"Rainbow" Center-Right/Moral Values/Independents + Greens' start in Australian Election ?
(Partly Updated) - A Pioneer "Rainbow" Coalition of Center-Right Liberals/Conservatives and Independents/Families-ChristianDemocrats etc., eventually joined by "Greens", might take the Lead in Australia, (after Precursor EU attempts initiated at Local/Regional level in Austria's Graz, with thoughts also at National level, and Hamburg's Federated State in Germany, etc), as indicated the 1st "too close to call" Election in the Country's Modern History, where Voters' Majority turned towards various Center-Right Values' candidates, as well as "Greens", away from Labor/Socialists, who lost ground, but keep going until Final Results.
Tony Abbot, the New Leader of Liberals-National/Conservatives' Coalition succeeded to win a crystal-clear Advance with some 500.000 more votes than Labor, getting an edge with 73 MPs (Winning +8 more MPs on 2010 compared to the previous 2007 Election : 65), ahead of Julia Gillard (the out-going Labor Prime Minister) who arrived almost neck to neck with 71 or 72 MPs (Losing - 12 MPs Less from 83 they previously had), compared to 76 needed for a Government, (out of a Total 150) , according to some 80% of Results counted. While "Greens" and others Independents/Small Parties emerge with 1 or 2, and 4 MPs respectively, (Confirming a Steady Rise since 2004 - 2007 earlier Votes).
Most important, the Majority of People's Votes seems clearly focused towards the Center-Right at almost 51% : All Together, Center-Right's Values seem to grow towards more than +48 % , (Liberals 39,5% and Nationals 4%, Family First 2,2% and ChristianDems 1%, etc.), with whom are normaly related also at least 3 Independent MPs, formely National/Conservative Party's militants, adding more than +2,6 %).
On the contrary, Labor's "Socialists" reportedly lost - 5,5 % of Voters falling down to only some 37,9% I.e. risking to remain a Minority at any case, even if they might eventually convince the Greens, unless they pushed all Independents away from their traditional beliefs (See supra)...
Differend trend for "Greens" who win almost + 4%, reaching up to more than 11 %, of Votes. But Greens' Bob Brown' withdrew in the Past his support from a former Labor Government, and was strongly against Iraq War, where USA was notoriously pushed by former UK Labor Prime Minister Blair ("Socialist"). this might go even more for new Green MP Adam Brandt who stood against a Labor candidate and won practicaly thanks to Liberal/Nationals' abstention and/or vote...
However, the other Group formed de facto by 4 "key" Independent MPs had already prepared links between at least among the 3 former Nationals/Conservatives MPs in view of the 2010 Election, and reportedly decided, according to Queensland's Bob Katter, (with fellow independents Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott), to support a New Government which "is going to allow Rural Australia to survive".
Leaving the Greens, a 4rth New "Independent" MP Andrew Wilkie, known for his Criticism against Fake Accusations pushing to controversial Iraq Invasion War on 2003, which obliged him to Resign from the Australian Government Intelligence Agency, could be Timely : After Republican/Conservative former US President GWBush's astonishing but honest Regrets for controversial Infos they had given him on Iraq, as he said in a key Interview to US Media at the conclusion of his 9 Years Mandate (2000-2008), several appeals are Now made to the New Liberals/Conservatives' Brittish Government (2010) to open an Efficient, Collective and Transparent Investigation on the case of the Bloody Killing of Critical Expert Dr. Kelly, famous for his denunciation of former Labor/"Socialist" Prime Minister Blair's controversial "Reports" claiming that Iraq was hidding "Weapons of Mass Destruction", etc, generally considered to be among the main instigators of Iraq War. Obviously, Wilkie, (who seems Elected thanks to Liberals/Nationals' Coalition Voters against a Labor Adversary), may start now Interesting Cooperations with the new UK Liberals/Conservatives' Government to find all the Truth on this Darkspot of former Labour pro-War UK Governments, with a New Australian "Rainbow" Coalition Liberals/Conservatives + Independents/Small Parties (See supra).
"Family First" and "ChristianDemocrats" Fellow Parties gathered together almost 3 %, with some 300.000 Votes, i.e. clearly More than Independents, who, with a Comparatively Smaller result of only 2,6% and 267.000 Votes, nevertheless, got 4 MPs and a "King-maker" role for any New Government, while the first were Excluded from any Representation ! Such blatant Inequalities against Moral Values-oriented People can obviously provoke Legitimate Frustrations and Complaints against some Anti-Democratic Discriminatory and/or Bureaucratic "Tricks", unless a Solution is found, to take into consideration these Numerous Citizens' clearly expressed Beliefs in one way or another...
