have used as incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid.

They also declared ready for a "political" endorsment of "Mr. Barroso's candidacy" in June's EU Council, considering that an official decision would have to be made after EU Parliament's debates and votes, possibly from next month (July), with the legally necessary final acceptance shortly after Lisbon Treaty's entry into force, hoped for September or October.


- "A Program, and Mr. Barroso" : This resumes, in substance, the anouncements made by Sarkozy and Merkel, on the question of current EU Commission's President, Barroso's declared wish to succeed to himself for a second mandate, to be extended during the following 5 years.

 In their 1st meeting after EU Elections, they observed that "the Franco-German axis counted in European Elections' campaign... But, we both keep a realistic view : We saw the number of those who abstained, and we must absolutely give them an answer. We also see the disilusionment of an important number of Europeans vis a vis Europe, and we are aware of the responsibilities we have".

sarko

 - The "Duty" of the new EU Commission's President, after June 7, 2009 EU Elections' result, "is to act for a Europe which protects the Europeans, to commit himself into working for a better Regulation of Financial transactions, ... and to have a Political will for Europe", underlined Sarkozy.

Therefore, "we have asked M. Barroso... to clarify, to officialy present the intentions he has", he anounced.

- "We want to speak also about the Programme", explained Merkel.

- "It's important that for the next EU Parliament's mandate (2009-2014) we take the right Decisions for Europe.  Obviously on Persons, but mainly Decisions on Issues", she stressed.

- "It's not simply a question of a Person, it's also a question of a Programme". We are "really asking Mr. Barroso to commit himself on a Program, and on Principles, on Values", Sarkozy added.

EU President-in-office, Czech Prime Minister Jan Fischer, accepted the Franco-German stance :

- "Barroso must present his Programme. The Czech Presidency agrees with that", Fischer reportedly said later, after meeting Sarkozy.

But Press reports from Brussels claimed that Barroso had preferred to be officially appointed by EU Council since June, (i.e. next week), "because this was implied by the current Treaty of Nice, according to him", and considered any delay until the possible ratification of the new, Lisbon Treaty on September/October, as "undemocratic".

- "At any case, independently of what Germany and France ask, it's also EU Parliament's wish". "We shall propose Mr Barroso's candidacy... But even in the framework of Nice Treaty, EU Parliament has to be associated in this Decision", the French President observed.

If this is correctly done, then "we support Mr. Barroso's candidature", and "if the (EU) Parliament agrees, we might ratify this decision since July", (i.e. next month), they both said.

smerkem_400

- "France and Germany support Baroso's candidacy, But we want to speak also on the Program. We believe that this Program should be established in close cooperation with EU Parliament, and that's why we have followed an appropriate way", said Merkel.  - If EU Parliament wants, this election can take place on July,  but this must be done in full agreement.

- "We shall support Mr. Barroso's candidacy, without doubt", said Sarkozy. "But we have asked from Mr. Barroso, as I told him yesterday, to put into detail.. his intentions, at the eve of his 2nd mandate, if the situation avails itself.


    France and Germany "don't want to take an Official Legal Decision by writting" during "the next (EU) Council" (on June 18-19), declared Sarkozy.  Because they prefer, at this stage, only "a Political decision" on June, "so that we (EU Council) can work together with EU Parliament", which starts to meet only Next Month, since July in Srasbourg, "leaving a Legal decision by writting for later".

    - "If the Conditions are fuillfiled in EU Parliament, we (EU Council) are ready to give the agreement and make it offficial", said Merkel

    - "But, now we are working in the base of Nice Treaty. If tommorow we want to work in the spirit of Lisbon Treaty, we have to find a proper way", she added.

    - "Of course it's Legally complicated, because we are going to make a Political proposal to the forthcoming Council, for an EU Commission's President, on the basis of Nice Treaty : So, we (EU Council) will not appoint the Commissioners. Only the President.  If EU Parliament agrees, it could endorse this position on July", explained Sarkozy.