Abbot's declared intention to renew a Strategic turn towards Simple Working People, and his Coalition-building profile, added to Values, may prove to be better equiped in order to attract Smaller Parties/Independents (3 of whom reportedly were former "National"/Conservatives, close to "Family" and "Christian" Voters) and forge a well-cimented New Government Majority based on a Coherent + 51% (See supra). Despite of the fact that even Gillard tried to reach out to some Independents, in a last-minute attempt...
Topical Worldwide Issues on Values as BioEthics (particularly vis a vis Genetic Manipulation of Human Embryo), as well as Natural Environment Protection might seal a Deal Enlarging the Lib-Nat. Coalition to the "Greens" and/or other New Small Parties' MPs, such as Moral Values'-driven "Families 1st", ChristianDemocrats, Independents, etc.
Such a move might obviously Facilitate Australia's Links with Europe's Franco-German, and even British, Italian, Polish, Romanian, etc. Center-Right Governing Political Majorities, but, perhaps, also Developments : Since, according to some Press Reports, they keep an eye on eventually attracting at least a part of "Greens"/Environmentalists in the foreseeable Future. (Something which had almost started, already, to be, indirectly "tested" also on 2010 Strasbourg-headquartered Alsace Region's Election, where young Wehrling, a former "Green" candidate turned "Centrist", open to possible Agreements with the winner, ChristianDemocrat/UMP Philippe Richert, had succeeded to approach the 5% Threshhold, and was particularly keen on BioEthical issues, as he had told "EuroFora" then). This comes also Timely a few Months before November 2010 US Mid-term Congres Election, which may reportedly witness a Republican Revival : Particularly if it was based on the 2004 GWBush Surprise Win's New Logic, notoriously linked to "Values"-motivated People, who were, nevertheless, almost striped of their Growing Potential by Controversial Manoeuvers of some old Established Aparatchics at GOP's Primaries in last Presidential Elections as early as since March 2008, by practically blocking the Republican Charismatic candidate (Governor Mike Huckabee), while Dem's Charismatic candidate (former Senator Barack Obama) was free to go on : A confirmed Error, which might be Rectified between 2010-2012.
By a curious ..coincidence, Australia's Central-Western areas, pointing towards current Europe,voted predominantly for the No 1 Winner of 2010 Election : the Coalition of Liberals/Nationals+, while some Eastern/Northern areas, looking towards current US, on the contrary had large Labor or differerent votes..
Otherwise, Gillard's reported maintainance of a Carbon-Tax bid, even reduced, might, eventually, find at least a short Partial link with certain EU Leaders, (despite several Differencies on other Issues). But her notorious Opposal to former Labor Prime Minister Rudd's pro-Carbon Tax stance, (added to his strong Denonciation of a US-China brokered result at UNO's Climate Change Summit at Copenhagen, 12/2009 criticized as Insufficient : Comp. "EuroFora"'s NewsReports from the spot), that Gillard reportedly dropped after remplacing him, (something which obviously explains the "Leakage" of former Labor Voters towards the Greens in 8/2009), while even EU hasn't yet formed a Common View on that particular point, don't allow any undue enthousiasm..
At any case, any eventual attempt, with whatever Trick, to return back to the out-going Labor Government, wouldn't be "illegitimate", as Abbott stressed, since it would go against People's Majority 2010 verdict ?
Obviously, Democracy cannot ignore that the Australian People gave some 500.000 more Votes to the Center-Right Coalition of Liberals/Nationals-Conservatives, whose main Values seem shared also by at least + 560.000 Independents/Families-Christians Voters more, totalling a Lead of over + 1 Million Citizens ahead (See supra)...
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People in Europe and the World expect from CoE to make a succes of its "Monitoring" for Human Rights and Democracy, despite difficulties, said Finland's President Tarja Halonen to "EuroFora" at a crucial moment for the mecanism built 15 years ago by the paneuropean organization which celebrates its 60th Anniversary in 2009.
Halonen, known as "Mother" of CoE's "Monitoring" mecanism, a long-time MEP and former Foreign Minister before becoming Finland's President, holds a long experience in the mattter, after also serving twice as CoE and EU Chairwoman in the past. That's why she is well placed to judge how CoE's "monitoring" should deal today with some crucial issues of importance both to CoE and to the EU.
The move came just a Month before a crucial, last visit to Turkey, scheduled for June, by the President of CoE''s "Monitoring" Committee, Ukranian MEP Serge Holovaty, to finalize his Report on Ankara, the CoE Member State with the longest Monitoring procedure. From its results depends its overall credibility.
This is a Test-case, because, in fact, it's in order to avoid Sanctions threatened against Turkey by a CoE's Assembly's April 1995 Resolution for grave Human Rights violations, Democracy gaps, the continuing Military Occupation in Cyprus, the unresolved Kurdish problem, Aegean differend with Greece, etc., that MEPs decided to create, for the 1st time on April 1996, a "Monitoring" proces, allegedly destinated to check, without excluding Countries who did not fulfill all CoE's standards.
In the Past, the obliged withdrawal of Greece's Military regime and of its "Civil" cover-up out of the CoE had helped bring back Democracy in 1974. But, on the contrary, since April 1996, the idea was to "monitor" Human Rights' respect while keeping most concerned Countries inside the CoE. After Turkey's oldest example, this was extended also to several former "Eastern" European Countries, even if CoE's Assembly has imposed to some of them (fex. Ukraine, Russia, etc., after Belarus, Serbia, etc) various "Sanctions", that Ankara always avoided. Curiously more succesful even than .. USA itself, (a CoE "Observer" since 1995), which has been at least threatened with sanctions some years ago..
EU-effects of CoE's Monitoring process became obvious between 2001-2008, since the "closure" of this procedure, when CoE felt that a Country had met most of its Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law obligations, (i.e. the "Copenhagen Criteria" for the EU), helped trigger Negotiations with the EU for "Accession" or other closer relations : This occured already before the 2004 and 2007 EU Enlargements to former "Eastern" European Countries, as well as for the commencement of "accession" negotiations with Croatia, and of "open-ended" negotiations with Turkey in 2005.
But a stricking new development are Holovaty's recent findings that on core Human Rights issues as Torture and Freedom of Expression, Turkey, even "5 Years after" CoE closed its "Monitoring", back in 2004, inciting EU to start accession Negotiations in 2005, still presents grave problems.
His findings are of crucial importance after a 2008 CoE Resolution called, "if need be", to "seriously consider the possibility of Re-Opening the Monitoring procedure for Turkey" : A move which might affect Ankara's controversial EU bid, since EU Accession Negotiations are based on the Hypothesis that the Candidate fullfils the "Copenhagen Criteria" (See above)..
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Holovaty expressed his will to check "Matters still Outstanding" and those that he "didn't have an opportunity to discuss" at an earlier visit this year, "in order to discuss the more complex issues in greater depth", at his forthcoming New Visit to Ankara, before the December 2009 EU Summit. This is all based on the 2004 CoE Resolution which stresses that, CoE "will continue.. post-monitoring Dialogue with the Turkish authorities,...in addition to a 12-points list,..and on any Other Matter that might arise in connection with Turkey’s Obligations as a CoE member state".
CoE's Resolution also asks from Turkey "to secure the proper Implementation of Judgements, particularly in the Cyprus v. Turkey InterState case", of 2001, which concerns also the plight of many Hundreds of MISSING People. It adds Turkey's obligations to "execute" ECHR's Judgements in the Loizidou case,..and in particular adopt General Measures to avoid repetition or continuation of Violations found by the Court" to the detriment of Refugees.
Nevertheless, Holovaty said to "EuroFora" that "MISSING" persons,"might be included" and cannot be excluded, but he has yet to examine the situation "to find out which issues will be raised" to the Turkish Government.
Therefore, "EuroFora" asked Halonen, as the Historic "Mother" of CoE's Monitoring mecanism, if she thought that, "whenever there are grave Human Rights Violations, as fex. "MISSING" persons, attested even by ECHR's judgements, they should be always checked by a Monitoring process. Or could they be forgotten ?"
- "We (CoE) must be, at the same time, Fair, Realistic, but not in the mind that "now we have Forgotten", etc., replied to "EuroFora"'s question Halonen, speaking as a matter of general principle.
- "When we think of those People that are suffering from the lack of Democracy, of Human Rights, and of the Rule of Law", "we should find a base on how to deal with the (Monitoring) system more rapidly"', she stressed.
- "Sometimes it's very difficult to combine Transparency and Effectivenes together, particularly in this specific case", she went on to say. But, "I have not found a (CoE Member) Country who could be insensitive in this sens", Halonen answered concerning grave Human Rights violations attested by the ECHR.
- "I have no ready-made answer. I have the expectations that you, in the CoE, will, step by step, find the different types of the monitoring systems."
Also "because this is a part of the UN's Post-Conflict system, (fex. when it comes to Cyprus' MISSING persons), and it's a more Global system". So that, "If we make a succes in Europe, the others will follow", throughout the World. "But they expect that we (Europe) are this opportunity, this Opportunity to make a Succes", Halonen concluded.
In addition, she advised to extend CoE's Monitoring to all its 47 Member States, "because, as long as we hear that, all these monitoring systems are "OK for the neighbor, but not for me", "it's very difficult" to understand. Something which could make easier to Compare...