    But, on Autumn, "if Ireland ratifies Lisbon Treaty, there will be, at any case, a 2nd Decision, to appoint the Commission's President, this time on the basis of Lisbon treaty, and then, we, the EU Member States, would have to appoint (also) the EU Commissioners", he added.

    As for the precise Timing :  - "Everything is suspended until the Irish vote... Now, we must all make everything possible to help Ireland to say "Yes"" to Lisbon Treaty... The Irish Referendum, ..will take place either on September or on October. It's a Question which depends on the Irish. And,  then, we shall have the Choice of the Candidates for the permanent Institutions of Europe".

    However, "if Ireland says No, we, French and Germans, have to assume our responsibilities, and we'll do so", he concluded.

    But British and Swedish governments were reportedly eager to have a final EU Council decision on Barroso since this month, on June's European Council. While the other EU Member Countries are divided, several of them preferring to wait until EU Parliament pronounces itself, on July, and/or until Lisbon Treaty might be ratified by Ireland at the beginning of the Autumn. Barroso's current mandate ends on November.

    There are also various, contradictory and/or unpredictable reactions inside EU Parliament vis a vis Barroso's wish to continue a 2nd mandate, because many MEPs are openly or secretly opposed, reluctant, or hesitating.

    In the biggest EU Countries, as France and Germany, EU Citizens voted on June 2009 EU Elections for a renovated, non-technocratic but Political Europe which cares for its Citizens, with an Identity, Values and Borders, declared incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid, by mainstream, pro-European Governing Parties. Similar choices were also supported in several other small or medium EU Countries.

    On the contrary, whenever, in other Countries, Governing and other mainstream Parties didn't make these choices or eluded them, EU Citizens massively voted for euro-Sceptics whenever they were the only ones to to promise anti-bureacratic change and oppose Turkey's demand to enter into the EU, (f.ex. in the UK, Netherlands, etc).

    It's seems to be an Open Question whether Sarkozy and Merkel's conditions will be really accepted by Barroso, who was appointed on 2004 in a different political context, (with Socialist Prime Ministers in Germany, France, etc), had rejected in the Past the idea of EU becoming "equal to the USA" as "ridiculous", and pushed for Turkey's contoversial EU bid, trying to "soften" or contain the changes desired by the People who voted for Merkel and Sarkozy with another policy vis a vis Turkey on 2005 in Germany and on 2007 in France, as they did all over Europe on 2009.

    In addition to many EPP Governments, it's 3 remaining Socialist Prime Ministers : Gordon Brown in the UK, Zapatero in Spain, and Socrates in Prortugal, who support Barroso, as well as Liberal Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt. But their Parties lost the June 2009 EU Elections.

    Questioned whether there was still "Time" for "other" possible "Candidates", Sarkozy and Merkel did not deny, nor made any comment on that, but simply said that "it's not for us to make publicity for any candidates. We anounced our choice ("A Program, and Mr. Barroso"). But we respect any other candidate".

    Among various other names cited are former Belgian Prime Minister Verhofstadt, former UNO's Human Rights Commissioner Mary Robinson of Ireland, Italian former EU Commission's vice-President Monti, etc. Meanwhile, Luxembourg's PM Juncker, (who had been unanimously accepted by EU Council for EU Commission's Presidency on 2004, but refused), announced his intention to resign from "EuroGroup"'s Chair. Thus, he might be available for another Top EU job.

    As "EuroFora"'s "opinion" said (See publication dated 9/6/09) : - "If the current candidates (i.e. Barroso, etc) to the Top EU jobs promise and guarantee to respect People's democratic choices, then, it's OK".

"Otherwise, Europe must find new candidates, really motivated and able to implement these democratic choices of the People."

    Because, "in Democracy, the forthcoming choices for EU's Top Jobs,...should be made according to EU Citizens' Votes in June 7, 2009 European Elections, and main EU Governments' strategic policies".
        

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