Finnish MEP Jaako Laakso, former CoE Rapporteur on the Occupied Territories of Cyprus and one of the 5 Signatories of the Historic CoE's call to create the "MONITORING" mecanism since 1996, was more specific : - "We (CoE Assembly) have to find a way for the issue of Cyprus' MISSING People to be better followed", he stressed, anouncing his intention to "speak to Mr. Holovaty" about that. "There might be also other ways", added Laakso.
- The 2008 "Year had been a very Bad one for Turkey with regard to Human Rights in general, and Freedom of Expression in particular", denounced, meanwhile, Holovaty's preliminary Post-Monitoringh Draft Report by Holovaty, published by the CoE on April 2009.
"Amnesty International believes that freedom of expression is not guaranteed given the various articles of the Criminal Code that restrict it. .. "For example, 1,300 Websites are said to have been closed down by the (Turkish) authorities in 2008" ! While "the new Turkish Criminal Code was used to bring a total of 1,072 proceedings between June 2005 and April 2008, and led to the conviction of 192 people", for expressing views. "Representatives of the Özgür Gündem newspaper, which specialises in Kurdish affairs, ..complained about Numerous Attacks on their Freedom of Expression ...as was everyone who advocated a settlement to the question by means other than the intervention of the army" "According to their figures, 19 Newspapers had been suspended 43 times between 4 August 2006 and 4 November 2008" !...
Moreover, on 2008, CoE's "Ministers adopted its 4rth Resolution on the execution of the judgments of the ECHR, ...and outstanding issues regarding 175 Judgements and decisions relating to Turkey delivered between 1996 and 2008... concerning Deaths resulting from the excessive use of force by members of the Security forces, the failure to protect the right to life, the DIisappearance and/or death of individuals, Ill-Treatment and the Destruction of property". CoE's " Ministers urged the Turkish authorities ...to ensure that members of Security forces of all ranks can be prosecuted without administrative
authorisation" for "serious crimes". Holovaty reminded.
"Nonetheless", Holovaty heard anew of "Several cases of Violence committed last year (2008) by the (Turkish) security forces". Amnesty International speaks of Many Cases of ill-treatment and Torture in the prisons and by the police". "Including, fex."'the death of Engin Ceber, a young man of 29 who died on October 2008 as a result of the TORTURE allegedly inflicted on him by police officers, prison staff and members of the gendarmerie. He was part of a group of people arrested on September 2008 during a demonstration and Press Conference in Istanbul'. Proceedings against suspects are "on-going" in this case.
- " I therefore noted an Obvious Contradiction between the Government’s stated “zero tolerance” policy.... of Torture and other forms of ill-treatment, and the different testimonies given", denounced CoE's Rapporteur. Turkish "authorities must make considerable efforts to guarantee that proper investigations are carried out into allegations of abuses by members of the security forces and that perpetrators are effectively punished" "In this respect, I have requested detailed Statistics on the number of Investigations, acquittals and convictions in cases involving allegations of abuse in order to show the positive impact of the measures taken to date", Holovaty said, repeating a permanently unsatisfied CoE's demand to Turkey since a Decade...
- "The Political Crisis that shook the country in the spring of 2008 highlighted the Weaknesses of the (Turkish) Constitution", which comes from the Military regime of 1982, "and the Urgent Need of Reforms", stressed from the outset CoE's Rapporteur in 2009. In particular, "the ...Democratic functioning of state institutions, including the independence of the judicial system, are crucial", he observes.
But, "the Electoral system and the ways in which it is circumvented do not appear to give those elected complete Legitimacy, and tend to pervert the course of direct universal suffrage", denounces Holovaty, observing that, even 5 Years later, Turkey did not yet change the 10% nationwide Threshold for a party to take any seat, which is "far higher" than the "3%" maximum in Europe and already condemned as contrary to European Standards by the CoE.
+ Moreover, EU Parliament's 2009 Report on Turkey, drafted by Dutch MEP Ria Oomen-Ruijten and adopted in Strasbourg on March, expresses "Concern over the Failure of the (Turkish) Judiciary to prosecute cases of Torture and Ill-treatment, the Number of which is Growing". EU also "is concerned about continuing Hostility and Violence against Minorities" in Turkey. It also "calls on the Turkish Government to launch, as a matter of Priority, a Political Initiatve favouring a lasting Settlement of the Kurdish issue, (while "condemning violence.. and terrorist groups"). EU "regrets that No progress has been made on establishing full, systematic Civilian suprevisory functions over the (Turkish) Military".
The final results of Holovaty's 2nd and last visit to Turkley will be known later this year, and, at any case, before EU's December 2009 Summit.